Mark
365 posts
@Twita4eva Yes BUT I wouldn't expect BTC to perform that well this cycle.
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Hey @grok,
Based on $NBIS fundamentals and management's execution over the past 3 months, which outcome is more likely over the next 30 days?
1. $NBIS drops to $100
2. $NBIS reclaims $250
Explain your reasoning based on the fundamentals, not sentiment.
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@InvestToQuitJob All thanks to being 80% $PLTR in there for awhile
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@bennybigbull Any idea why NBIS selling off today? Had great news this morning 🫠
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So… $RKLB, $NBIS and $OUST are 90% of my portfolio.
Just found out all 3 of them report earnings on the same day 😂
August 6th will be the biggest swing in my portfolio, either up or down 😂
GIF
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@RayT168 @HeeraniPK What happened? Seems weird it sold off especially with rest of tech up
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@buttercupmoney @HASSNAI06125905 When do you expect we bottom on indices and btc?
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Yea who can read Mr Market in the moment with all the macro factors as well? 😊 that’s why I just try to buy and hold long with Nebius and I don’t trade it other than taking CCs on my positions which I can also roll up on.
That said two things: 1) It’s not technically very oversold on RSI alone (RSI is not under 30 which typically represents significantly oversold territory). Yet 2) I personally just bought more at higher levels than this 😊 (of course just my two cents, NFA).
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$INV : I have CCs on my full position expiring this Friday.
My question is whether or not I should sell more if they expire. There’s an argument that at this deflated price there’s simply significantly more upside to miss than downside potential. I’m considering the best course and haven’t yet decided, complicated by the fact that the next monthly expiration is after 8/13 earnings call
Potential Bull Catalysts (next 6-12 months?):
1). The stock might hit $10+ if an AMD or Nvidia reference design or even favorable public comment on two-stage liquid cooling hits market. This may well be inevitable as single
Phase liquid cooling is already the preferred method over air to eliminate water waste but Accelsius claims their two-stage liquid cooling tech which they fully own the patents on could potentially cut cooling costs by nearly 50%
2). Accelsius lands a new deal with a more established player than DarkNX or a HS could also send the stock soaring over $10
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@MB_Hogan @x_times_1 Mark for NBIS would you say we’re very oversold as well and good to buy more at these levels? Hard to tell if the market is done derisking
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@x_times_1 Agree 👍🏻 as we are getting close to JCI/Legrand buy levels
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@MB_Hogan @B__Digs @MirageWL8 Wouldn’t that put us at ~$700 share price next year if we trade at current multiples?
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@B__Digs @MirageWL8 I was thinking maybe $20B by end 2027. I’d be thrilled with mid 20’s 🤝
Interesting to see if Nebius can hit more like $13-$14M blended per MW
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$NBIS Revenue in next 13 months (Extrapolating from chief revenue officer, Marc Boroditsky comments about 10s of billions of revenue in the next 13 months)
I did this estimate last year in like 5 mins simplifying things as much as possible and all things considered, the numbers were in the high end but within range for sure according to a $9B ARR by end of year
I basically had about $4B revenue coming in 2H ‘26 to meet the high end of the $9B ARR guidance. Comments yesterday from Marc alluding to 10s of billions imo implies to me much higher multiple $10B in revenue in the next 13 months and implying growth is accelerating
Extrapolate as you will.
Mirage@MirageWL8
$NBIS Revenue Distribution All revenue today is recurring AI cloud revenue. These are super rough estimates with error bands, but Q4 ‘26 should see a ~500% increase in AI cloud revenue YoY. These are durable contracts with SMB and large enterprise customers. In 2026: At no point do I see bare metal hyperscaler revenue surpassing AI cloud revenue and that’s after $NBIS signed HUGE hyperscaler contracts Btw, I expect more hyperscaler contracts to be announced, not that they’re ideal but they help finance things early on
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@babyfolio Is there a point where you’d stop trading/investing the way you currently do in tech and growth and go more index/chill? Hoping it’s far away as I’d like to continue tailing you for a long time 😅😂
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It's crazy how many people clown me on red days.
I'm currently up around 270% YTD, and I'm pretty happy with that performance.
I've been rotating aggressively between opportunities, making countless trades, and I'll likely owe over $1M in taxes. I'm genuinely grateful to be in that position.
Yes, my short-term trading is behind a paywall because it's essentially a constant stream of updates and would just create noise publicly.
But my long-term thesis, portfolio updates, and major position shifts have always been public and free.
Now I'm focused on the next milestone:
$7M → $14M
The goal is to keep compounding and eventually surpass @kevinxu's net worth (just kidding).
You're welcome to follow the journey or hate in the comments.
Either way, the feedback I've received here have been a huge motivation to keep sharing my journey and continuing to post.
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@spacepixel @4head7900 Pixel will you bid btc this cycle or focus on the infinite bid for compute trade. I know you mentioned the latter has much better potential
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@4head7900 Good take. Probably the only time that tokens can look better than equities.
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The Crypto market is clearly not PvE yet.
Just massive rotation from narrative to narrative.
You can win at this game.
But you have to be terminally online. With your finger on the sell button as soon as momentum is lost.
I don't think any of the latest coins have made people believe in anything.
Most players still bleeding money on each narrative.
Ansem brought no new liquidity into the space.
Robinhood chain won't bring any new substantial players to the game.
Really need a huge catalyst to change this.
Everyone is still getting zeroed. Then we lose another player to AI stocks.
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😅still got spot though.
But am mostly done trading with stocks unless you see es trading at 7100
Am out. That’s my setup. High probability setup.
K@buttercupmoney
The meat of the move is already done on mu Sndk for a while For a while … got no big hopes and targets for July.
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@Sandeman52 I would’ve believed as well but he said we’d go from $200 —> $411 a while ago and we just ended up coming back down here again from $300
The Long Investor@TheLongInvest
$NBIS has now retested the Wave 4 support level EXACTLY at $200, to the cent. A hold here and Wave 5 is next to $411 and just in time before the market weakness comes before the Mid-Terms. We have guided you from $77 to $280, back down to $200 and we expect $411 next.
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$NBIS Many of you throw shade at this dude. Even I did.
But his wave targets for NBIS have hit almost to the T.
His wave 4 is right now around $200. Wave 5 is above $400.
Am I becoming a believer in Elliot Waves? I dont know. But I’m smart enough to see the pattern here.
The Long Investor@TheLongInvest
$NBIS bulls you now have your second chance I bullied you into not chasing this when it ran hot in Sept to $141 and to wait for a pull back to $80 before adding I bullied you into buying at $80 And now im bullying you into doing the right thing and take advantage of this Wave 4 pull back testing $200 again You needed to be guided and now you have it.
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@MB_Hogan @large_farva34 Is your plan to hold for the long game for your 2030 model to play out or sell in tranches?
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$NBIS JUST IN : Pythia Research says to BUY Nebius Meta panic dip with end-2026 PRICE TARGET range of $300-$375 a share 🔥🔥
•Meta Compute triggered a sharp valuation reset despite Nebius reiterating 3.5GW contracted power, a 4GW target, and continued supply-constrained demand.
•Management maintained its $7-9 billion ARR target while customers continue competing for GPUs, extending contracts, and increasing prepayments despite higher pricing.
•Historical valuation compressed from 11-14x forward ARR to roughly 8x, creating a disconnect despite more than $46 billion of hyperscaler commitments.
•I estimate a base-case fair value of approximately $300 by year-end, with upside to $375 if execution and additional commercial wins materialize.
seekingalpha.com/article/492014…
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