Leo Margolis

659 posts

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Leo Margolis

Leo Margolis

@LeoMargolis_

Engineer | 17

Los Angeles, CA Katılım Eylül 2025
470 Takip Edilen2.3K Takipçiler
Leo Margolis
Leo Margolis@LeoMargolis_·
@0xMerp Idk delivery would be super weird and def a security issue. But I understand the idea It’s insane the prices airlines charge when it’s last minute but idk what the best solution to this is.
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merp
merp@0xMerp·
has anybody ever tried creating futures for airline tickets or similar?
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۟
۟@MINHxDYNASTY·
i firmly believe the younger generation of traders will completely destroy the competition @leomargolis_ is a 17 year old eng that does algorithmic trading he looks at data and creates directional systems (similar to a mm). i also believe he is someone a lot of people should pay attention to and watch. i personally have a lot to learn. alike our decade that grew up with social media, these demons have grown up with a whole different set of tech better adapt
۟@MINHxDYNASTY

let’s do a fun experiment, introducing “the starting 5” 💸 im providing $5000 for free, $1,000 x 5 traders when i first started crypto, i had $0, but through the right opportunities and people that believed in me, i was able to make it season zero is a great opportunity to get started, with the sole mission to find the best trader on twitter how am i picking my traders? i have no idea. i guess the only prompt is somehow prove you have the skills to be in top 1% (of perps) in the comments. i don’t want e-begging, just focus on merit good luck! since this season is time based, we will choose by end of wednesday your job is to take that $1,000 and make it a lot more. that’ll be my win too.

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ryoh 🕊️
ryoh 🕊️@ryohhno·
I don't know how but this guy @LeoMargolis_ is just absolutely MOGGING everyone in Arena matches the past few days 17/4 is absolutely insane. the next generation of HFT trader I guess lol
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Bart Stimpson
Bart Stimpson@ich_bin_abe_2·
getting smoked by a 1.2K P opponent
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۟@MINHxDYNASTY·
let’s do a fun experiment, introducing “the starting 5” 💸 im providing $5000 for free, $1,000 x 5 traders when i first started crypto, i had $0, but through the right opportunities and people that believed in me, i was able to make it season zero is a great opportunity to get started, with the sole mission to find the best trader on twitter how am i picking my traders? i have no idea. i guess the only prompt is somehow prove you have the skills to be in top 1% (of perps) in the comments. i don’t want e-begging, just focus on merit good luck! since this season is time based, we will choose by end of wednesday your job is to take that $1,000 and make it a lot more. that’ll be my win too.
۟ tweet media
Legend@legendtrade

x.com/i/article/2051…

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Bart Stimpson
Bart Stimpson@ich_bin_abe_2·
damn it. can't beat this guy
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Leo Margolis
Leo Margolis@LeoMargolis_·
@0xDmitry I made 500 manually yesterday because the market is so inefficient. I am working to automate my strat but it’s hard to automate.
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Leo Margolis
Leo Margolis@LeoMargolis_·
The first HIP-4 prediction market is still very inefficient. As more markets roll out there will be even more inefficient markets and lots of opportunities to exploit other bots.
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Leo Margolis
Leo Margolis@LeoMargolis_·
HIP-4 is Awesome! contracts priced to the hundred-thousandth of a cent. This is exactly what price based empirical data prediction markets should look like!!
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Leo Margolis
Leo Margolis@LeoMargolis_·
@0xsmac I truly have no idea why they want to launch perps
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smac
smac@0xsmac·
extreme confidence the prediction market platforms will have unusable perps products
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Leo Margolis
Leo Margolis@LeoMargolis_·
@felpix_ I am a senior and at my school roughly 80% of kids had a private college counselor. It’s insane.
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felpix
felpix@felpix_·
~1/3rd of duke co2029 applied to 20+ schools ~1/3 hired a private admissions counselor
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Leo Margolis
Leo Margolis@LeoMargolis_·
A prediction market with no insiders is a gambling site
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Kevin Smith
Kevin Smith@kvntmlecs·
@LeoMargolis_ Okay can you state one insightful thing here or you are just larping?
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Leo Margolis
Leo Margolis@LeoMargolis_·
Trading during weird hours is cool because pretty much all the volume is algorithmic and you can learn a lot about how other people's systems are built and operate when there are no macro events or retail flow.
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DYJ
DYJ@davidyjeong·
> has low spot float, so market impact on buying spot is very high as there is not much supply (team has diamond hands) > has -1% hourly funding rate, giving longs 20%+ and attracting perps buyers > short liquidations cause cascading liquidations pushing the price even further
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Leo Margolis
Leo Margolis@LeoMargolis_·
HIP-4 will bring real liquid onchain options for any coin, as resolution can be as simple as querying the mark price at x time. Quoting will also be easy because everyone already has their infrastructure for pricing perps.
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Leo Margolis
Leo Margolis@LeoMargolis_·
You pay a 25% idiot tax every time you bet on Robinhood's "predictions" that just route straight through Kalshi.
Leo Margolis tweet mediaLeo Margolis tweet media
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Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson@robinhanson·
@LeoMargolis_ And for what other social institutions do we have “truly objective evaluations”?
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Leo Margolis
Leo Margolis@LeoMargolis_·
I don't ever think we will truly have objective settlements for non empirical data Prediction Markets. Every supposed objective data source for these markets one way or another always falls to human interpretation which is inherently not objective
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