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@DavidColetto Opt-in panel ≠ random sample. “Random” is misleading, margin of error is invalid, and results aren’t representative

New Ontario poll: The PCs have regained some ground as the fallout from the private jet controversy fades. PCs: 41% (+3) Liberals: 31% (-4) NDP: 17% But the environment still favours change: • 70% want a change in government • Only 32% think Ontario is on the right track • Doug Ford remains net negative personally The controversy may be fading. The desire for change hasn’t. abacusdata.ca/ontario-pcs-re…

@Mikeggibbs Opt-in panel ≠ random sample. “Random” is misleading, margin of error is invalid, and results aren’t representative. Very dumb opinion to share.

Mark Carney's approval rating as Prime Minister has hit a new record high. *Almost 70% of Canadians approve of his job performance.* I can't think of any PM or any govt who was this popular in all of Canadian history. Canadians are very united right now. If you think this poll is whacky, guess again: Abacus confirmed very similar results this week too. It's real.

@DavidColetto Opt-in panel ≠ random sample. “Random” is misleading, margin of error is invalid, and results aren’t representative

A decade-high 47% of Canadians now think the country is headed in the right direction. In this new long read, I explore why Canadians are becoming more optimistic about Canada while remaining anxious about the world — and how that shift could change politics, advocacy, and persuasion. Why optimism changes how people listen, judge risk, and respond to leadership: open.substack.com/pub/davidcolet…

@Prominent_Bryan These are not polls at all ..

Liaisons has the Liberals at 43% and CPC at 31% Carney's approval at 59%, very much in line with Abacus Like I'm genuinely asking: what's the plan for the Conservatives? Just waiting for Carney to become unpopular? I'm not even saying I know what the CPC should do. But the situation seems just... Really bad? Canadian voters have just decided that they loved Carney and I'm not sure there is anything the CPC can do about it

@abacusdataca Non-random opt-in panels bias results. “Random” only within panel. Margin of error is misleading. Not fully representative of Canadians.

The mood inside Canada and the mood about the world are moving in opposite directions. 🇨🇦 47% say Canada is headed in the right direction 🌎 76% say the world is on the wrong track 🇺🇸 80% say the U.S. is on the wrong track That gap has widened sharply since Trump returned and Carney became PM. New Abacus Data poll: abacusdata.ca/canadian-polit…

@DavidColetto Non-random opt-in panels bias results. “Random” only within panel. Margin of error is misleading. Not fully representative of Canadians.

Today, Mark Carney’s government is more popular than when it was elected. 59% approve. 47% would vote Liberal. 47% say Canada is headed in the right direction — the best number in over 8 years. The opinion environment remains remarkably favourable for the government. abacusdata.ca/canadian-polit…

@CityNewsTO Non-random opt-in panels bias results. “Random” only within panel. Margin of error is misleading. Not fully representative of Canadians

The number of Canadians who believe the country is heading in the right direction has hit its highest percentage since 2017, according to a new poll from Abacus Data. toronto.citynews.ca/2026/05/24/hig…

@CP24 Non-random opt-in panels bias results. “Random” only within panel. Margin of error is misleading. Not fully representative of Canadians

Highest proportion of people since 2017 say Canada is on the right track: poll cp24.com/news/canada/20…

@DavidColetto Non-random opt-in panels bias results. “Random” only within panel. Margin of error is misleading. Not fully representative of Canadians

One of the most important findings in our latest federal poll: The Liberals now lead among voters most concerned about the cost of living. That issue powered Conservative momentum for years. Today, Canadians increasingly blame Trump and global instability — not the federal government — for economic pressures. Full analysis: abacusdata.ca/canadian-polit…

@DavidColetto Non-random opt-in panels bias results. “Random” only within panel. Margin of error is misleading. Not fully representative of Canadians

The Liberals now lead among voters most concerned about: ✔️ Cost of living ✔️ The economy ✔️ Housing ✔️ Healthcare ✔️ Donald Trump That would have been difficult to imagine a year ago. New Abacus Data polling: abacusdata.ca/canadian-polit…

@DavidColetto This methodology isn’t truly random and introduces selection bias. Participants come from opt-in online panels, so they’re already more likely to take surveys and may not reflect the broader population. The “random” selection only applies within this preselected group

New Abacus Data polling: • 59% approve of the Carney government — a new high • Liberals lead by 12 nationally • Carney’s personal ratings are at their strongest yet • Optimism about Canada is at its highest level in more than 8 years The big story? Canadians increasingly see Trump and global instability — not Ottawa — as the source of economic anxiety. More here: abacusdata.ca/canadian-polit…

@sarobertson_ Says two Randys guy

Randy Boissonnault: "You cannot sit down with the feds and negotiate a new deal that will make Albertans more prosperous and Canada stronger on a Monday and then put a referendum question on the ballot on Friday. The Premier needs to pick a lane."

@sarobertson_ Oh, so the federal government is obviously not appealing any large decisions, right?

Thomas Lukaszuk on Danielle Smith calling Alberta judge's decision 'undemocratic': "Courts rule on what is right and what is wrong and what is lawful and what is illegal. They don't render popular decisions. They render righteous decisions. But the Premier doesn't seem to be concerned about that."

PM Carney on the Americans calling the alcohol ban an irritant: "You know what's an irritant? 50% tariffs on steel. 50% tariffs on aluminum. 25% tariffs on automobiles. All the tariffs on forest products. Those are more than irritants, those are violations of our trade deal."

@JillSweden1 What exactly makes you think this is the case?

Poilievre is furious today. Now I know why. Ex Conservative Opposition leader Erin O'Toole, plus Conservative Jean Charest is part of the Canada and U.S committee have crossed over to handle the negotiations. Poilievre is frothing at the mouth.

@AnitaAnandMP Slogan, slogans and more slogans

“This is not the time for politics as usual. United, we build Canada Strong for all.”

@AnitaAnandMP All slogans, no substance, opening a consulate does nothing

We protect our Arctic. We defend our sovereignty. We stand for Canada. 🇨🇦 #LIB2026

@Selinnaria @sarobertsonca Problems not the idea, it’s the absurd cost

@sarobertsonca Guess Conservatives no longer believe in thinking big, in advancement. We once built big things, we need to again.

Pierre Poilievre on the Toronto–Quebec City High-Speed Rail Network: "Conservatives oppose the $90b Liberal-Alto train ... a future Conservative government will cancel this $90b boondoggle altogether."

@OrbitStudios A by-election is a back-room deal?

Pierre is still a sitting MP literally only because of a backroom deal. You can’t make this up.

@misterJDG @SarahFischer__ Two em dashes

Economic Benefits Model. Spending taxpayer money on infrastructure—like roads, bridges, ports, and high-speed internet—supercharges the economy. It makes businesses more efficient, draws in private investors, widens the tax base, and pumps up future government revenue through faster GDP growth, bigger corporate profits, fatter paychecks, and more consumer spending. In plain terms, every dollar spent often returns more than a dollar in economic benefits (a multiplier greater than 1), and the long-term payoff beats the cost of borrowing the cash.

As a former banker and self proclaimed economic expert, Carney sure is getting the basics wrong. When the government spends, it’s still spending even if he calls it “investing.” Saying the two are different means he either doesn’t know what he’s talking about, or worse, he’s trying to trick Canadians.