Onit - The prediction market protocol

The Onit prediction market agent is live in the new @base app! Powered by @xmtp_ and @farcaster_xyz @onit/onit-in-base" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">paragraph.com/@onit/onit-in-…

@ankurnagpal x.com/onit_fun/statu…

Request for startup: Prediction markets for friend groups Bet like complete degenerates on all the people you mutually know Will Alex get divorced in 2025? Will Sarah have more than 4 drinks at the holiday party? Over/under 6.5 likes on John's next Instagram post

6/ Social Feeds: These prediction market apps let users trade on viral narratives emerging across social platforms like X. @kash_bot - Live on Base, it lets users trade directly through quote tweets (QTs) on X. Market resolution is powered by AI. @CallMyBluff_io - An AI-driven prediction market where traders bet on ongoing narratives. The chatbot dynamically updates liquidity and odds in real time. Live on Arbitrum. @onit_fun - Available on Base and Farcaster, it enables users to spin up prediction markets instantly through a chatbot interface. @noise_xyz - Lets users trade on the mindshare of trends across CT, with outcomes resolved using Kaito’s data feed.

@farcaster_xyz miniapps in @xmtp_ chats deployed on @base - The right way to onboard your friends into prediction markets 🚀

@MessariCrypto 🫡

The Prediction Market Landscape

@Paqi_Aysia Your Onit market was deployed 🎉 onit.fun/m/0x18fc9e4ea5…

Something I've been wondering for a while on prediction markets: What is the curation or selection process for creating markets? Similarly to launchpads, there comes a point where saturation of markets just creates noise and analysis paralysis for users. Additionally, it can fragment liquidity. As others like @semajeth have pointed out, there will be a point in prediction markets where we have to think about how liquidity can scale. I recently tried @onit_fun on farcaster by casting onit to create a prediction market on whether or not Base launches a token in 2025. This market hasn't been created and its also unclear when or how this market will be created. No knock on Onit, I actually think its a really cool social prediction market product. Its just that Onit inspired me to tweet about this because I notice this as a common trend for both prediction markets and launchpads: curation. What is curation and what does it look like? Who gets to curate these markets? Should they be curated? How does liquidity flow between them? As prediction markets grow, much like launchpads, the problem to solve is curation. This is impacted partly by liquidity flow and is likely a bottleneck for the growth of new market tools like prediction markets and launchpads.

Link to markets: onit.fun/nfl/week-2

Onit NFL Week 2 Quiz is live! ✅ 5 questions = 5 chances to win 💰 Possible 15,000 Degen token bonus for 5/5

Onit NFL Quiz is live! 🏈 ❓ 5 questions = 5 prediction markets = 5 chances to win 💰 ~$50 bonus for getting 5/5

PREDICTION MARKET INTERESTING PROJECTS A selection of early projects to pay attention to (Projects are listed in random order) ▹ @onit_fun - added to base app, worth taking a look ▹ @CallMyBluff_io - with high probability there will be a token, a large number of smarties are following the project. The platform hasn't launched yet ▹ @trepa_io - there's a small investment of 420k$, there's decent support, also they won in the Solana hackathon 25k$ and the beta version of their app was added to Solana phones, possibly there's support from Solana side, at least the @colosseum project supports them, which deals with checking startups at the Solana hackathon. ▹ @precogmarket - the app launched on Base and on Farcaster, the founder of the project @0xPetra ▹ @9livesso - their app was added to Farcaster, they created a project in the Arbitrum network and Arbitrum mentioned them on Twitter. Looks like a meme platform where you can create your own poll for any random event ▹ @kash_bot - active and good team, supposedly will have its own token ▹ @BuzzingApp - good founders, connected with Monad builders, the project has good support ▹ @noise_xyz - already have their own token, the cool thing is it's like futures for Twitter, where you can long or short the mindshare of the project, also there's a partnership with Kaito ▹ @upshot_cards - cool idea that can attract attention, bets with cards, each card is a prediction related to a real event, you can trade these cards, and after these events the cards stay with you if you made the correct bet and didn't sell them. This can attract attention because it stands out among other platforms similar to @Polymarket. In Discord there's a quite active community ▹ @metagametrade - so far no posts, but a decent number of smarties are following the project, so worth following ▹ @gondorfi - smarties are following, raised investment, but unknown how much, the idea is that they allow taking loans against positions on Polymarket. Looks quite interesting

Link to the quiz: onit.fun/nfl/week-1

@modularmedia_ @akshayraj_v0 @james_mccomish 🫡

TODAY, @akshayraj_v0 (Fireplace) & @james_mccomish (Onit) join us at 10AM PT to talk "Market Creation". Tune in!

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@billionaireson @Polymarket @Kalshi @Truemarketsorg @Overtime_io @MyriadMarkets @meleemarkets @SpecMarkets 🫡🫡

PredictionFi is exploding. These markets aren’t just “betting apps.” They split into: Core platforms Infra/protocols Niche apps Gaming + social layers That’s why I mapped all 76. 🗺️ @Polymarket @Kalshi @Truemarketsorg @Overtime_io @MyriadMarkets @meleemarkets @SpecMarkets @spredict_io @xodotmarket @PicassoMarkets @OutcomeMarketX @sx_bet @RareBetSports @PredictBase @azuroprotocol @BetOnBluff_io @alkimiya_io @triadfi @vortx_hl @NevuaMarkets @precogmarket @polyfund @POLYNANCE_X @Polysights @VersoTrading @sportfun @factcheckdotfun @polldotfun @panana_predict @predictandpump @Castora_xyz @hypiq_fi @forcazt_agent @r8rate @HedgehogMarket @BRKTgg @butterygg @fireplacegg

Prediction Market 2025 Megathread 🔮 I’ve looked into 27 crypto prediction markets (tested apps, bots, and docs where avail) to map this growing ecosystem. Here’s how the clusters look: Social, Binary, Continuous, Customisable, Bots, Oracle/Infra, Card Pack, and Others (Idea stage). Interesting pattern I saw: A) distribution > mechanics B) fun > liquidity (smaller bets) C) liquidity > fun (whale bets) Projects reviewed: @onit_fun @BetOnBluff_io @joustlabs_ @trylimitless @Truemarketsorg @MyriadMarkets @xodotmarket @opinionlabsxyz @sportfun @trepa_io @chompdotgames @PicassoMarkets @precogmarket @narrativexyz @9livesso @BuzzingApp @seer_pm @userocket_app @fliprbot @kash_bot @AugurProject @azuroprotocol @upshot_cards @multiplierfun @noise_xyz @metagametrade Let's break it down 👇

Premier League Markets live on @onit_fun ⚽

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@jessewldn Step 1: Add the Onit agent to your group chat Step 2: Ask about markets, or get creative and make your own

how can i make a prediction market bet in the group chat?

Add the Onit agent to your group chat in the Base app 🫡