nj4rfk

3.9K posts

nj4rfk

@nj4rfk

NJ grassroots for RFKJr. Radical centrist. Sometimes partisan. Always independent. Current topics: #Wuhaner #StopWW3 #1A #4A #MAHA+ #DOGE #RFKIsLP #AISafety

New Jersey Katılım Haziran 2024

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nj4rfk@nj4rfk·1d

🇺🇸🇮🇱This Israeli tactic of killing Iranian negotiators is not really a "betrayal". Not anymore. Rather it has grown into a strategic Israeli attack on the US and other putative Gulf allies. As GWBush was saying, "Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me." An Israeli objective is to keep the US stuck in Iran War, no matter the costs to the nation or to Trump personally. Whoever he tries to negotiate with, WILL be targeted by Israel. Since Trump already KNOWS this, it therefore doesn't count as "betrayal" per se.

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nj4rfk@nj4rfk·1d

Yeah, thanks, I've mangled that bushism a bit. In this form it's even more fitting our case. To rephrase, my reading is that Trump is not fooled twice by these Israeli killer oops moves, just like per W. But he accepts that as an imposed rule of the game and a cost of doing business with Israel - and so it's not really a betrayal anymore, but more of an obstacle for DJT. And for the nation.

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Handy Apocalypse Tips📐🔨👍@bringthfunk·1d

@nj4rfk @BretWeinstein The actual W quote is "Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, uhhh, won't get fooled again." I am not making this up.

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Bret Weinstein@BretWeinstein·1d

Can we all at least agree that IF Israel sought to block peace negotiations by intentionally targeting Kamal Kharazi (the Iranian negotiator), that it would be an egregious betrayal of our alliance? I'd like to understand how supporters of war with Iran see this. I'm stumped.

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nj4rfk@nj4rfk·1d

@RandPaul Let's clarify in law, that NATO #Article5 actions shall require War Powers vote in Congress. NATO charter has been adopted before War Power Act. WPA has superceded prior NATO charter interpretations. Let's make this explicit.

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nj4rfk@nj4rfk·1d

@marklevinshow 🇺🇸🇫🇷🇺🇳French veto of Hormuz escalation at the UN -- is *supportive* of America First. America thanks you, France.

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Mark R. Levin@marklevinshow·1d

Vichy France

Open Source Intel@Osint613

NYT: Russia, China, and France are shutting down an Arab-led effort at the UN Security Council to greenlight military action against Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Diplomats say all three are rejecting any resolution that includes authorization for force.

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nj4rfk@nj4rfk·1d

@iribnews_irib Palantir targeting AI has confused Pasteur and Wuhan. 🇺🇸💉

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IRIB (Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting)@iribnews_irib·1d

🚨Founded in 1920, #Pasteur_Institute of Iran is a biotech powerhouse, famous for pioneering BCG & Hepatitis B vaccines and rabies control in MENA. This historic center of medicine was destroyed by American bombs yesterday, halting vital life-saving research.

IRIB (Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting) tweet media

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nj4rfk@nj4rfk·1d

🇬🇧🇩🇪Rather, England preempting Hitler is a good example. England would have fought alone and be likely defeated. Directly relevant to the Iran War. 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Why: It only may sound cute and heroic, but in reality would have been dumb and reckless. 🇺🇸🇷🇺🇫🇷France, the US, the Soviets would have not been allies as in historical reality, but watched from sidelines to pick up the spoils. Germany would have had only one front to fight.

David Stockman@DA_Stockman

This is completely ignorant historically. Japan wasn't looking for a fight with the US---FDR forced them into it by putting an embargo on oil and other raw material which threatened to choke their economy.....If that sounds like the US sanctions on Iran, it was. As for England pre-empting Hitler, give me a break. The English at Versailles agreed to dismember Germany by cutting Prussia in half and sticking the Danzig corridor right thru it. More than anything, the German irredentism that came out of the idiotic Versailles Treaty is what Hitler rode to power on. If you really want to understand the last war, study the war before that.

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nj4rfk@nj4rfk·1d

We've had a brief formal policy debate along these lines, in NJLP a couple years ago. A proposal was to require a formal disclosure of recent contacts with Feds for the party board members. It was defeated. The board member most vociferously opposed was an undisclosed then-current FBI contractor.

Angela McArdle@RealAngelaMc

A big debate in libertarian circles is whether or not its acceptable to work for a defense contractor and be active in libertarian politics. Like, can you help manufacture weapons of war and still hold yourself out to be a libertarian?

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nj4rfk@nj4rfk·1d

Nation level censorship programs frequently benefit domestic tech competition, and expand due to their lobbying. This is an underappreciated element of political economy of censorship. Ex. 🇮🇷 techradar.com/vpn/vpn-privac… 🇺🇸Many American platforms and major sites are likewise blocking VPNs and Tor. That eases corporate and state surveillance under pretext of site security.

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Brian McDonald@BrianMcDonaldIE·1d

RBK reports that Russia’s war on VPNs is entering a new phase, with major platforms including Yandex, VK, Ozon and Sberbank instructed to block users accessing services via “blacklisted” VPNs. Companies have been given tools to detect VPN traffic, must report new services to regulator Roskomnadzor, and will operate alongside a new “white list” of approved VPNs. Non-compliance could lead to loss of IT tax status and other penalties.

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nj4rfk@nj4rfk·1d

This is a categorical error. Yes, Pentarchy were deemed the "great powers" - within the narrow regional European context. At the time they wouldn't count China as a GP, because it had no relevance to European conflicts. Likewise Iran may be solidifying as a REGIONAL "great power" on a way to hegemony. Nothing more, not yet. They now will be able to starve Qatar or Kuweit at will, and so to control their neighbors. But $1 oil toll surcharge gives them only limited global leverage.

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Policy Tensor@policytensor·2d

“The argument here is that there is a depth to this intellectual history of the idea that the final test is that of the battlefield. This is not at all a semantic issue. It is an issue of the facts of our history, of our intellectual history. An argument by definition would be that a great power is defined in this way. It is not defined in this way. It is defined in terms of the expectation of putting up a real fight with the strongest state. The issue is that those are arguments about definitions. I am talking about the test here—how can we tell for sure that a state is a great power? The thing that decides the debate, not the debate itself about whether or not Iran is a great power. What I am informing you that we have always agreed that this was the test, as a fact about our intellectual history. Losing Hormuz and the gulf is absolutely not a minor defeat. That the US does not have the military means to retake the gulf from Iran is a major and surprising military defeat in a region that American strategic thinkers have always recognized as vital to our interest—as one of three regions of Eurasia whose domination by a single power was recognized from every serious student from Spykman to Pape and Mearsheimer, and by openly by the US in the 1992 DGP as constituting the seat of a great power that could pose the scale of threat formerly posed by the Soviet Union. It is a question of history. The Iranians are in military control of the Persian Gulf and the US cannot militarily reverse that. Prussia was and is recognized as a great power on winning Silesia; Austria on winning Belgrade. If the Prussians can be recognized as a great power for Silesia, and Austria for Belgrade, Iran must be recognized as a great power for gaining military control of the Persian Gulf.” ----- From my note on Substack: @policytensor/note/c-236950629" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">substack.com/@policytensor/….

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nj4rfk@nj4rfk·1d

@tparsi You choice of framing may be not the most effective here. This oil-vs-midterms concern is backward-looking as it is already reflected in the current Trump policy of facilitating Iran oil to market. x.com/nj4rfk/status/…

nj4rfk@nj4rfk

🇺🇸🇮🇷Next steps in the Iran War escalation are a conflict between Trump oft-stated desire for an off-ramp and stable oil prices🛢️ -- vs an Israeli objective of economic and state collapse of Iran. 🇮🇱🇮🇷Trump facilitates Iranian oil to the market, Israel targets it. 🇺🇸🇮🇱The major question is, whether Trump would abandon HIS OWN unique policy, and fall in line with the Israeli priorities. 🇺🇸Framing this as an intra-Trump conflict between a foreign war and domestic policy and political priorities, it reasonable, but less informative. This has been already incorporated in the current Trump policy of Iran oil facilitation. 🛢️🇮🇷We know this, he knows this. 🛢️🌍Stable oil prices in this can be seen both as a domestic benefit, and a global public good. Trump's notable sensitivity to this serves as a deescalatory brake. His limited protection of this global public good is underappreciated form of his public stewardship.

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Trita Parsi@tparsi·1d

Trita Parsi said the threat of American military force has lost its potency in the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict. The only way out of the conflict is de-escalation, he said. “If Iran destroys the regional oil infrastructure, oil prices will shoot through the roof in an enduring way and cause a global economic depression, to say nothing of the potential impact on Trump’s already-declining approval rating and his party’s fate in the upcoming midterm elections,” Mr. Parsi told The Washington Times. “The U.S. can no longer approach diplomacy as a matter of dictating terms — it has to be real give and take.” washingtontimes.com/news/2026/apr/…

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nj4rfk@nj4rfk·1d

Trita Parsi@tparsi

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Bruce Fenton@brucefenton·2d

MAGA didn’t win. The “broad coalition” won. Independent voters an moderates decide elections. That’s how Trump won. And he betrayed them all. MAGA alone couldn’t win a race as dog catcher. It is an ever dwindling minority wing within a minority party based on one whimsical 80 year old man who is one of the most polarizing and despised political figures in American history. They had their day and are now toast. Peak MAGA power was six months ago. The next six months are the last hurrah and then they will fade intro irrelevance. Trump will squander his remaining power on his America Second / Lindsay Graham pivot. He will cost the GOP the mid terms then Trump will spend his final days in office fighting the Democrat majority and with less friends than he’s ever had. MAGA fade into history and will never be relevant or win another election in America.

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Collingwood 🇬🇧@admcollingwood·1d

Timothy Snyder has progressed from compulsively posting unhinged, spittle-flecked screeds about Ukraine, to seeing deep anti-Ukraine conspiracies in every world event. A sad way to end a career, because it doesn't just destroy his reputation, but tarnishes everything he ever wrote: how can we possibly think any of his previous works were objective? Snyder has not only disqualified himself as a credible and disinterested expert in future, but has recategorised his entire bibliography from the past as mere polemics.

Timothy Snyder@TimothyDSnyder

The whole Iran war is looking more and more like a gimmick to drop energy sanctions on Russia and pressure Europeans to do the same. A war to make Russia’s much larger war easier and possible to sustain.

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nj4rfk@nj4rfk·1d

@HighWireTalk @ICANdecide @AaronSiriSG I have a similar ACIP charter reform proposal, submitted to HHS last year. PLMK if you and/or @AaronSiriSG would like to discuss offline. We should be revising the ACIP charter in a way that would make it difficult for the enemy to reverse it back. x.com/nj4rfk/status/…

nj4rfk@nj4rfk

ACIP Charter is freshly NOT compliant with federal law due to a Biden-era legislation. It, Policy manual and Grade Handbook are obsolete and need review and revision. AAP vs Kennedy attacks ACIP composition and your decision-making leveraging this. Everything you do at ACIP at risk or reversal. HHS has our radical ACIP reform proposal for months. The reform process is stalled. Please help us get it going and get attention it deserves. There are parts of this reform that ACIP members can vote on and handle. DM for more or PMLK how best to contact you. These docs have many clauses that were designed to improperly skew ACIP towards vaccine approval. ACIP was rubberstamping junk science for years - by design of this process.

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The HighWire@HighWireTalk·2d

🚨Today is the day the ACIP charter comes up for renewal. @ICANdecide submitted proposed amendments to Secretary Kennedy, and he has the authority to implement them right now. @AaronSiriSG lays out why this matters. By the time any product reaches ACIP, the manufacturer already has liability immunity and stands to make billions. The committee is supposed to be the last independent check before a vaccine is recommended for universal use in every child in America. It should be the most skeptical body in the entire process. @delbigtree described what those meetings used to look like. It was a room full of pharmaceutical industry representatives, watching what he called a dog and pony show, waiting for the announcement that their product was going to make them a billion dollars. For the first time in ACIP's history, that changed. The current committee members were actually asking hard questions and evaluating these products with real scrutiny. Whatever criticisms existed about them, Siri says, you cannot call them zealots who aren't genuinely trying to do their job. The recent court ruling undid exactly that. Today, Secretary Kennedy has the opportunity to respond. The ICAN information is here: bit.ly/Amend_ACIP_Cha…

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Thomas Massie@RepThomasMassie·2d

Former Capitol Hill Police Officer / current CIA employee Kerkhoff was a person of interest & failed a lie detector test, before the famous Blaze article was published. Looks like defamation suits FBI DD Bongino told me he would personally finance against reporters are a bust.

Joe Hanneman 🇺🇸@HanneReports

🚨BOMBSHELL🚨 Former Capitol Police officer Shauni Kerkhoff failed a November FBI polygraph test when asked if she placed pipe bombs on Jan. 5, 2021, a court filing states.

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Rand Paul@RandPaul·1d

Trump is right to reconsider NATO. Under Article II, the president has full constitutional authority to withdraw from any treaty without Senate approval. The 2023 Kaine-Rubio provision can't override the Constitution. It's his call to make. thehill.com/homenews/admin…

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nj4rfk@nj4rfk·2d

@BarakRavid Trump is saying that the regime is "New", not the President. This community note is remarkably dumb. Ravid is accurately reporting what Trump has said. And these dummies think they're noting on Trump, attaching the absurd note to the wrong post and wrong author.

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Barak Ravid@BarakRavid·2d

🚨🚨🚨Trump on Truth Social: Iran’s New Regime President, much less Radicalized and far more intelligent than his predecessors, has just asked the United States of America for a CEASEFIRE! We will consider when Hormuz Strait is open, free, and clear. Until then, we are blasting Iran into oblivion or, as they say, back to the Stone Ages!!!

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nj4rfk@nj4rfk·2d

But - Iran control over Hormuz is unlikely to be affected by Israeli bombings. 1. Reportedly, most Israeli strikes are concentrated in North and West. South is more of American zone of responsibility. 2. Iran controls commercial traffic in Hormuz by drones and mines. These aren't really much affected by Israeli air strikes. 3. Israel wouldn't have much interest to keep Hormuz open for Arabs and others. So their strikes will still be concentrated elsewhere. 4. Assuming aforementioned scenario, Iran would open Hormuz, as a condition of American disengagement.

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Ben Friedman@BH_Friedman·2d

@nj4rfk @BarakRavid I have problem with that in principle but hard to see Iran doing anything to own Strait if Israel is still bombing them

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Ben Friedman@BH_Friedman·2d

The likely issues here: 1. Iran will need not only for the U.S. to stop attacking but also Israel, and it’s not clear Trump has the stomach to lean on Bibi. 2. Iran will want some assurance they won’t be attacked again (this is round 3 after all). Trump is undermining that by talking about returning for “taps,” and anyway, it may be impossible to provide since we twice walked away from talks and bombed them. 3. Having found its leverage over Hormuz to be so productive, Iran may be holding out for sanctions relief.

Barak Ravid@BarakRavid

🚨Three U.S. officials told me discussions are taking place about a possible ceasefire with Iran in return for the reopening of the Hormuz strait. The officials said it is unclear if a deal can be reached

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Keşfet

@BretWeinstein @RandPaul @marklevinshow @iribnews_irib @tparsi @elonmusk @BarackObama @taylorswift13