Billy Ocean

@NeilMcCoyWard Or they can just get together and do something about it?

It’s only week five this is the global picture as of today. 🇧🇩 Bangladesh - Fuel rationing active. Universities closed. Military deployed in oil depots. 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka - Fuel rationing active. 15 litre per week cap for private motorists. Four day school week. Scaled back public sector operations. 🇸🇮 Slovenia - 50 litre per day cap on fuel for private drivers. 200 litres for businesses and farmers. Indefinite. 🇵🇭 Philippines - National energy emergency declared. Four day working week in place. 🇵🇰 Pakistan - Four day work weeks and school closures still in effect. 🇲🇲 Myanmar - Alternating driving days imposed. 🇹🇭 Thailand - Diesel price cap imposed. Government officials told to work from home and limit travel. Fuel exports banned except to Cambodia and Laos. 🇻🇳 Vietnam - Tapping fuel price stabilisation fund. Officials encouraged to work from home and limit travel. 🇰🇪 Kenya - Rationing by major fuel suppliers ongoing. Rural areas already running out. 🇪🇬 Egypt - Fuel and electricity rationing active. Malls, restaurants and retailers shutting at 9pm. Illuminated billboards switched off. Government buildings closing at 6pm. 🇮🇳 India - Government phasing out LPG cylinders for households with access to piped gas to prioritise supply. 🇨🇳 China - Export ban on diesel, gasoline and aviation fuel until at least end of March. 🇰🇷 South Korea - Fuel price cap imposed. First in 30 years. Voluntary fuel conservation measures in place. 🇯🇵 Japan - Refiners requesting government release of stockpiled oil. 95% of crude imported from Gulf states. 🇪🇸 Spain - €5 billion emergency package. Tax reductions on electricity and gas. Subsidies for transport operators and farmers. 🇩🇪 Germany - BASF raising prices on goods by up to 30%. What could be coming 🇬🇧 UK - Ministers could activate contingency powers to introduce fuel rationing at petrol stations. 80% of UK goods travel by road. IEA has advised considering carpooling and working from home to save fuel. 🇪🇺 EU - Emergency measures under discussion. Storage across many member states below 30%. Shell's CEO warned Europe could face fuel rationing starting in April if the Strait stays closed. G7 finance ministers, energy ministers and central bank governors met in Paris today and issued a joint statement saying they stand ready to take "all necessary measures" to preserve stability in energy markets. None of these restrictions have been easing. In several countries they are only getting worse.

@KobeissiLetter They all pushing trump to do the dirty work while they seat at home and do nothing. Lol

@BankofVol If the world wants the strait opened they can do it. Iran is one country.

Why this is ES positive? While the war was active, Iran had a clean justification for closing Hormuz — it was an act of war, defensible under any framework. But if Trump ends the conflict without making reopening a condition, Iran loses that cover. You can’t keep a global chokepoint closed in peacetime without antagonizing every single country that depends on it — China, India, Japan, South Korea, the entire EU. That’s not fighting the US anymore. That’s fighting the world. So Iran will almost certainly let oil flow again — but they’ll extract maximum value on the way out. That’s where the toll system comes in. It’s their face-saving exit. They reopen the strait but reframe it as sovereign authority over their waters rather than a defeat. Oil doesn’t go back to $60. The risk premium is permanently repriced. But the acute supply shock fades. Brent probably settles in the $85-95 range once flows normalize — high enough for Iran to claim victory, low enough for Trump to claim he fixed it. 🤝

@amjadt25 And what exactly is the UAE doing to ensure they dont remain in power?

@MOSSADil Why don’t the gulf states enter the war and help the United States and Israel?

@visegrad24 Very ironic if Ukraine helps the war effort more than NATO.

Antisocial behavior is now very common in China 🇨🇳 because the economy has collapsed, and desperation is spreading! China 🇨🇳 footage shows someone driving a bulldozer running over numerous people at a market in Beijing, causing an unknown number of casualties.

Let’s break down the Iran conflict in the simplest way possible. A lot of things are going to happen over the next few weeks, but there are two primary tactical indicators that would/will signal the end of the Iranian regime. 1) Unmanned naval mine sweepers will be deployed until the Strait of Hormuz is declared clear. Believe it or not the Brits will play a considerable role in this. Their sweepers are pretty good and it’s the least they could freakin do. 2) When we begin to see child soldiers at IRGC checkpoints, their ranks will have thinned to a point where even our Keystone CIA can launch a ground offensive with native fighters. FYI, this would be a moral improvement for the IRGC over their last Great War, when they had children kiss the Quran before clearing minefields. They did so by detonating the mines with the bodies of the children. There ya go. Once the Strait can be swept and fast boats can be dealt with by ship perimeter security, it will be a matter of eliminating the remaining forces, many of whom will tragically be children.

@uksteve23 @Juan23456 @askslim No

@Juan23456 @askslim Fuck off!, you started this shit you finish it!

This will win the award for the most ridiculous media pushed fallacy of the week. No way in hell will Trump end of this war with the straight of Hormuz closed. That gives the barbaric ayatollahs a tollbooth on 20% of the world oil that they will certainly use more strategically than they ever have.

@askslim Not our problem anymore

No matter how this war ends, the level of Arab Gulf mistrust/public anger at Iran regime is a new reality for Tehran to reckon with. Arabic social media tells a very different story than English posts. There is no going back to pre-Feb. 28.

最近这两天，中国真的很不太平啊 1.北京出现了开铲车无差别伤人事件 2.深圳出现了无差别袭击小学的事件 3. 广东信宜因为违规建设殡仪馆，出现了多次群众抗议，并且群众和警察爆发了激烈冲突 4.湖北武汉因为反对建设楚能新能源电池厂，出现了大规模的群众抗议

@powerbottomdad1 Finally someone asking the right questions.

couple confusing things about the war: 1. why haven't the gulf nations fully committed. how many times do they need to be attacked before attacking back? 2. if Hormuz strait closure is existential for europe and asia, how come only Ukraine + US seems like its try to fix it?

@powerbottomdad1 I think the answer to 1. is they are pathetic and are also hedging for 2. (at least for europe) it's that the US always saves them, and if it doesn't, they get to feel righteously indignant, which feels better than economic growth and being able to drive places

the rest of world, and could set off a global depression as well as widespread starvation in Africa. The former hegemon is "failing" to keep the SOH open, to keep the global economic machine humming. LOL, get used to it baby, the future is just getting started. 2/

If we take a medium to long-term perspective, the Iranian War is an act of acceleration. It is accelerating the end of the GAE - and much of the rest of the world is really not going to like that. Iran is the nation blocking the oil. A medium-sized power is blackmailing 1/

Actions speak louder than words. If they really mean it, time to get their hands dirty.