Matthew Tyson

@Rainmaker1973 You mean Red Stag calling.

Deer call World Championship 2026 in Germany

@shanaka86 $13.3bn seems cheap. The budget is $925bn a year. We should get more of these.

JUST IN: The most powerful warship ever built is heading back to a war that power cannot end. USS Gerald R. Ford, $13.3 billion, 100,000 tons, 75 aircraft, electromagnetic catapults launching sorties every 45 seconds, Dual Band Radar tracking from surface to space, nuclear reactors that do not refuel for 25 years, has completed repairs after its Mediterranean port calls and is returning to the Central Command theatre. Admiral Caudle confirmed April 2: “Back on station again here soon.” The deployment will reach 11 months, the longest carrier deployment in modern American history. The USS George H.W. Bush is following as relief. But the Ford is going first because the war will not wait. Here is what it is sailing into. An Army Chief of Staff fired two days ago without explanation, replaced by the Defence Secretary’s former aide, clearing the chain of command for whatever comes next. An IRGC that has published a target list of eight bridges across four allied nations, including all three links connecting Abu Dhabi to the mainland. A Supreme Leader who has not appeared on video or audio in 25 days, whose regime governs through cardboard cutouts and written statements read by television anchors. A president who told the world’s allies to “build up some delayed courage” and reopen the strait themselves. A $20 billion petrochemical plant sitting cold in the Saudi desert because the molecule that feeds it cannot pass through a 34-kilometre passage. Three supertankers that just slipped out through Omani territorial waters, proving the IRGC’s toll booth has a door that was never locked. A Fujairah pipeline already hit by Iranian drones, running at surge capacity through damaged terminals. Two hundred cryogenic helium containers drifting toward thermodynamic irreversibility while the chips they cool run the targeting systems on the F-35Cs parked on the Ford’s flight deck. Those F-35Cs each contain more than 900 pounds of rare earth magnets manufactured in China. China banned military-affiliated rare earth exports in December 2025. The carrier is sailing toward a war zone carrying aircraft it cannot replace, built with components from the country it is asking to broker the peace. The Ford’s air wing is the sharpest sword in the American arsenal. The sword is made of Chinese metal. And the Chinese are in a conference room in Beijing with a Pakistani diplomat deciding whether to open the strait the sword was sent to protect. Three hundred days at sea. Thousands of sorties launched since June 2025. Air superiority enforced from the Red Sea to the Gulf. Everything a carrier battle group is designed to do, done. And the strait is still closed. The helium is still boiling. The fertiliser is still not shipping. The bridges are still on the list. And Iran, degraded by 90 percent, navy destroyed, air force grounded, missile city burning, is still collecting tolls in yuan from every vessel that wants to pass. The Ford can fly 160 sorties in a day. It cannot open the strait. It cannot restart the helium plant. It cannot make the rice grow. It cannot force a deal in Beijing. The most lethal platform in naval history is heading toward a problem that lethality cannot solve. The molecule does not salute. The strait does not care how many sorties the catapult can launch. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

@arminkiani_ @Polymarket Make another strait! The Oman canal

@Polymarket I have an idea

BREAKING: Pentagon reveals special military operation in Iran cost $11,300,000,000.00 in the first six days alone.

@mirzaotovic @KobeissiLetter Hey so how’s that short? Still trying to catch it?

@mtyson29 @KobeissiLetter In the morning. Crude Oil names Stocks with the highest IV Selling calls into the open

The million dollar question: What happens to the stock market this week? Here's our view: In the lead up to this weekend's events in Iran, we saw a large geopolitical risk premium priced into many parts of this market. Oil prices are up +20% in 6 weeks and gold prices surged +13% in a month. The question becomes: is this geopolitical risk premium "enough" for what's happening now? It's an "expectations versus reality" situation. At the 6 PM ET futures open today, we expect to see an initial surge in commodity prices and drop in equities. In our view, the Strait of Hormuz situation, and its potential closure, is the biggest risk to financial markets right now which will drive broader price action. What happens in the Strait of Hormuz will largely depend on how long this conflict lasts: Historically, President Trump has heavily favored swift military operations, such as the June 2025 Iran strikes and the capture of Venezuela's President Maduro. If President Trump follows this historical path, we believe an initial surge in commodity markets and drop in equity markets could be rapidly undone, particularly if a "deal" is floated again. Even any sort of indication of when the military campaign will "end" could reverse price action rapidly. Again, a substantial geopolitical risk premium is already priced in. However, the catastrophic case for markets is one where the US and Israel enter a prolonged war with Iran lasting months or longer, resulting in a sustained closure of the Strait of Hormuz. A full closure of the Strait of Hormuz would send oil prices above $100 per barrel, according our analysis, which would imply a spike in US CPI inflation to ~5%. That said, do not forget that three of President Trump's top policy priorities are to be the "peace president," eliminate inflation, and lower US gas prices to $2.00 per gallon. A prolonged war with Iran would work in the opposite direction of these key initiatives, particularly in the short-term during a crucial midterm election year. We think Trump aims for a short and swift operation and markets prevail once again as the dust settles.

@D_abdulkader @GuntherEagleman No sorry to tell you it’s happening

@GuntherEagleman Iraqi Kurds didn’t launch an offensive into Iran. They would not do that, not in their interest and it was already denied by Kurdish officials in the Kurdistan Region. This is fake news.

BREAKING: Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg says that the Iraqi Kurds are doing something that's "really hard to do" by starting a FULL SCALE ground invasion into Iran: "people don't realize how big it is." "What I would hope they do is go take Kharg Island" which is known as an "oil island." "Kharg Island is in the northern Persian Gulf. It is an island. It's offshore about 18 miles. And if you take that out, that island, that's 80 to 90% of the petroleum usage that the Iranians have." "You basically shut them off economically. They cannot support China. They cannot support Russia as well. And sooner or later, the other side is going to realize this is just a bad news thing. So 10% right now, today, 10% of China's oil comes from Iran." "When you add the 5% of their oil that came out of Venezuela, that's 15% cut in their economics and oil. So I would prefer they do something like that."

NEW: Trump administration will meet top U.S. defense contractors (Lockheed Martin, RTX/Raytheon, others) at the White House to speed up weapons production as U.S. stockpiles have been strained by conflicts including Iran, Ukraine, and Gaza. The Pentagon is preparing a ~$50 billion supplemental budget to replenish stockpiles and increase output of key weapons like Tomahawk cruise missiles (target production up to 1,000 per year). Officials are also pressuring contractors to prioritize production over shareholder payouts, with underperforming companies potentially facing penalties or contract termination. Source: Reuters

@mirzaotovic @KobeissiLetter So when you shorting oil?

@mtyson29 @KobeissiLetter Bro. If you and i could do 90% ++ We’d be studs If i could do 90% of my trades as winners. I wouldn’t be here debating you and you know it 😂😂😂

@mirzaotovic @KobeissiLetter Yet their drones keep hitting our Bases. This isn’t over quickly. Nobody is suggesting boots on the ground.

That’s a fantasy story. The US controls the skies. Drones now fly over Iranian airspace 24/7 Bringing equipment out into the open becomes a turkey shoot. Only way the US can lose this war is if they send boots into Iran. But no one is doing that. This is a limited mission with only one objective, cut the snakes head and hope the buddy falters or theirs another snake ready to take over.

@mirzaotovic @KobeissiLetter Statements 1-4 couldn’t be more wrong. IRGC has only expended about 10% of missiles / 5% of UAVs. U.S. has 3 weeks of fighting planned. Iranians undeterred and already reorganizing, it’s going to get uglier before stability comes. Maersk now suspending all shipments.

Fade the moves Oil is a SHORT into the pop 1. Iran isn’t fighting - they’re maintaining some dignity 2. Pressure within Iran will make them fold 3. US hasn’t intensified its attacks = there’s a transitional government in place already Waiting 4. Remaining Iran hierarchy is realizing they can’t win this war. When they come to that full realization, they’ll ask for a ceasefire 5. Strait of Hormuz will reopen 6. Normal flow will resume 7. The pop in oil is needed to absorb the shock of both Iranian & Venezuelan crude oil hitting the supply side in the next 3-6 months

@WhiteySwolz @KobeissiLetter He’s already dead. Who is next?

@KobeissiLetter Bro watched 40+ of Iran's top brass get evaporated in the first 30 minutes of conflict and he still signs up to be the new leader. LOL He's got some massive nuts, I'll give him that...

BREAKING: Iran has named Alireza Arafi as their interim Supreme Leader following the death of Khamenei. He's known for: 1. Being a long-time insider in Iran’s political hierarchy 2. Spending decades within Iran’s theological and political institutions 3. Being appointed by Khamenei to several roles 4. Being considered for years as a possible successor to Khamenei

@NYCMayor Every Iranian I speak to says good! Go focus on the snow and the local crime.

Today’s military strikes on Iran — carried out by the United States and Israel — mark a catastrophic escalation in an illegal war of aggression. Bombing cities. Killing civilians. Opening a new theater of war.  Americans do not want this. They do not want another war in pursuit of regime change. They want relief from the affordability crisis. They want peace. I am focused on making sure that every New Yorker is safe. I have been in contact with our Police Commissioner and emergency management officials. We are taking proactive steps, including increasing coordination across agencies and enhancing patrols of sensitive locations out of an abundance of caution. Additionally, I want to speak directly to Iranian New Yorkers: you are part of the fabric of this city — you are our neighbors, small business owners, students, artists, workers, and community leaders. You will be safe here.

@Vastechat @MarioNawfal Yeah but you think a Aircraft sits without a destroyer group?

John Kiriakou dropping truth bombs again—hypersonics like Fattah-2 are a real headache for carrier groups. But USS Abraham Lincoln isn't sitting still: layered defenses (SM-6, F-35s, Aegis), constant movement, and EW jamming make a clean hit extremely tough. Sinking one? Possible in theory, catastrophic in practice. WW3 button stays unpressed unless someone miscalculates badly. Thoughts? 🚀⚓ #Iran #USNavy

🇺🇸🇮🇷John Kiriakou just dropped a real concern with hypersonic missiles attacking U.S. aircraft carriers: “We have to worry about hypersonic missiles and their use against aircraft carriers. The conventional wisdom is that an aircraft carrier cannot defend itself from a hypersonic missile. Can you imagine the fallout if the Iranians sunk the USS Abraham?” Source: @JohnKiriakou

@KobeissiLetter Andddd Anthropic is banned by DoD

In 2 weeks: 1. Anthropic led to IBM's, $IBM, largest daily decline since October 2000 2. Anthropic sent cyber security stocks -20% lower 3. Anthropic erased over -$100 billion in market cap across multiple industries 4. Anthropic declined the US Pentagon's "final offer" 5. Anthropic's technology was banned in the US government by President Trump The AI Revolution is accelerating.

@WassonWatch Instant follow

Me and the boys be like

@ryn858 @PitchingNinja Why have an umpire ??

@PitchingNinja There should be a limit on how many times they can challenge. If it’s successful, they can get another one, but the second they get a bad call. They can’t call it for the rest of the game.

You think YOU'VE had a bad day?? Here's 5 Consecutive Calls overturned by ABS challenges. The cheer at the end. 🤣

@Steeper33 @iamufohunter It literally says “Content is not available”

@iamufohunter I posted it 15 years ago. Surprised it's still up. youtu.be/gp9YmTnYP90?si…

🚨 WARNING : Iam scared that this footage may take my X account down. So download the video or retweet as much as possible. Banned clip of 9/11 shows First responders reveal they saw planted bombs inside the towers. Thoughts ??

@FieldYates I count 9.

The 8 turnovers in this game is the most turnovers in a playoff game since the 2015 NFC Championship game between the Panthers and Cardinals.

@AdamSchefter Stop with this.

After being let go as the Dolphins head coach after the 2021 season, Brian Flores spent the 2022 season as the Steelers’ Senior defensive assistant and linebackers coach.

@TrendyVids7 @InternetH0F @grok who is the name of the fighter with The Rock?

A UFC fighter won his first fight, tweeted that he had $7 in his account. The Rock showed up, pretended they were going to a friend's house, then The Rock gave him the keys to his new house 🥹 ❤️

@morningwhiskey @Want2RunAgain @KobeissiLetter Sanction him with their army! Oh wait a minute, they don’t have an army. 😂

@Want2RunAgain @KobeissiLetter What's the ICC gonna do ?

PRESIDENT TRUMP JUST NOW: Trump: "Colombia is run by a sick man, he's not going to be doing it for very long." Reporter: "So there will be an operation by the US in Colombia?" Trump: "Sounds good to me."