
steven capital 🐧
713 posts

steven capital 🐧
@lifelonghacker



Some quick thoughts on $SABR / $CSU that I wrote up yesterday: SABR is effectively bankrupt unless it can materially improve profitability. The company carries a very high debt load that wipes out its roughly 10% EBITDA margin once interest expense is included. Realistically, their only viable path is a partnership with Constellation Software; the alternative is chapter 11. At around 2.7bn in revenue, the business could potentially reach a 30% EBITDA margin, implying about 810m in EBITDA. After roughly 440m of interest expense, that would leave about 370m in EBT and, assuming a 21% tax rate, around 292m in free cash flow. With a current market cap of roughly 460m, the stock is trading at about 1.6x this potential free cash flow. Given the amount of debt in the capital structure, any improvement in profitability would translate into significant operating leverage for equity holders. Constellation has also not given up on installing one of its own directors on SABR’s board. The candidate is Damian McKay, CEO of Vela, which owns Juniper, the travel platform within Constellation; as the former CEO of Datamine, he brings substantial operational experience.


@TidefallCapital @JerryCap Best performing









Sygnity Q1 final numbers are out $SGN.WA Revenues PLN 101.9 million +41% y/y EBITDA PLN 26.8 million +70% y/y Net Income PLN 18.8 million +77% y/y CFO PLN 24.6 million +84% y/y Margins continue higher














