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OXY

@oxydotsol

crypto, AI, macro, shitposting — pfp: @enigmaventures

internet Katılım Kasım 2022
758 Takip Edilen1.7K Takipçiler
OXY retweetledi
AMLBot
AMLBot@AMLBotHQ·
@DriftProtocol has been exploited. More than $200 million in different assets were stolen and are now being actively laundered on Solana. Funds are being sent to deBridge and @JupiterExchange.
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OXY@oxydotsol·
@alc2022 Ok nigga what ticker do I buy?
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Spinachbrah 🥗
Spinachbrah 🥗@basedspinach·
The putting random chinese intellectuals in front of whiteboards for youtube lectures market is oversaturated and needs to be shorted
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OXY@oxydotsol·
@AIMelGibson @sporadica Opus 4.6 actually would have pushed back rather than tell Bernie what he wanted to hear
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Mel Gibson 2.0
Mel Gibson 2.0@AIMelGibson·
@sporadica My question is why the fuck did he use sonnet and not opus 4.6?
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JK
JK@jonbking·
@MartinShkreli I have HNW/UHNW clients I've covered medical bills for who drop ~$200K/year on peptides + stem cell injections. It's not for legit therapeutic needs as much as it is about immortality chasing.
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OXY
OXY@oxydotsol·
@Figuregirl1977 @Adam_Pearson I mean…. Can you really tell? This is one dude where you can’t really know wtf is going on when you see him
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Figuregirl 🇬🇧🇮🇱
Figuregirl 🇬🇧🇮🇱@Figuregirl1977·
@Adam_Pearson Why do you have pronouns in your bio Adam? It’s clear you’re male! Do you think men can become women? Are you another liberal luvvy who despises women and who thinks we don’t have the right to our own spaces and sports free of male bodies?
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MTM 14
MTM 14@mtm14·
@zanehkoch @meditationstuff Chief risk from earbuds is hearing loss. Ever notice how young people all watch TV with subtitles on?
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Zane Koch
Zane Koch@zanehkoch·
for a while i've had a slight fear that the bluetooth from my airpods could be frying my brain this weekend i pulled the raw data from a $30m government study of 1,679 mice blasted with cell phone radiation and reanalyzed it what i found was...not what I expected? 🧵
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Kim Dotcom
Kim Dotcom@KimDotcom·
To the White House and the Pentagon, Don’t listen to Palantir, Don’t listen to Alex Karp, Don’t listen to Peter Thiel. You are losing. This cannot be turned around. There is no silver bullet. Neither in Ukraine nor in Iran. You lost the support of your own people and the world. Alex Karp is a narcissist conman. He doesn’t have a superior IQ and for sure isn’t anything special. Same for Peter Thiel. Both have no moral compass considering the amount of people they killed without remorse. They say they are helping “war fighters” but they are not. Their hubris will get them killed. They are very convincing salesman. That’s it. Their technologies are not groundbreaking and Palantir got totally owned by hackers. It’s true because that claim was released a month ago to my 1.7 million followers and not a beep from Palantir. No statement that the claims are false, no cease and desist letter, no lawsuit, nothing. Because it’s true. In my opinion Palantir is a charlatan. The only hope you have is peace in Ukraine and in Iran. To achieve that you have to accept the L. You have to accept that you are no longer the #1. Your markets will tank regardless. Focus on your real problems. You can’t spend $20 billion per day on your Govt. You can’t afford hundreds of military bases around the globe. You are no longer the most powerful nation in the world. The sooner you accept that the better. After you have dealt with your problems, after the major crash, which is now inevitable, join the Multipolar world. The future is peace. The world wants peace. Palantir is not going to get us there. Don’t waste your time trying to beat Iran into submission for “the chosen people” and their prophecy. You can’t. Iran will make the oil prices go up and crush you economically. No superior military can prevent that. Stop wasting time and people in Ukraine. What good did corrupt Zelenskyy bring you? Make peace with Iran, Russia and China before it’s too late. Is doesn’t even matter if Netanyahu is dead, the prophecy is another Jewish lie or Zelenskyy will get nukes. If you don’t make peace now most of humanity will die in a nuclear winter. Not Alex Karp and Peter Thiel because they both have built private bunkers. Don’t listen to the Palantir guys. They are gambling with humanity. Make peace now. Just some friendly advice.
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Christian Talour
Christian Talour@ChristianTalour·
@backyhouse @escapefrommelos To be fair, Zeihan at least has experience in his field... this Jiang guy is the most random know-nothing with a white board talking about every topic he's ever read a Weibo post about.
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Melian Refugee
Melian Refugee@escapefrommelos·
>Iran will create a uh, "jihad" with like, these uh (gestures) countries over here >Iran is uhh the leader of the Islamic World (ignore that they're indiscriminately attacking almost every muslim neighbor) this "professor" Jiang guy is maybe the biggest midwit of all time.
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OXY
OXY@oxydotsol·
Science is too slow to study LLMs
David Heaney@Heaney555

@ValerioCapraro "GPT-3.5-Turbo" "GPT-4" Come on. Researchers making sweeping claims based on results from ancient models is a meme at this point.

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OXY
OXY@oxydotsol·
@stealthptr @Plinz It holds up, but I would have liked to see power users of the AIs, not just one hipster with a trust fund and a fake job who gets oneshotted and falls in love.
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stealth
stealth@stealthptr·
@Plinz The movie "her" might be the most relevant to our current moment .. I need to go back and rewatch, and see how it holds up today
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Joscha Bach
Joscha Bach@Plinz·
Who is currently working on interesting movies about AI consciousness? I am looking for the avantgarde who gets it, not the usual boring opportunistic and predictable stuff
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derek guy
derek guy@dieworkwear·
deleted his tweet as soon as an actual war popped off
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Apoorv Agrawal
Apoorv Agrawal@apoorv03·
Dario at MS TMT Conference today: On defense / DOW:"We really believe in defending America." Anthropic has been working with the national security community for 2 years. "We are the most lean forward." On AI acceleration:"We do not see hitting a wall. This year will have a radical acceleration that surprises everyone." Exponentials catch people off guard. "We are at the precipice of something incredible. We need to manage it the right way." On where markets are wrong:"It's already big and it will get 1 million times bigger." The underestimation of exponential growth is the key thing people need to understand. On revenue scale:Anthropic was at ~$100M run rate 2 years ago. Now at $19B run rate. On culture — Dario says he spends 40% of his time on it:"Anyone who is CEO of a growing firm needs to realize they are chief culture officer. My job is to make sure everyone is on same page and believes in what we are doing. That's the most important thing." He does a vision quest with the whole company every couple weeks. "I want them to hear it directly from me. If I tell the CTO, who tells the VP Eng, who tells the manager — that's too long of a game of telephone." "Politics and infighting are a cancer to companies as they grow." On talent retention vs Meta:"We lost 2 people to Meta. They lost several dozen. Normalized by size, they lost 10-20x more people vs us." Attributes this to unified culture generating "super linear returns — by working together vs working against each other." On code as the breakout use case:Code has "exceeded our high expectations." Why? Devs adopt fast, code is verifiable, and gains compound — you build software to build software. "Didn't realize it would go so fast even at traditional enterprises." Frustration is around regulated industries where legal/compliance slow things down. "That's how fast everything could be going if not for non-AI barriers." On Anthropic's own AI usage:Top internal use cases: 1) writing code, 2) the process around writing code (SWE), 3) managing servers and controlling clusters. "If we were paying ourselves for our usage, we'd be one of our largest customers." On Claude Code:"You can supervise an army of 100 Claudes. It's closely analogous to a management skill." The people who are best at it keep the big picture in their head. Higher return to finding people who can handle more complex tasks. On platform vs apps:"We are primarily a platform, but there are places where we have expertise to make something directly useful." Claude Code emerged as a tool they built for themselves — thousands of internal users before shipping it externally. "Code is a prelude for what we will see in everything else." On societal implications:"Human history — lots of muddling through. We found ourselves in this comedy of errors and figured it out eventually. It's happening so fast that we need to do better than that this time." The market will deliver positive benefits — "I see that as priced in." What's not priced in: the choices we make around externalities. Jobs, national security, ensuring the benefits reach everyone. On chips & compute:Anthropic uses multiple chip suppliers. "We find that actually using different chips is useful to us. Chips aren't just a speed number — we gain benefits from heterogeneity." Also standard business logic of having more than one supplier.
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OXY
OXY@oxydotsol·
@hoggbylgja Don’t remember where I read it but then checked Polymarket and saw it shot up
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OXY@oxydotsol·
Rumor is this is a done deal in June.
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OXY@oxydotsol·
Still my take on Dalio. What he’s right about is basic and general. And when he is forced to stay something specific he hedges. Without billions of dollars no one would take him seriously.
OXY@oxydotsol

There’s something incredibly egotistical and imprecise about Ray Dalio’s vision of the world. I see it quoted a lot here since there are a lot of macro and finance guys in Bitcoin. Dalio predicts the downfall of the US and claims that it’s because of some grand unified system he’s developed. The downfall of the US. At some point. With no real timeframe. I mean, eventually sure. No empire last forever. Dalio also predicts the rise of China to replace it. But what about China’s massive issues? (Debt, real estate bubble, aging population.) He doesn’t know. He’s been a China bull for decades and the “flippening” has yet to happen, so China’s issues don’t get talked about much by Ray. Could the US and China split power like iOS and Android? He doesn’t know. What about India? He doesn’t know. Could there be a three-way split of power? Again, there are no concrete predictions from Ray. According to rumors he was a huge asshole and micromanaged his executives at Bridgewater. Now with more money than God he wants to basically take credit for the largest most important societal predictions ever at the largest scale. But he’s so vague and unscientific he can never be wrong. There’s no way he actually TRADES based on these predictions. This is just what he gives normies so that he gets to write books (have books written by some ghostwriter) and gets to go on speaking engagements and get praise from people who basically just think “he’s a billionaire so he must be right.”

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OXY@oxydotsol·
Dalio has a pattern of saying things that sound smart at the surface but when you think about them more deeply they don’t hold up. I think he desperately wants a grand unified theory of everything, but reality is too complex. Old rich people are especially suspect to narratives that overly simplify reality. x.com/oxydotsol/stat…
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OXY@oxydotsol·
Dalio says nation states won’t buy Bitcoin because it’s not private. The more I think about it, the little this makes sense. Most of what nations own is not private. I think it’s just a matter of time and size - it’s too new, too small. The block size wars ended in just 2017
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