listful ⌛️
123 posts
listful ⌛️
@listfulness
these are the days of miracle and wonder
San Francisco, CA Katılım Aralık 2024
578 Takip Edilen58 Takipçiler
I'm increasingly convinced that there is never going to be a major crash again. The market is so divorced from the "real" economy that 90% of the population could be eating dirt and the S&P would still be noting record gains.
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter
BREAKING: The S&P 500 erases all losses and turns green on the day as the US begins its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
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@1thousandfaces_ Good thing we’ve learned our lesson from the Bronze Age collapse and avoided creating
-an interdependent economic network
-of high-Gini palace economies
-dependent on fragile ecology
…
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You guys ever think about how we’ve been post singularity
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The strongest argument for technofeudalism / permanent underclass etc zis that conditional on ASI, the bottleneck to loving-grace-style benefits becomes coordination and physical implementation.
Democratized “intelligence on tap” is actually worse at delivering those benefits than federated systems of agents, ie you only need a few instances of ASI orchestrators
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Not sure I agree….insofar as the models think they do it linearly and unidimensionally. Sure they represent concepts through projection/compression but specific tasks unfold through lines of tokens which is in some ways more constrained than a human researcher.
Seems more likely mythos’ novel security discoveries were the result of extreme persistence in exploring edge cases rather than truly zero-shotted novel connections. But without seeing the details who knows
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When you understand these systems as high dimensional holographic compressions, it’s easy to see why they can “easily”discover causal trajectories that prove opaque to humans.
As I’ve described it previously, seeing a goal-framed subspace of the world through the lens of a holographic compression is analogous to viewing a lower dimensional space from a higher dimension.
While human security researchers and hackers navigate the causal maze from *within* its constraints, an LLM sees the constraint space from “above” or “outside”, similar to how a 4D creature could peer “inside” our bodies without having to perform 3D surgery or leverage the penetrating effects of electromagnetic radiation.
Josh Kale@JoshKale
This is big... Anthropic just announced a model so powerful they won't release it to the public out of fear over the damage it will cause 😨 Claude Mythos Preview found thousands of zero-day exploits in every major operating system and web browser... The numbers are hard to believe: > $50 to find a 27-year-old bug in OpenBSD, one of the most security-hardened operating systems ever built > Under $1,000 to find AND build a fully working remote code execution exploit on FreeBSD that grants unauthenticated root access from anywhere on the internet > Under $2,000 to chain together multiple Linux kernel vulnerabilities into a complete privilege escalation exploit For context: these are the kinds of findings that previously required elite security researchers working for weeks. Anthropic engineers with no formal security training asked Mythos to find exploits overnight. They woke up to working code the next morning. The results were so impressive Anthropic assembled Apple, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, NVIDIA, and seven other organizations into Project Glasswing: A $100M defensive coalition. They're not releasing this model publicly. Instead, they're racing to patch the world's infrastructure before models like this proliferate.
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@0x_Lotion @tszzl Not necessarily the Fisher thing was mentioned in the system card
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But the difference is that the modern corporate workplace is completely divorced from the physical world (hence the need for extensive metaphors like circling back or boiling the ocean), whereas most “real life” conversations deal with the physical much more.
Exception that proves the rule is meta-argument about relationships, hence the well observed trend of accusing romantic partners of using “corporate-speak”
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@atlanticesque Is it? Why don't we talk like this in real life, then? Because we return to tasks or topics of conversation all the time.
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Most of the corporate jargon people make fun of is actually just useful
machine yearning engineer@confusionm8trix
just sent a genuine “circling back” email
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Sitting at a bar watching some guys shoot pool
While I read Anthropic updates
Having a distinct feeling that the world is changing rapidly around me
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The Mona Lisa actually is a strong counterexample to your point. It was not famous until 1911, when it was stolen from the Louvre. It gets so many visors today because it’s a standin for the idea of art in popular culture. How many Louvre visitors appreciate the Mona Lisa on its own merits?
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Until photography, painters competed largely on the verisimilitude of representation. Photography destroyed art by making artists switch to absurd images often driven by social contagion.
Now imagine what AI will do to literature.
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listful ⌛️ retweetledi
I think this is a main reason why billionaires don't seem to invest in their city the way the Gilded Age Barons did.
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Ahead of potentially a mega raise by @sama, I present this chart without comment. $nvda. $orcl $crwv
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@rarply @duns_sc0tus The original tweet is more about underemployment than unemployment
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@duns_sc0tus Wrong.
Capitalism discovers more goods and services people want to consume. We can see that in the prime age Lfpr and unemployment statistics.
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Last thing I'll say on this: I *strongly* suspect that supply of labor has outstripped the actual demand (i.e. what do we actually need done) for a long, long time (long before LLMs) and LLMs are simply causing that contradiction to bubble up to the top. Graeber was right.
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@Daractenus Misleading post - Little Saint James was part of the Danish West Indies, all of where Denmark sold in 1917 and together became the US Virgin Islands. Not LSJ by itself
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Somewhat of a random fact: the last time Denmark sold an island to the US was in 1917. That island was Little Saint James, more commonly known today as “Epstein Island.”
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This great increase in the quantity of work, which, in consequence of the division of labour, the same number of people are capable of performing, is owing to three different circumstances; first, to the increase of dexterity in every particular workman; secondly, to the saving of the time which is commonly lost in passing from one species of work to another; and, lastly, to the invention of a great number of machines which facilitate and abridge labour, and enable one man to do the work of many.
-Adam Smith
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@pavep4ws Similar map from Fernand Braudel showing the time it took news to reach Venice by 1500
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The most prescient passage in LOTR:
We may join with that Power. It would be wise, Gandalf. There is hope that way. Its victory is at hand; and there will be rich reward for those that aided it. As the Power grows, its proved friends will also grow; and the Wise, such as you and I, may with patience come at last to direct its courses, to control it.
We can bide our time, we can keep our thoughts in our hearts, deploring maybe evils done by the way, but approving the high and ultimate purpose: Knowledge, Rule, Order; all the things that we have so far striven in vain to accomplish, hindered rather than helped by our weak or idle friends. There need not be, there would not be, any real change in our designs, only in our means.
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