イオ

なぜ商業(資本主義)が発展しても戦争はなくならないのか？ note.com/odradek/n/n076…

Japan's exports are ramping up despite the Iran War: Japan’s exports jumped +11.7% YoY in March, the 2nd-highest since May 2024. This marks a sharp acceleration from the +4.0% increase in February. Exports to China drove the surge, rising +17.7%, led by chips, electronic components, and industrial metals. At the same time, imports soared +10.9% YoY, widening the trade surplus to ~$4.2 billion, the highest since December 2020. Meanwhile, crude oil imports fell -7.3% in value terms, as tankers that had already departed before the war continued arriving through mid-March. China’s demand is driving the Japanese economy.

ラカンという精神分析家はこの二つの思考実験に着目して、それらがまったくおなじ構造的状況にあると考えた。つまり、それぞれの状況で命を賭すことはまったくありそうなことなのだから、道徳的義務と性欲動の根拠はおなじものだという、フロイトの古典的議論の証明をカントのなかに見たのである。

カントのこの思考実験には続きがあって、カントが想像したのは、権力者に「無実の人を偽証すればお前の命を助けよう(その代わりその人が死ぬが)」と言われる状況。①性的満足のために自分の命を犠牲にする人はいないけど、②道徳的義務のために命を犠牲にするのは、少なくとも想像可能、という論法。

Michael Hudson is not mincing any words.

近代の財政＝軍事国家は、経済蓄積と軍事的優位の変換可能性を通じて膨張するが、資本に内在する「利潤率の傾向的低下」の論理のために、国家はますます強制力を介して経済蓄積を追求するようになる なぜ商業(資本主義)が発展しても戦争はなくならないのか？｜Iō @odradek34 note.com/odradek/n/n076…

“Under Trump, the US imports less and seems uninterested in providing security to allies. Indeed, it appears prepared to undermine global security in pursuit of its narrow interests. The petrodollar is in deep trouble — and with it, the mechanism of dollar recycling that has underpinned lower US borrowing costs for the past 50 years. Yet another pillar of US economic supremacy is coming undone.” ft.com/content/856203…

💢 HORRIFIC: Lebanon “death call” drone strike A man was killed in an Israeli drone strike moments after leaving his family to avoid putting them at risk, according to accounts circulating from southern Lebanon. Videos show him exiting his vehicle and running into a nearby field before being targeted and killed. Footage shows the moments before the strike, with the man fleeing the area alone. The incident echoes a previously documented case in Tallousa, near the Israeli border, where 62-year-old Ahmad Tarmas reportedly received a call from the Israeli army asking whether he wanted to “die alone or with his family.” He left his home and was killed minutes later in a drone strike. Similar “death call” accounts have been reported in southern Lebanon, journalist Radwan Mortada reported.

This afternoon the young man seen running from the vehicle received a call from the Israeli army telling him he could die alone or die with his family in the car. He ran from the vehicle into a field and was struck and killed by an Israeli drone. This is not the first time that the Israeli army has used this tactic. It is pure barbarism. Abject terrorism.

“How were the Greeks able to invent philosophy and tragedy? In this book Richard Seaford argues that a large part of the answer can be found in another momentous development, the invention and rapid spread of coinage which produced the first ever thoroughly monetised society.”

Tucker Carlson on Trump: I’ve always liked Trump and still feel sorry for him, as I do for all slaves. He’s hemmed in by other forces. He can’t make his own decisions. It’s awful to watch. Source: Newsmax

Tucker Carlson Network responds to Trump: Trump is under a level of pressure that most people cannot fathom, with rabid Israel Firsters viciously harassing him any time he dares to stray even slightly from their favorite country’s agenda. Their shameless pursuit is steadfast enough to make even a man like Donald Trump go mad. They are as persistent as any group in history, no matter how well the White House has treated them in the past. Trump is facing a level of pressure that is dark enough to make him abandon his campaign promises and morph into the precise kind of politician he once vowed to destroy. He would not have let that happen unless his personal stakes were really high.

Exclusive: President Trump has repeatedly promised his top administration officials pardons before he leaves office, according to people who have heard his comments. on.wsj.com/4dBsSes

Eventually the Japanese are going to pick up on the fact that in a US-China war in Asia, neither US nor China would be destroyed but Japan may very well be. The bases in Japan are even less survivable than the ones in the gulf.

ヴィクトリア朝以前の英国のスコアボードを見ると、進歩派の方がはるかに優勢ですが、ミルトン、ブレイク、シェリー(超進歩派)─その流れがそのまま、イエイツとエリオットのモダニズム(政治的には反動、ファシズムの系譜)へと流れ込みます。19世紀、ロマン派の「美しい魂」に重い影が垂れ込めました。

現代の作家は政治的であるべきなのか？ 19世紀フランスのスコアボードでは、進歩派より反動の方がはるかに優勢でした。バルザックとゾラ、ボードレールとユゴー、どちらを評価する？ フロベールは大の民主主義嫌いで、ゴンクール兄の日記にはパリ・コミューンの民衆を虐殺すべしと書いてあります。

日本の超低金利政策の資産移転効果を推計した記事。公的部門は短期で借りて長期のリスク資産に投資しすることでGDP比6％超の高いリターンを得ていた。若い世帯は金利が1％下がると総資産の6-9％を失うと推計され、GDP比年率約2％の「預金者への隠れた税」として機能と分析。open.substack.com/pub/thetwocent…

FTの特集記事で日本はアメリカに対して「ノーと言えない」、対米従属を回避する「プランBが存在しない」国と特徴づけられています。「これは、ほとんど虐待に近い、悪い関係になりつつある。…日本が相手を喜ばせようとすればするほど、扱いは悪くなる。」 ft.com/content/2e6858…

目次: 1. 商業が世界を平和にするという18世紀の予見 2. 財政＝軍事国家の誕生と変換システム 3. 長い19世紀における国家の競争的ミメーシス 4.「アメリカの世紀」へ 5. 惑星的変換システムとしての「国際秩序」 6. 利潤率の傾向的低下と資本主義の自己破壊の論理

イランと個別で交渉することは考えていないし、トランプが真珠湾を持ち出したことも「決しておかしくなかった」と茂木外相。 bloomberg.com/jp/news/articl…