Nonrival

Great article by @wfrick on government shutdown risks and Kalshi markets nonrival.substack.com/p/how-long-wou…

A roundup of prediction markets to watch related to SVB and the fallout nonrival.substack.com/p/prediction-m… from @ManifoldMarkets & @GJ_Open

Really nice article on @inboxcollective about my latest project @nonrival_pub which brings crowd forecasting to an email newsletter inboxcollective.com/fwd-progress-n… Give it a try: nonrival.pub

Newly added question in the @nonrival_pub Forecasting Challenge: When will Netflix next report more subscribers in a quarter than Disney? Add your forecast here: gjopen.com/questions/2727

Disney and Netflix are strategic mirror images of each other: nonrival.substack.com/p/disney-vs-ne…

Who will pull ahead in the streaming wars this year, Netflix or Disney? nonrival.substack.com/p/disney-vs-ne…

36 predictions for 2023: A roundup covering streaming, EVs, macroeconomy, geopolitics, and more nonrival.substack.com/p/predictions-…

Join the Nonrival Forecasting Challenge! This Challenge explores key questions about the economy or tech with new ones added weekly. Learn more and get started here: goodjudgment.com/nonrival/

We are excited to announce that the INFER #ProForecaster Program will continue into the 2023 season! You may be eligible to apply if you have experience in synthetic biology, AI or other specialty areas. Check out our latest blog for more information: bit.ly/3UOJphX

Announcing the Nonrival Forecasting Challenge on Good Judgment Open! The Challenge explores key questions about the economy or tech, and insights on these topics can be found weekly in @nonrival_pub. Learn more and get started here: goodjudgment.com/nonrival/

Announcing the Nonrival Forecasting Challenge! The Challenge explores key questions about the economy or tech, and insights on these topics can be found weekly in @nonrival_pub. Learn more and get started here: goodjudgment.com/nonrival/

why I started @nonrival_pub: "Truth is the lovely echo of our noisy, contending ways of being wrong." nonrival.substack.com/p/why-i-starte…

Social media isn't dying, but Facebook might be nonrival.substack.com/p/is-the-socia…

some thoughts on SBF and the boring truth about most things nonrival.substack.com/p/sbf-and-the-…

This week's @nonrival_pub forecast: Is the social media era really ending? With nods to @DKThomp @cwarzel & more nonrival.substack.com/p/is-the-socia…

Nonrival readers predict six more months of crypto winter: nonrival.substack.com/p/will-vcs-giv… You can follow this forecast on @ManifoldMarkets manifold.markets/ian/us-venture…

How do you learn from a forecast that doesn't turn out the way you predicted? An interview with @donandrewmoore nonrival.substack.com/p/learning-fro… More at: nonrival.pub the newsletter where readers make predictions.

This week's Nonrival email will include a Q&A with @donandrewmoore on overconfidence & learning from bad forecasts. Sign up now to get it: nonrival.pub

Will VCs give up on crypto? This week's @nonrival_pub forecast includes perspectives from @danprimack @tylercowen @TheStalwart & more nonrival.substack.com/p/will-vcs-giv…

Will Miami's tech boom last? Reader forecasts are in and there are more bulls than bears. Read @NicolasFuRivero explain the situation plus data from @PitchBook in the latest Nonrival nonrival.substack.com/p/will-miamis-… #MiamiTech @substack