Marli Dunietz

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Marli Dunietz

Marli Dunietz

@marli_wd

Ex-econ earning a political science PhD at FSU. I study people's beliefs about others' beliefs. Retweets are more likely than not just my personal reading list.

Katılım Ocak 2016
710 Takip Edilen114 Takipçiler
Marli Dunietz retweetledi
Antoine Levy
Antoine Levy@LevyAntoine·
My deepest, most strongly held certainty is that Trump and Republicans actually, sincerely have the way tariffs work confused and reversed. They seriously think US tariffs mean higher prices for Canadian consumers and Mexican tariffs mean higher prices for US consumers.
Rand Paul@RandPaul

US tariffs inevitably bring Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese tariffs which means higher prices for lumber, steel, aluminum and more expensive homes and cars.

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Marli Dunietz
Marli Dunietz@marli_wd·
@btshapir @paulnovosad Even if all assault weapon buyers substituted to handguns, why might more deaths occur? Handgun shooters are already choosing their optimal weapon/level of violence; AR-to-handgun shooters are not.
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Brad Shapiro
Brad Shapiro@btshapir·
@paulnovosad To be clear, we did not survey people about their policy preferences. We did a demand estimation using conjoint analysis to understand their valuations, price sensitivity and substitution patterns.
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Brad Shapiro
Brad Shapiro@btshapir·
Some replies suggesting that but for SCOTUS, we could just ban handguns. Not so fast... Our estimates imply that the aggregate consumer surplus loss of banning handguns would be huge. Simply put, voters would very likely have something (negative) to say about handgun bans.
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Marli Dunietz
Marli Dunietz@marli_wd·
@RyanReedHill @florianederer The same critiques apply to road race. Road cycling is a team sport. Why individual medals with national teams varying in size from 1-4?
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Ryan Hill
Ryan Hill@RyanReedHill·
@florianederer 3x3 basketball is truly an affront to the Olympic spirit. Who is this for?
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Florian Ederer
Florian Ederer@florianederer·
This is an excellent article with plenty of good arguments against horses, sailing, rowing, and, most importantly, 3x3 basketball. I don't agree with all of it ... especially because almost all of Austria's gold medals in the last 30+ years have come in sailing.
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Ethan BdM
Ethan BdM@ethanbdm·
This is a really nice paper. I'll describe my favorite result: Suppose there's a minority of voters who observe policy choices and a majority of less informed voters who only observe something like their own allocation or outcome. 1/
Benjamin Blumenthal@bnjmnblmnthl

📣I'm on the Econ Job Market this year, and it's JMP time! 🤓 My JMP "Voter Information and Distributive Politics" is available here (…d5d23212483.dl.dropboxusercontent.com/cd/0/inline2/C…) More details on my work can be found on my website: sites.google.com/view/benjaminb…

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Florian Ederer
Florian Ederer@florianederer·
I am very sad to hear of the passing of Nora Szech who was an excellent behavioral economist and theorist. polit.econ.kit.edu/index.php
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NBER
NBER@nberpubs·
Candidates in French and US elections adjust the ideology and complexity of their platforms to each other, thus converging to the center as in the median voter theorem, from Rafael Di Tella, Randy Kotti, @clpennec, and @VinPons nber.org/papers/w31503
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Eric Boehm
Eric Boehm@EricBoehm87·
I feel like this is something that should be a much bigger story than it is: Starting next year, American passport-holders won't have visa-free access to Europe. Instead, you'll have to pay 7 Euros and wait *14 days* for an entry visa to be processed. reason.com/2023/07/28/say…
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Andy Guess
Andy Guess@andyguess·
Today is publication day for the first 4 papers resulting from a unique collaboration between Meta researchers and outside academics to study the political effects of Facebook and Instagram in the 2020 U.S. election! 🧵 1/N
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Pranav Rajpurkar
Pranav Rajpurkar@pranavrajpurkar·
We gave 180 radiologists an expert-level AI for diagnosis. But instead of improving, their performance didn't budge. 😮 Why? Radiologists implicitly discount AI predictions, favoring their own judgment - a bias we call "automation neglect". 🧠 Let's dive into our findings. 🚀
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Marli Dunietz
Marli Dunietz@marli_wd·
@ianRturner @carlislerainey @Tyler_Menzer A conversation I had recently involved the argument that yes, there are some things you can do to improve power. But doing anything too fancy might look weird to referees and open you up to criticisms about methods/artificiality. What are good preemption strategies?
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Ian Turner
Ian Turner@ianRturner·
@carlislerainey @Tyler_Menzer I also think practically, at least in convis I've had, ppl tend to think about it from a cost perspective: need enough power to detect effect but you don't at some point a longer marginal dollar spent isn't worth gain in power
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Carlisle Rainey
Carlisle Rainey@carlislerainey·
I don’t understand why experimentalists pay so little attention to power. That’s literally their job. The statisticians have handled the Type I errors, it’s the experimentalists’ job to take care of Type II. Power isn’t *a* concern, it’s *the* concern in experimental design.
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Todd Jones 🦊
Todd Jones 🦊@toddrjones·
🚨NBER WP alert🚨 "Mothers are substantially more affected by the school year than are fathers. When school is in session, mothers sleep less, spend more time caring for family members,...and spend less time on eating, free time and exercise." nber.org/papers/w31177 (1/3)
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Nicholas Bednar
Nicholas Bednar@NicholasBednar·
Tweets about why preference aggregation through AI would "solve" Arrow's Theorem are the best argument for why I do not want AI technologies near voting institutions. It's... It's just not true...
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Ray Fisman
Ray Fisman@RFisman·
#econtwitter I met an inspiring young South African yesterday who is doing great anti-corruption work. I learned about a shocking overlap between corruption and violence against women. Whereas public officials extract $$ bribes from men, often sex is the “currency” for women. 1/3
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Marli Dunietz
Marli Dunietz@marli_wd·
@ethanbdm What an awful survey q. Literally it seems to be asking about how scientists should allocate their time budgets but Ds seem to be answering a q about how the marginal scientist should allocate their time.
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Ethan BdM
Ethan BdM@ethanbdm·
I don't agree with this thread. Scientists are entitled to political and policy views. But calling those views scientific is confused. Scientist's political & policy views, like anyone's, reflect facts and values. They don't have any special claim to deference wrt values. 1/
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⑆Luke Stein⑈
⑆Luke Stein⑈@lukestein·
Excited to share a new WP with Ran Abramitzky, @JacobCConway, and Roy Mill about differences in economic outcomes by perceived skin tone among African Americans using census data from 1870–1940 [Short slideshow👇 and short thread below that] @nberpubs WP nber.org/papers/w31016
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Keşfet

@btshapir @paulnovosad @RyanReedHill @florianederer @clpennec @VinPons @NatureHumBehav @ianRturner