macrojellyfish
2K posts


-611 now. This is the largest drop on WWS I have ever seen. Crash possible Monday


Well the Ferrari doesn’t start At least the Lamborghini did Didn’t really expect anything else after this long Gonna plug it to charge 😤






Usually, the best time to trade an event, is after it happened. Yesterday was an interesting example. Ceasefire gets announced, BTC rallies to 72k but implied vol didn't react at first. That was strange. Spot up should mean vol down. At least, that's what the volatility smile has been telling us for months. Why would this have suddenly changed? As the heatmap shows, there was already a bit of event vol priced in as soon as Trump posted on Truth Social. Why wouldn't that leak out? Turns out it was a nice opportunity to sell vol.




A month later, the experts remain concerned. The generalists are shorting oil hand over fist. Retail is buying inverse oil ETFs. Be careful out there.




















