Laserwolf 🇺🇸

As I’ve said before, go back three years and look at who the big ADF traders were, especially the ones active on X. Almost all of them are gone. Sure, some may have just stopped posting, but in this game, when traders are doing well, they usually make sure everyone knows it. The small cap game has shifted. It used to be about holding and building a position with size, riding moves into the close or even swinging. Now it’s more about hyper scalping 2–5% moves, over and over again. If your brain is wired for that style, you can still make a living, but that high win rate, martingale-type approach comes with a catch: eventually, a fat-tail loss can wipe out months of gains. I’ve personally stepped away for now, closed my accounts and moved into Treasuries. I’ll come back if real EV returns to small caps, but with the rise of 24-hour trading and more widespread, AI-driven “China-style” manipulation, I don’t see that environment coming back anytime soon. What used to be a game where the top 95% could carve out a living now feels like it requires being in the top 99.999%. At some point, traders need to take an honest look in the mirror. Too many stay in this game longer than they should…and yes, a lot of that comes down to gambling addiction. If you think that doesn’t apply to you, it’s worth questioning that assumption. Life is short. You had a life before trading, and you’ll have one after it too. Think about the time, energy, and mental bandwidth spent trying to grind out an edge. That same effort could go into building something tangible, or investing in relationships and experiences that actually give something back.

@TheoryTrading Maybe just a couple tiny paper cuts at most, then went full A++ exponential 100x on the fade day. Still holding full size of course.

@laserwolf33 Everyone dodged the 17 Green Days up before the drop

Small cap short sellers: how was your April?

@TheoryTrading Wow sorry brother. That looked like an A+ gap setup both off open and then on the 70% opening spike. I would’ve taken a huge loss on that one. Glad I’m outta the SC game.

$BIRD worst ticker loss of the year. Maxed on multiple triggers.

@BufTrading If you can recycle small pop and drops a dozen + times per day on less :5 to 1 or less RR and not tilt when you get a squeezer than all power to you. Keep doing it. I can’t.

@laserwolf33 Plenty that are having good success but they definitely have adapted to the insane rigging and are doing a ton of trades every single day on small caps. Yeah position trading is absolutely cooked intraday those that continue to try to hold and build into a position will be wiped

As I’ve said before, go back three years and look at who the big ADF traders were, especially the ones active on X. Almost all of them are gone. Sure, some may have just stopped posting, but in this game, when traders are doing well, they usually make sure everyone knows it. The small cap game has shifted. It used to be about holding and building a position with size, riding moves into the close or even swinging. Now it’s more about hyper scalping 2–5% moves, over and over again. If your brain is wired for that style, you can still make a living, but that high win rate, martingale-type approach comes with a catch: eventually, a fat-tail loss can wipe out months of gains. I’ve personally stepped away for now, closed my accounts and moved into Treasuries. I’ll come back if real EV returns to small caps, but with the rise of 24-hour trading and more widespread, AI-driven “China-style” manipulation, I don’t see that environment coming back anytime soon. What used to be a game where the top 95% could carve out a living now feels like it requires being in the top 99.999%. At some point, traders need to take an honest look in the mirror. Too many stay in this game longer than they should…and yes, a lot of that comes down to gambling addiction. If you think that doesn’t apply to you, it’s worth questioning that assumption. Life is short. You had a life before trading, and you’ll have one after it too. Think about the time, energy, and mental bandwidth spent trying to grind out an edge. That same effort could go into building something tangible, or investing in relationships and experiences that actually give something back.

@ScalperSpecltr @Jeppez420 Your X name @ScalperSpecltr says all that needs to be said.

@laserwolf33 @Jeppez420 Laserwolf: this game requires adapting not bending the market yourself to certain strategies and instruments. If you think that’s the case then you should question your assumptions mate. Markets always in a state of change. Get used to it or perish.

@NiceStockScans Sounds good in theory try implementing that over a consistent time frame. If you can all power to you.

@BigShortBear @Jeppez420 Feel free to unfollow or not read my posts.

@laserwolf33 @Jeppez420 Just say you quit… log off wrap it up then, why the big essay sad attention seeking like that theory clown 😂✌️

@DeeCee_09 @SmallCapSmarts So many Canadians down here more than a Americans actually swing down if you ever need to thaw out and DM me.

@laserwolf33 @SmallCapSmarts Thanks bro. Same for you! 🫡 Ur still doing well which is the point. I’m jelly you can post with a beer on the beach haha. I’m in Alberta, Canada freezing my 🥜 off 😂

Same data set of 100% gappers, 25% used to close green and now it’s near 37%. That’s an increase of 46% that a stock closes green. You now get hit from both sides. You’re right less often AND you get paid less when right. Even perfect reads now produce mediocre outcomes.

Pull the gap stats for big gappers over 100% from October 2025 till now vs prior years. Just check out the fade % open to close on one’s that actually faded. It’s like a median of -17% vs -26% of past years. Thats a -34% weaker downside EVEN WHEN YOU’RE RIGHT!

@DeeCee_09 @SmallCapSmarts That’s the way man. Good for you. Love hearing this. Ego aside and big picture focused.

@SmallCapSmarts @laserwolf33 Thanks. Was profitable when I made the decision (plus job opportunity came). Just felt the difficulty made it unsustainable. I’ll give it another go at some point, maybe with large caps or try to adapt with long strats. FIRE focused and would still like to trade in retirement.

@quantmindset 😅🫡👍

@quantmindset Gotta adapt bro. Sounds like a skill issue bro. It’s just a cycle bro. Stop complaining this market has so many opps bro. You’re just washed up bro.

No shade at al and I’ll answer your question. What you’re showing is basically 1:1 R/R which is exactly what small caps have turned into. There’s no trend. No follow through. More importantly, no ability to add a second or third bullet to build real R. That alone kills a low win rate, high R trader like me. My whole edge is starting with 1x risk and pressing into 3–5x moves. That environment just isn’t there right now. Instead, you’re forced to sit at the desk all day babysitting positions and guessing bottoms, because squeezes back over VWAP or even to new highs happen constantly. And “typical patterns” barely exist anymore. The algo driven randomness makes adjustments inconsistent at best. So what does it turn into? Wider stops, shallower exits. Losses stay full size. Wins get compressed. Now layer in fees taking 30% of gross profits: Winners get cut to 0.7x Losers expand to 1.2-1.3x That asymmetry quietly kills edge. Bottom line: the game shifted dramatically. You’re working harder for smaller wins while still taking full damage on losses. That’s not an environment I want to participate in every day.

I agree the chop is lame but there is still range on these and can still exploit from said range, if you say it is a "typical patter" doesn't than mean you can trade that pattern and make money off it? I traded both and made money on both and am swinging UGRO into tomorrow. EEIQ was definitely much more "difficult" and my entry on it being backside after the halt down made it much more "annoying". But if you are saying things are a typical pattern then if you look to gear your trading to said pattern doesnt that = you are seeing there is +EV in that pattern? Genuine question to you, not throwing any shade.

@aztrader998 @TheoryTrading Yep this games done. Glad we had it while it was good. Don’t be a degen gambler at 3am and stay in the casino bc you’re an addict.

@laserwolf33 @TheoryTrading I am looking into doordash application

Expectations: “after the $UGRO black swan, small caps will be so hot - we will have 5 x 200% gappers and will make back $UGRO loss easily with all of the insane opps and organic longs chasing, bro” Reality: Back to the short infested PA and daily slop on scanners $FCHL $EEIQ $LNAI

@TradesByDag Nah this games done. I’m out. Made my money now moving on. Good luck man.

@laserwolf33 Seems like a regular Swan that happens from time to time. We have seen this tons of times over the years

$UGRO classic example of small cap trading in 2026. #RIGGEDTOTHEGILLS #TRASH #SHITHOUSE

@traderprad Lol I made enough to never have to work again and you are trying to punk me? 🤭

You would think people learned their lesson after watching what happened on $RGC, but clearly many haven’t. If you don’t adapt, you end up convincing yourself that shorting is “dead” or that small caps are no longer worth trading, when in reality plenty of small-cap traders are absolutely crushing shorts and still managed to go long $UGRO today by adjusting their playbook to the current environment. Markets evolve, edge decays, and the setups that paid you last year might bury you this year if you’re stubborn, but those who stay flexible in sizing, timing, and risk management keep finding opportunity while everyone else writes eulogies for strategies that still work. Adapt or die isn’t just a slogan in this game; it’s the difference between being the liquidity, and being the one providing it. Don't let Laser here put you down. You can still make money shorting in small cap world and also going long. Learn to play the game in both directions and when to step away.

@quantmindset @TheoryTrading Short open on $UGRO at $26 risking $38 and cover at $24.

@laserwolf33 @TheoryTrading Guys stop complaining. Shorting is not that hard. Last squeeze was CIIT 9000%. Just short with 9001% stop