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@norbhere

Studying Prediction Markets 🎾Tennis addict Right-curve wannabe

Lisbon Katılım Haziran 2012
1.9K Takip Edilen1.4K Takipçiler
norb
norb@norbhere·
A project that prints money every day and has already bought back almost 30% of its circulating supply - it was obvious for me $PUMP was extremely undervalued. Happy to see deep research proving it from another angle.
Ignas | DeFi@DefiIgnas

Two protocols generate 69% of all crypto holder revenue. The rest of the “investible” market is embarrassingly small. I put together a list of 132 tokens across 12 narratives that might survive the bear market. Read it here: ignasdefi.com/p/the-investib…

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norb
norb@norbhere·
@FabianoSolana Tbh, I’m not going to stop using it until I make some money with it
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fabiano.sol
fabiano.sol@FabianoSolana·
I will STOP USING Meteora if they’re actually getting exposed by Zach But honestly I can’t imagine it People remember Libra and think it was Meteora Here’s why I don’t think so: If we look back at Libra it wasn’t classic insider trading from Meteora’s side Ben supported Kelsier with “technical support” (whatever it means) After Kelsier sniped their own token, they used Meteora’s DLMM pools to add one-sided liquidity, depositing only LIBRA while withdrawing SOL or USD equivalents. This avoided direct market sells (which would have crashed the price immediately) and instead let retail buy pressure absorb the dumps indirectly What I’m struggling to see is how Meteora could use its platform for insider trading beyond simply having more information ??? I’m not close with @MeteoraAG at all, but in the few conversations I’ve had with @0xSoju, he always was someone who would turn the whole company upside down to find any potential bad actors And I think he did that after Libra... What are the odds you crash the company you took over after an “insider scandal” just to do the same thing again lol Honestly they also make enough money already... it's not like we had any billion dollar launches this year where you could make millions with insider information And why would Zach dig up some old story that we already know? Maybe I’m naive, but I have a strong feeling CT is overhyping this and the outcome won’t even involve the very big names
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norb
norb@norbhere·
You prob know you can make some SOL from your Solana wallets by closing unused token accounts. Just tested 3 services with the same wallet: claimyoursol - 0.00163 SOL sol-incinerator - 0.02 SOL getmysol - 0.026539 SOL The winner is obvious. Looks like I left 1–2 SOL on the table by always using the first service. My ref link if you find this useful: getmysol.io/?ref=47B563D1 DYOR and see for yourself if you don't believe me.
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OG
OG@OGlamozda·
There are no banger games left in web3... For a month, I've been researching everything, trying to find an outstanding product. My main criteria were: – no token – quality – team with a real background – strong fundraising – something that’s still under the radar A game where I can grind like back in 2021. I feel like we’ll see 10+ great gaming TGEs in 2026, and I won't miss any of them. Maple Story was solid in 2025, Fabbleborne too, and Cambria will be a dope addition. But I need something special that no one is talking about. So drop your best under-radar web3 gaming projects below 👇🏼
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Soju 燒酒 | Meteora
Soju 燒酒 | Meteora@0xSoju·
hi @coinbase you’re just one BIG ass airdrop to $MET away from acquiring the most powerful spot trading framework on @Solana whenever you need it 👍👍👍
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Ivan Haiko
Ivan Haiko@HaikoIvan·
Hey @playcambria, why could PK remove their status for 100k, and Paymasters couldn't? I'm shining like a fcking Christmas Tree on this map. They don't even need to spend energy to find me now.
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Logics
Logics@immortalhowwl·
+$50K in 20 days on Polymarket He found the perfect edge in crypto His pattern is so clean on the 1h timeframe that it’s impossible to ignore Since the last post, nothing has changed - he’s still magnificent As Matthew showed, we can see a healthy PnL chart His closed profitable positions show an amazing trend The lion’s share of positions is opened for less than 50¢ - which means he really takes risks But looking at his profile - @FirstOrder?via=immortalhowwl" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@FirstOrder?vi… my god, that risk is so justified He’s still trading $ETH, $BTC, $XRP, $SOL This guy has 0 mistakes, his PnL chart could literally be used as a ruler, 0 drawdowns, he’s too good I recommend keeping an eye on him
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Logics@immortalhowwl

-$60 → $344,000 on @Polymarket Crypto markets in just 6M Biggest win $7,500 + 11,000+ predictions - - this isn’t a lucky run, it’s max discipline and a nonstop stream of positions every single day Every active day is green for him, no matter what the market is doing No “all-in” swings, risks are spread out - you can tell he’s tilt-proof, cold-blooded Intense position management: lots of trades with moderate profit per position - but scale does the magic He trades BTC/ETH/XRP/SOL up/down on the 1h tf Capital gets reallocated fast: no long drawdowns, the profit moves in a perfectly straight line with no dips Watch him and absorb his approach to the market His profile to track: @FirstOrder?via=immortalhowwl" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@FirstOrder?vi…

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norb
norb@norbhere·
@ffaa1th I’m sure there’s a way to arbitrage between these two markets, but my math level doesn’t allow me to come up with a working strategy
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MaksOne
MaksOne@0xFA1TH·
I am interested in hearing your opinion. Please write it in the comments. I would be grateful
MaksOne@0xFA1TH

EASY MONEY IN TWO MARKETS We will analyze in detail a low-risk earning strategy with a risk of only 8% Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 2025: - We have a 92% probability that Pope Leo XIV will enter the top 5. - The following candidates are 24% less likely to win. * If we rely on probability Pope Leo XIV has relatively weak competitors. #1 Searched Person on Google this year? - Papa Leo XIV occupies half of the market out of 28 participants. - It is ahead of its competitor by as much as 37% *Based on all these facts we can confidently say that our candidate is ahead of all others by an average of 5 times. *It is evident that we can earn a comfortable 8% with virtually no risk and acquire a second market based on the first.

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igorizuchaetcrypty
igorizuchaetcrypty@igor_mikerin·
S+ tier Polymarket Trader for low-risk copy trading. Account has been seen by 0 people. Real alpha. I found a completely new player on Polymarket that you have definitely never seen before. This trader stands out with the quality of his positions and is clearly focused on long-term profit, which makes his profile perfect for low-risk copy trading. His balance is still small, but he made $60,000 in the past week. His profile: @0x5140e6529f2108469c9386ad5acd7acb8cddae0?via=igor-mikerin" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x5140e6529f2… I have already started copying his trades myself. Let’s see where this takes us in a month.
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norb
norb@norbhere·
A secret insider pushing AI to victory? Some interesting shifts are happening in one of my favorite markets - TIME 2025 Person of the Year. Not only is AI rapidly pulling ahead, but I’ve noticed some very unusual behavior from one trader. Is this insider knowledge - or just a strong conviction bet? goingsocial has been on Polymarket since 2023, made ~$100k in mid-2024, then went quiet after a costly miss on Japan’s new Prime Minister. Small bets for months… and suddenly he’s back firing hard. In just the last three days, he accumulated $78k in YES, becoming the largest holder of the AI winner outcome! Why is he so confident? Is this insider knowledge - or just a strong conviction bet? Hard to say for now. Let’s keep watching how this plays out 👀 Trader - @goingsocial?via=3232" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@goingsocial?v… Market - polymarket.com/event/time-202…
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Phosphen
Phosphen@phosphenq·
Kid from Hell's Kitchen became the next great actor polymarket.com/event/oscars-2… Timothée Chalamet hit 65% odds for Best Actor after one secret screening. October 6, 2025: NYFF surprise premiere of "Marty Supreme" - Standing ovation - Critics: "performance of his career" - Next day: betting lines exploded His track record: 2017: "Call Me by Your Name" - Oscar nom at 22 (third-youngest ever) 2021-2024: Led "Dune" franchise ($1.1B+ combined worldwide) 2023: "Wonka" ($634M global) 2025: "A Complete Unknown" (Dylan biopic) - Won SAG Award (youngest winner ever in category) - Second Best Actor Oscar nom (youngest two-time since James Dean) Then "Marty Supreme": Josh Safdie 1950s ping-pong drama - 96% Rotten Tomatoes - 89/100 Metacritic Critics compared him to young Al Pacino, DiCaprio in "Wolf of Wall Street" Market called it before most people even saw the film. nfa dyor
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norb
norb@norbhere·
@0xCephal As Statham says, what really matters is how many times you managed to get back up
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Cephal
Cephal@0xCephal·
From -$300K to $712K. How this trader made it? I'm genuinely impressed by this guy. After staring at a -$300K hole in June, most traders would've called it quits and moved on. Not him. He doubled down on his strategy, stuck to his edge, and grinded his way into the top 100. That's mental fortitude most people don't have. His secret? Pure specialization in political markets: Politics: +$556K Geopolitics: +$480K Trump predictions: +$440K While everyone else jumps between crypto, sports, and random events, he mastered one vertical. That's where the real edge comes from. And here's the confidence play: right now he has $998K deployed across several active positions - you can track all his moves in real-time on Polymarket using this wallet address: 0x889e7f0464c72eb8cda1525ebc12b6aaba9d09e0
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Noisy
Noisy@noisyb0y1·
ScroooogeMcDuck in real life on polymarket a trader who pulled over $500k pure profit on Polymarket in three months and i’ve literally seen him close 10 trades in a row in fat profit - like +40% each (you don’t see stuff like that often) his winrate is 87%, sounds almost unreal. Right now he’s active on the CS 2 Major: went in big on “Team Liquid won’t win the tournament” (dropped 10k$ and wants to scoop an easy 300$, you can say it’s small but i’ll say it’s a 100% bet) > if you wanna auto-copy trades from guys like that, @pmx_trade is one of the cleanest copy-trading bots for Polymarket on Telegram Link: polycule.trade/join/fu7ctw helps you jump into the same positions as the pros instantly
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norb
norb@norbhere·
@RDX_arXS @Polymarket This guy will make millions when the elections in Mongolia come around
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arXS
arXS@RDX_arXS·
This Honduras prediction just attracted a heavyweight chungguskhan has almost $500K in lifetime profit on @Polymarket, and his latest position shows the same kind of calculated confidence that built that record. He entered the market "Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?" and took "No" at 58¢, holding 213,809 shares. If he’s right, the payout is $213,810. Why this move actually makes sense: > Nasralla’s political support has been unstable, shifting alliances and losing momentum over time. > Honduras’ political landscape is fragmented, and candidates without a strong, consistent coalition usually struggle late in the race. > Recent sentiment and polling trends haven’t shown the growth he needs to remain competitive. The market price already moved from 58¢ to 72¢, suggesting traders are aligning with this view.
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arXS
arXS@RDX_arXS·
This might be the boldest EPL call on Polymarket today antman-batman-superman, the trader with over $2M in lifetime profit on @Polymarket is making another bold call. His latest position? 500,000 shares on "Yes, Chelsea will win on December 3" at 50¢, even-priced prediction with a potential payout of $250,000. And isn’t random: > Chelsea arrive at 7–3–3, finally stabilizing after a shaky start. > Their last matches show clear improvement in finishing and possession control. > Leeds, sitting at 3–2–8, struggle in both conversion and defensive consistency. The Polymarket moneyline reflects the gap: 49% Chelsea vs 23% Leeds, with heavy volume at $2.4M.
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Hanako
Hanako@hanakoxbt·
Insider player on Fed decision market Found his account while doing research, and it seemed strange to me. Literally everything about him indicates that he knows something. If you don't believe its insider, then take a look: > Created account on @Polymarket 2 days ago > Made a deposit of almost $1 million > Did only 1 ALL IN prediction Perhaps this is Trump's associate or someone close to the top echelons of US - idk, but I sure he's insider Wdyt about him? I want to hear your opinion.
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