MaksOne

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MaksOne

MaksOne

@0xFA1TH

Katılım Temmuz 2025
25 Takip Edilen83 Takipçiler
MaksOne
MaksOne@0xFA1TH·
Atalanta vs Juventus - 1:1 ? $281k volume. Liquidity is solid, but early live = expect whipsaws. > JUV 43c (favorite) > ATA 29c > DRAW 30c Both Teams to Score: YES 55c / NO 47c market leaning both teams to score. While the score is 0:0 the market is extremely volatile and reacts to every dangerous attack. But if you read the market data, it’s clearly pricing a 1–1 outcome. Did you buy this market?
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Niakris
Niakris@13_niakris·
🚨 Tomorrow: High-stakes Iran-US talks in Muscat - delegations already on the move Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi: "I'm on my way to Muscat. Talks start at 10 am local (UTC+4)" US side: Steve Witkoff + Jared Kushner landed in Doha, heading to Oman tomorrow. Format: indirect talks via Omani mediators - classic back-channel style. But here's the catch: ▪️ Iran wants ONLY nukes (enrichment, stockpiles, sanctions relief) ▪️ US (Rubio today at State Dept briefing): "We're ready to talk, but for a meaningful outcome it has to include ballistic missiles, proxies (Hezbollah, Houthis), and how they treat their own people." Rubio straight up: "If the Iranians want to meet, we're ready... Steve is ready to go" - but the gap is massive. Trump on NBC: Khamenei "should be very worried" He even pressed Xi Jinping on Iran in their call - pressuring China too. Polymarket (real money, >$150M volume) still betting diplomacy wins: • Strike by Feb 6 → ~2% • By end of February → ~27% YES Odds barely moved - market sees tomorrow as leverage, not trigger. Last-chance talks or another round of theater before the real move? Your call: breakthrough or breakdown tomorrow? Repost if you're watching this like a geopolitical thriller 🔥
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MaksOne
MaksOne@0xFA1TH·
@lazyNik0_sol I wonder what else will happen before the next elections.
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niko.sol
niko.sol@lazyNik0_sol·
The political thermometer in the Middle East is off the charts again 🔥 Polymarket screams: the probability of an Israeli strike on Greater Beirut before March 31, 2026 → 39% (and this is +24% in recent days/hours!) Market: "Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?" - Yes: 39¢ ✅(was below 20-30% recently) - No: 61¢ 🔴 - Volume: hundreds of thousands of dollars already (Lebanon/Hezbollah related markets in millions) - A rise of +24% is not noise, it is a signal from smart money 👀What is happening on earth (February 2026, latest news): - Israel continues daily/almost daily strikes on Lebanon despite the November 2024 ceasefire - January 2026 — peak attacks since November: >50 raids per month (twice as many as in December), the highest level since the armistice (Norwegian Refugee Council + Alma Research) - Recent days: attacks on tunnels, Hezbollah weapons depots in southern Lebanon, the Bekaa, even Hermel (north) - IDF hits underground storage facilities → secondary explosions (weapons confirmed) - Is Hezbollah violating ceasefire? Israel responds with waves of strikes on "terrorist infrastructure" - Additional vibe: spraying of unknown chemicals over southern Lebanon (Beirut accuses of eco-crime, glyphosate/herbicide?) — the tension is growing Greater Beirut is not the south of Lebanon, it is the capital + the suburbs (Beirut Governorate + Mount Lebanon coastal/suburbs). A strike on "Greater Beirut" = escalation of the level of "entering a new round of war", not just border sweeps. The market sees that if the current pace continues + Hezbollah's provocation/response → the probability of a jump to the capital is real. Compare with other markets (all on the topic of escalation): - Will Israel strike Lebanon on [daily/weekly] — often 40-50%+ on some days - Israel strikes Iran by March 31 → ~40% - US/Israel strike Iran → above 60% by the end of the year - Hezbollah strike on Israel → also creeping up Alpha game right now: - Buy Yes at 39¢ — if the escalation continues (and the news has been adding fuel in recent days), it's easy to reach 50-60% → x1.5+ - Or the hedge: Yes Beirut + No to the broader "strike Lebanon daily" (if the strike is targeted, but in the capital — yes) - The liquidity is good, the volume is growing — enter before it's too late This is not a memcoin pump, it is a geopolitical market where the crowd + insiders often make mistakes, but now momentum is on the Yes side. Nothing ever happens? In 2026, things happen every day in the Middle East. What do you think, crypto warriors? Is 39% an underestimation or is the market already aware of what's coming? Who posted Yes/No? Share the direction (without the numbers P&L, just the side 👀) So far, everything is in memes and perps — sometimes the fattest alpha in the black swans of geopolitics. Q1 2026 is going to be hot.
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MaksOne
MaksOne@0xFA1TH·
@llledever He stands out from the crowd and will always find a way to make money.
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VoidReader
VoidReader@VoidReader_·
A trader is making money where stability doesn’t exist. 2,041 predictions. Mostly exact temperature markets in specific locations. Small bets, but strong total profit. Like someone who reads chaos better than forecasts. Strategy is simple: - focuses only on weather markets - targets low odds - uses high prediction volume Best results: - small bets → solid profit - volume → edge One clear takeaway. Discipline and volume beat noise. profile: @automatedAItradingbot?via=llledvever-i3xi" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@automatedAItr
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MaksOne
MaksOne@0xFA1TH·
@KnightShift I’m already testing it and I’ll share my feedback after I try everything.
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Knight
Knight@KnightPredict·
Chance V2 is officially live! One of the premier aggregators for prediction markets is leveling up. The new version brings a sleek UX, fresh features, and even more tools to the table! This is clearly just the beginning for the team! Want to test-drive Chance V2? Grab the access codes below: 3YLKLP 7HVRCC XSKE2Q
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Chance@Chance_

Chance 2.0 is live! A brand new UX, new features, and a smoother trading experience across prediction markets. Use code CHANCE for access (first 50 users only). Welcome to the next era of prediction markets.

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MaksOne
MaksOne@0xFA1TH·
@maqxbt @Chance_ I’m sure that after this update, even more users will come.
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MaksOne
MaksOne@0xFA1TH·
@xatacrypt They keep improving it all the time, and each iteration gets better and better.
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Xatacrypt
Xatacrypt@xatacrypt·
Chance just launched V2 One of the best aggregators for all prediction markets continues to actively develop New UX, new features and more And I’m sure this is only the beginning If you want to try Chance V2 and need an access code - just DM me
Chance@Chance_

Chance 2.0 is live! A brand new UX, new features, and a smoother trading experience across prediction markets. Use code CHANCE for access (first 50 users only). Welcome to the next era of prediction markets.

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MaksOne
MaksOne@0xFA1TH·
@kardinall How many sports are there in total at the Olympics?
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Kardinall
Kardinall@kardinall·
🇺🇸 USA 🇺🇸 gonna steal the Olympics gold rush tomorrow?🔥 Polymarket’s straight clowning them at 26%. Norway’s sitting pretty at 65% ($1.15M volume, $140k just on Norway today). They’ve been untouchable in skiing and biathlon for years. But here’s the real edge: smart money’s already loaded up before the opening ceremony. I’m deep in on Norway - feels like stealing if no random injuries hit. x1.5 looks easy right now. Hockey’s the wildcard though: 🇨🇦 Canada 43%. 🇺🇸 USA 31%. That’s where the chaos could come from. What’s your quiet conviction? Drop country + % + why you’re riding it (or fading it). 🚀
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MaksOne
MaksOne@0xFA1TH·
@gemchange_ltd Interesting what facts he relied on to predict the drop - or was everyone just swept up by euphoria?
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gemchanger
gemchanger@gemchange_ltd·
Crypto Insider made 600,000$ last week (or random guy)? That anon predicted all bearish market movements. Losses? Market haven't fell as much as he expected As Lirrato said: Oct 10-11 '25: PnL $5k -> $475k Nov 11-21 '25: PnL $523k -> $1.29M Jan 28 - Today: PnL $973k -> $1.85M his acc: polymarket.com/profile/0xf705… Sure, it can be a whale with bearish sentiment, but the most interesting part is that He mass bid on big volatility moments, not some regular accumulation zones
Lirratø@itslirrato

I DON'T BELIEVE IN LUCK Someone in Trump's circle is printing millions on Polymarket, and nobody is noticing Check this "Anon" wallet: polymarket.com/profile/0xf705… He has predicted the last THREE major crypto dumps with 100% accuracy Look at the precision: > Dump #1 (Oct 10-11 '25): PnL $5k -> $475k > Dump #2 (Nov 11-21 '25): PnL $523k -> $1.29M > Dump #3 (Jan 28 - Today): PnL $973k -> $1.85M Once is luck. Twice is a coincidence. Three times? Oh.. Polymarket is just another tool to extract maximum value Do not fade this wallet He knows something we don't

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Xatacrypt
Xatacrypt@xatacrypt·
@0xFA1TH that commands respect he managed to make a successful comeback
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MaksOne
MaksOne@0xFA1TH·
This trader turned a loss into a fortune -$300,000 to $4,400,000. This bot was misconfigured and kept trading at a loss. But since December 7, he apparently changed the settings and in just one month it made over $4M. 80% of his bets are placed in the sports category. By the way, for those who are interested in automated trading and making money by following professional traders. I personally copy the trades of these traders and track their predictions using: polycule.trade/join/cw0dlf This bot saved me about 4 hours a day.
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Trinax
Trinax@TrinaxLabs·
@0xFA1TH Automation saves time, but only if there's a winning strategy behind it. The numbers are impressive
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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@0xFA1TH insane how a simple bot fix can flip a $300k loss into millions
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banana0x
banana0x@banan_crypto·
@0xFA1TH this bot got a good set! I'm currious who is creating it if they afford $300k lose :0
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