✙ 🇺🇦 Larry Pieniazek 🇺🇦 ✙

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✙ 🇺🇦 Larry Pieniazek 🇺🇦 ✙

✙ 🇺🇦 Larry Pieniazek 🇺🇦 ✙

@lar_p

AFOL (LEGO) , exIBMer, gamer, blues fan, polyam, libertarian, MI resident, mod on @NasaSpaceFlight & FB. Proud child of 2 immigrants. #NAFO [email protected]

Earth Katılım Nisan 2008
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✙ 🇺🇦 Larry Pieniazek 🇺🇦 ✙
This is a screenshot of something I had to do 10 times… It was punishment for following too many people too quickly… I think.
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Sergiy Shepard
Sergiy Shepard@Sergey_Shepard·
@DefenceU Why you making the ZOO of interceptor drones? We have already perfect"Sting" drones designed by "Wild Hornets"! Seems like someone wants to steal the budget money...
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Defense of Ukraine
Defense of Ukraine@DefenceU·
Ukraine’s MoD has codified and approved the 🇺🇦-made JEDI Shahed Hunter for operational use. A 350+ km/h interceptor drone designed to hunt down Russian Shaheds and recon UAVs—day or night, radar-guided, fully autonomous. Read more: mod.gov.ua/en/news/defenc…
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Limits2test
Limits2test@limits2test·
@Microinteracti1 @BillOReilly Why did Ukraine not sign the Istanbul peace agreement in April 2022? Why did Europe admit that signing the Minsk accords was a delay tactic and Ukraine never meant to implement them?
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Bill O'Reilly
Bill O'Reilly@BillOReilly·
Today, Iran has replaced Germany as a frightening threat, and, incredibly, Europe still looks away, apparently not absorbing the fact that at least 50 million human beings died because evil was ignored in 1936. billoreilly.com/b/Accepting-Ev…
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Nick Gillespie
Nick Gillespie@nickgillespie·
It's great to have serious legislators at work like @randpaul, who really lays into his fellow Republican Sen. @MarkwayneMullin, currently up to become head of DHS. @SenMullin is a complete meathead who shouldn't be a crossing guard, much less a cabinet-level secretary. @SenRandPaul was seriously injured when attacked in 2017 by a deranged neighbor. Mullin made light of the incident and, in a series of pathetic displays of obviously fake and performative masculinity, is constantly calling out the equivalent of "It's go time!," like the geriatric Izzy Mandelbaum from Seinfeld. Replacing the corrupt and incompetent Kristi Noem at DHS shouldn't be tough, but Mullin isn't even up to that task.
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✙ 🇺🇦 Larry Pieniazek 🇺🇦 ✙ retweetledi
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
JUST IN: The Strait of Hormuz blocks the fertiliser from shipping. China just blocked it from being replaced. Beijing has instructed exporters to suspend overseas shipments of nitrogen and potassium fertiliser blends. Urea. NPK mixes. The molecules that American, Indian, Bangladeshi, and African farmers need to plant are now gated at two chokepoints simultaneously: a 21-mile waterway controlled by provincial commanders with sealed radio orders, and a government directive issued from Zhongnanhai that requires no radio at all. One third of global seaborne fertiliser trade transits Hormuz. China is the world’s largest fertiliser producer. When the strait closed and China suspended exports in the same month, the global food system lost its primary supply route and its primary alternative supplier at the same time. There is no third source at this scale. There is no backup to the backup. Urea has surged roughly 40 percent since the war began. CBOT March futures settled at 610.50. The peak at New Orleans touched $683. Those prices were set by the Hormuz blockade alone. China’s ban adds a second floor underneath them. Even if the strait reopened tomorrow, Chinese urea would not flow until Beijing lifts the directive. Even if Beijing lifted the directive, the strait would still need to reopen, insurance to normalise, and vessels to be available. The two gates operate independently. Both must open for the molecule to move. China’s logic is transparent. Hormuz disrupted global supply. Prices surged. Chinese domestic farmers face the same planting windows as everyone else. Beijing chose to protect its own agriculture by hoarding the molecule the rest of the world needs. This is the same country that is simultaneously drawing commercial crude reserves at a million barrels per day, running military exercises near Taiwan, receiving discounted Iranian oil through the permissioned strait, and restricting the phosphate exports it suspended months ago. Every decision serves one objective: China first. The rest of the world absorbs the shortage. The American farmer is now squeezed from two directions. The Gulf urea he used to buy cannot transit the strait. The Chinese urea that could have replaced it is embargoed by Beijing. Domestic US production covers roughly 75 percent of normal needs, but normal needs assumed Gulf and Chinese imports filling the gap. The gap is now unfillable on any timeline that matters for spring planting. USDA projects corn falling to 94 million acres. Soybeans rising to 85 million. The RFS mandate consumes 43 percent of a shrinking corn crop. The cattle herd sits at 86.2 million, a 75-year low. The protein cascade runs from corn to feed to meat to eggs to dairy to the grocery shelf. China’s ban did not create that cascade. The Hormuz blockade created it. China’s ban removed the last exit ramp. Oman crude at $154. Brent at $102. WTI at $93. Gold at $5,000. The Fed holding at 3.50 to 3.75 with PCE revised to 2.7. Trump telling Israel to stop hitting gas fields. Iran threatening to burn the Gulf to ashes. Four countries’ energy infrastructure offline. And now the world’s largest fertiliser producer has locked its warehouse and told every farmer on Earth that the key is in Beijing, not for sale, and not available until further notice. Two gates. One molecule. No alternative. The calendar closes in four weeks. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
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Lauren
Lauren@cabsav456·
Conservatism, at its core, has always stood for: • rule of law • national security • limited government • election integrity • individual liberty Expanding federal control over voter verification systems is not limited government. Government taking stakes in private companies is not free-market conservatism. DHS using administrative workarounds to sidestep judicial safeguards on U.S. citizens is not constitutionalism. Backing away from FISA reforms after years of concern about surveillance abuses is not defending civil liberties. If your principles only apply when it's politically convenient, they're not principles. You don't get to pick and choose depending on who's in power. These are bedrock principles that should apply under any administration. I'm still a conservative. My principles have not changed. If you're suddenly comfortable with more federal overreach and less privacy, you're the one who's changed. Not me.
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Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський
The world’s eyes are on the situation in the Middle East and the Gulf region. The Iranian regime’s constant strikes against its neighbors are significantly destabilizing markets and disrupting critically important energy supply routes. Many around the world are now speaking about the protection of energy facilities, the inadmissibility of energy terror against entire nations, and free and safe navigation. All of this is indeed a global interest. Many of these statements repeat what Ukraine was saying back in 2022 and 2023 about Russia’s naval blockade of our ports and its attempts to deprive us of access to global trade. For years, Russia has been doing to our energy system the same thing the Iranian regime is now doing to infrastructure in its own region. There can be no other motive for such deliberate aggression against energy – whether it is Russian strikes on our power plants and gas production, or the current strikes by the Iranian regime against everyone around it – other than to inflict suffering on entire nations. That is why it is so important that global cooperation, at least now, is able to provide real security responses for everyone, including Europe. Strikes by the remnants of the Iranian regime against Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the Emirates, and other countries are in essence strikes against global stability and Europe’s energy security. Ukraine is ready to join common security initiatives to stabilize the situation as quickly as possible. Ukraine has long proposed creating realistic and effective instruments to hold accountable those who block maritime trade routes, destroy normal navigation, and target energy infrastructure. Ukraine endured this winter under Russian strikes. The Middle East and the Gulf region are now facing the same evil. Russia and the Iranian regime are not helping each other by chance. They must be stopped, and it is the responsibility of every world leader to ensure real stability and guarantee security. Together, we are undoubtedly stronger.
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Brian Allen
Brian Allen@allenanalysis·
This exchange just happened in Congress. Senator Cohen to FBI Director Kash Patel: “The people you fired were experts on Iran, were they not?” Patel: “I don’t believe so.” Cohen: “They worked in counterintelligence, did they not?” Patel: “I’m taking you at your word.” Cohen: “You’re the director. I’m not. You should know the answer.” The Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation does not know who he fired. Does not know if they were Iran experts. Does not know if they worked in counterintelligence. Is taking a senator’s word for it. This is the man running America’s domestic intelligence agency during the most severe national security crisis since 9/11. Iran has activated sleeper cells. Encrypted communications intercepted as operational triggers. A war with no exit strategy. Joe Kent resigned because the investigation was stopped. Charlie Kirk’s last words to Kent: stop us from getting into a war with Iran. And the FBI Director doesn’t know who he fired. Or what they knew. Or what America lost when they left. Never stop connecting the dots.
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Justin Amash
Justin Amash@justinamash·
No FISA 702 reauthorization without a warrant requirement. No Iran war funding without a specific war declaration/authorization from Congress. These are constitutionally necessary, common sense conditions to protect the liberty and safety of Americans.
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Chase Oliver
Chase Oliver@ChaseForLiberty·
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Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
Seven clocks are running. None of them negotiable. All of them counting down to the same weeks. The planting clock. Mid-April is the biological deadline for corn and soybean planting across the US Midwest. Every day that passes without nitrogen becoming affordable and available narrows the window for corn. USDA projects corn falling to 94 million acres from 98.8 million. Soybeans rising to 85 million from 81.2 million. The seeds that go into the ground in the next three weeks determine America’s grain harvest in October. The decision is irreversible. The USDA clock. March 31. Prospective Plantings. The report that converts farmer intentions into official data. Every acreage number, every corn-soy ratio, every nitrogen-dependent calculation becomes a published fact that traders, governments, and food agencies will use to model global supply for the next twelve months. The number arrives in twelve days. The FAO clock. April 3. The Food Price Index. The first global reading that captures post-Hormuz commodity prices across cereals, vegetable oils, dairy, meat, and sugar. The 2022 peak was 159.7 in March 2022 after Ukraine. This reading will incorporate oil above $100, urea at $610, LNG halted, packaging repriced, and freight surcharges of $500 to $1,500 per container. The number that determines whether the UN declares a food emergency arrives in fifteen days. The pharmaceutical clock. India’s API inventory buffers are two to three months, measured from the war’s onset on February 28. Late May is the depletion window. Methanol at 87.7 percent Hormuz exposure feeds the solvent chain for paracetamol, ibuprofen, metformin, and antibiotics. Once buffers deplete, the shortage becomes a patient access crisis for the 47 percent of US generics that originate in India. The China crude clock. FGE NexantECA confirmed China is drawing commercial reserves at up to one million barrels per day. The draw sustains refinery operations for four to six weeks from March 19. Mid-April to late April is the exhaustion window. After that, China faces three options: accelerate Russian pipeline imports, reroute at massive premium, or crack open the strategic petroleum reserve. The third option reprices every commodity on the planet. The helium clock. SK Hynix and Samsung hold two to three months of helium inventory. Late May to early June is the depletion window. South Korea imports 64.7 percent of its helium from Qatar. Ras Laffan is offline. If helium buffers deplete before alternative supply arrives, semiconductor fabrication faces rationing. The AI hardware supply chain hits a physical wall measured in months, not quarters. The insurance clock. Solvency II requires 30 to 60 days of zero incidents before P&I clubs can reinstate war risk coverage. Even after a ceasefire, the insurance normalisation takes six to sixteen months based on the Red Sea precedent of 26 months and counting. The logistics system lags the financial relief rally by the longest duration of any clock in this crisis. Seven clocks. The shortest expires in twelve days. The longest runs for over a year. The planting window, the USDA report, the FAO index, the drug buffers, the Chinese crude draw, the helium inventory, and the insurance cycle are all counting down simultaneously. None of them pause for diplomacy. None of them respond to presidential directives. None of them read sealed packets. The calendar is the only actor in this war that has never lost a negotiation. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
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Gandalv
Gandalv@Microinteracti1·
Europe told Trump and Vance, clearly and seriously, that Russia’s war against Ukraine and its hybrid warfare campaign across the continent represents the greatest security threat Europe has faced since 1945. Europe said this as a NATO ally. As a partner of seven decades. As a bloc that has housed American bases, funded American adventures, and sent its sons to die in American wars without much complaint. Trump and Vance looked at this and said: not our problem. It’s happening on your continent. We have important things to attend to. The important things turned out to be nothing. There were no important things. There was golf, there was television, and there was a remarkable amount of time spent being angry about things on the internet. Then, approximately some months later, the same administration announced it intended to seize Greenland. A sovereign territory. From a NATO ally. By force if necessary. So to summarise: defending Europe from an actively invading nuclear power is not America’s problem. Illegally annexing a Danish island in the Arctic is apparently a matter of urgent national interest. Now. If anyone in the MAGA universe is sitting there expecting Europe to provide diplomatic cover, logistical support, intelligence sharing, or a single sympathetic press release for whatever America is currently doing in the Middle East, I have some news for you. You told us you weren’t our allies. We were listening. You don’t get to turn the alliance on and off depending on which direction the aggression is pointing. That is not how it works. That is not how any of this works. Europe will not be helping. Europe will be watching. You made that bed. Enjoy it.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ Stay connected, Follow Gandalv @Microinteracti1
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The Lincoln Project
The Lincoln Project@ProjectLincoln·
Our President is Putin’s easiest mark.
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