Patrick Berzai

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Patrick Berzai

Patrick Berzai

@patrickberzai

Stories, Stats & Systems | Marketing, GTM & Ad Slinger | 📖 “Creditworthy: A Ledger Theory of History” due out later this year

New York, NY Katılım Kasım 2025
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Patrick Berzai
Patrick Berzai@patrickberzai·
I started a @Substack today in the lead-up to ‘Creditworthy: A Ledger Theory of History.’ You can use it to see how the framework shows up in the everyday. The goal is to make the underlying patterns visible. Once you see them, you can't unsee them. open.substack.com/pub/creditwort…
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Patrick Berzai
Patrick Berzai@patrickberzai·
@UsingLyft I think he was just there to steal. The knife was to get into backpacks. Backpacks now have locks and trackers.
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Patrick Berzai
Patrick Berzai@patrickberzai·
@JWalters314 Or the White House did more to pander to working class whites in one day (and in someone else’s dime) than the millions the democrats spent to manufacture a facsimile of a working class white to run for Senate in Maine.
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Jamie Walters, CAIA
Jamie Walters, CAIA@JWalters314·
Posobiec’s line — “The left has no response to this” — is itself part of the propaganda mechanism. It is not an argument. It is a dominance cue. The message is: We have spectacle. We have the White House. We have flags, motorcycles, military-adjacent staging, masculine risk, and executive permission. Therefore we win. That is why he says “the left has no response.” He is not claiming the left has no policy response. He is claiming that liberal-democratic politics cannot compete emotionally with imperial entertainment. And in one sense, he is identifying the problem correctly: bureaucratic liberalism often has trouble responding to spectacle because spectacle bypasses reason. You cannot fact-check a motorcycle jump. You cannot rebut an adrenaline ritual with a white paper. The image is designed to make criticism look weak, joyless, foreign, feminine, bureaucratic, or anti-American. This is what a declining republic looks like when it mistakes spectacle for strength. The White House is not supposed to be a Nitro Circus backdrop. It is the People’s House. Turning it into stunt-show propaganda, however, happened during Trump 1.0. It proves that Trumpism can only imagine power as branding, domination, and content.
Jack Posobiec@JackPosobiec

The Left has no response to this

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Chris Milton
Chris Milton@theraggedwood·
@andyoattes @DavidDeutschOxf Absolutelynot; Soros gives money to organisations that promote theocracies, with not civil rights or free speech, and to others whose ideal government is a totalitarian one-party state (even if in reality they wouldn't like to live within one)
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aoattes
aoattes@andyoattes·
Karl Popper’s, ‘Open Society and Its Enemies’ remains one of the most compelling defences of open discourse as a civilisational mechanism of error correction. For Popper, Truth is never possessed in its entirety. It can only be understood through a logical process of criticism, disagreement, and the continual testing of ideas. A society that is capable of correcting its mistakes entirely depends upon the freedom to question prevailing assumptions and to expose falsehood through reasoned debate. It is therefore entirely regrettable that one of the more insidious realities of our age is that certain individuals and institutions invoke the language of the open society while inverting its essential principles. Under the banner of tolerance, safety, equity or consensus, group-think, they have deliberately narrowed the range of permissible inquiry and badly damaged the very processes through which truth is discovered. Popper understood that certainty is the enemy of progress. Indeed, a civilisation that loses its capacity for honest discourse loses its principal means of self-correction. Once criticism is treated as heresy and dissent as a threat rather than a necessity, the foundations of the open society begin to crumble from within. beg you to read Popper. To read @DavidDeutschOxf. To listen to and absorb the work of @ToKTeacher @naval @ConjectureInst and the many other great critical rationalists. We ought to understand the great peril we face.
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Patrick Berzai
Patrick Berzai@patrickberzai·
@pegobry_en This is mainly narrative collateral, where bond markets price in order, which makes crimes like this signal instability. In the Jim Crow South, municipal bonds did far better than when the “black tax” (basis points from .5-.5 points) was added, increasing cost of borrowing.
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Patrick Berzai
Patrick Berzai@patrickberzai·
@BrigadeCorona @AliceFromQueens @xwanyex The urbans aspirationals can only share toxicity and angle for group status and no other filter of reality ever crosses their mind. You’ve proven my point well and for that I thank you.
Patrick Berzai tweet mediaPatrick Berzai tweet media
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wanye
wanye@xwanyex·
I still have a lot of liberal friends, but mostly old friends who I no longer live near. In my social circles today, basically everybody agrees with me on most everything. Everybody at my church is aligned. Most of my neighbors are aligned (Trump won my town handily). Again, liberals imagine people like me to be moral minorities desperate for their approval, because they have no theory of mind for other people who live in other contexts and what they’re doing when they say these things is picturing themselves voting for Trump and dealing with the fallout. These people are staggeringly, comically bad at modeling other minds. You really cannot say this enough.
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Patrick Berzai
Patrick Berzai@patrickberzai·
@memeticsisyphus It was in truth, a last gasp strike of our noblesse de robe (our credentialed compliance class) against the noblesse d’epee (the kinetic competence class) while they still had both numbers and the Gosplan-like cover of the zero interest rate period (ZIRP).
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Patrick Berzai
Patrick Berzai@patrickberzai·
@FeserEdward The US President is always in a double bind to a triple constituency: voters, the bureaucracy and bond markets. Only one he is allowed to address publicly. When you think about triggering treasury demand, none of what Trump is doing is a mystery.
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Edward Feser
Edward Feser@FeserEdward·
Some tough love for all the copium addicts out there.
FischerKing@FischerKing64

I hate to break it to you - but the United States is an absolute, incoherent shitshow. The idea that we have ‘representative government’ is ridiculous. If that were true we would not have wasted billions killing Iranians for no reason at all. Some people wanted this - but the voters who elected this government did not. Let’s go further. When Trump goes to China - he brings our ‘great billionaires’ with him. I can’t think of any more obvious symbol that we live in an oligarchy that does everything it can to manipulate outcomes - and that voting is a bit of a joke. It’s like he’s bringing with him ‘the ruling elite.’ Because that is what he did. We have at least 40 million illegal aliens living here. Our business ‘leaders’ engineered this by bribing politicians to keep the border open - because they wanted to pay low wages and make mucho $$ for themselves. When people objected because their incomes were falling - the business leaders accused them of racism and funded Barack Obama to become POTUS. The USA is $40 trillion in debt - and no one has a plan to solve that problem. Absolutely no one. This will blow up one day - and it will destroy normal people who save in dollars - because the unspoken plan is to destroy the currency and save the rich and destroy the rest. But people who own our homes - like Blackstone or Blackrock - won’t care because their assets will follow inflation. Everyone else will be reduced to paupers renting from them - their bank accounts gone. The United States today is hopelessly dysfunctional. It lacks a coherent population that can even agree on anything. It is bankrupt - but the rest of the world is propping it up because they are also scared of what happens when the dollar collapses. It doesn’t have any smart leaders - and we have to watch insiders doing oil trades to make $$ on the Iran war - and the administration itself sells shit coins. Our foreign policy is a total joke - not strategic in any way at all. It is driven by special interests, and then not even followed through. And people are actuality making money on it - pump and dump coming straight from the White House. This is a hell of a way to celebrate 250 Years! At least we can have a cage match on the White House lawn that degrades our entire history and underscores just how bad and ridiculous things are! Thank you for your attention to this matter! Enjoy the circus! If you’re lucky you will be dead when the music stops!

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Patrick Berzai
Patrick Berzai@patrickberzai·
@xwanyex As someone in advertising, I literally see both in language data, which can be spun up into Big 5ive OCEAN traits, where openness and conscientiousness tend to be the dividing lines in liberal and conservative, along with geography type. Libs I work with never understand this.
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wanye
wanye@xwanyex·
It is not just that liberals don’t know what conservatives think. Not knowing what other people think would be like, you think they support immigration, but it turns out they’re against immigration. Liberals know that conservatives are against immigration. They’re not confused or uneducated about *what* conservatives think. What they lack is a model of how and why conservatives think as they do. What most of them cannot do is take the other side of the argument in a debate. When they model conservatives it basically reduces to, “well, I guess I’m just a big dumb idiot racist.” If you point this out, they do long threads about how you’re desperate for their approval, which is just another demonstration of the same phenomenon. The term that people use for this kind of understanding is, “theory of mind.” It’s not my term. I didn’t invent it. We could use some other term. But you need *some* term for this to distinguish it from merely not understanding what other people think. I don’t really see the utility of finding some other term. This term captures it pretty well. People know what it means. It seems to be working just fine.
Alice@AliceFromQueens

A hundred pompous MAGAs are yelling at me for telling them that "libs suck" isn't a theory of mind.

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Patrick Berzai
Patrick Berzai@patrickberzai·
@UBERSOY1 Education used to be for high in conscientiousness. Only recently has it flopped to high openness.
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UBERSOY
UBERSOY@UBERSOY1·
In 1932, 60% of German graduate students supported the Nazis vs. 18% of the general public. The "educated people are always liberal" thesis has a pretty ugly counterexample.
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Patrick Berzai
Patrick Berzai@patrickberzai·
@avidseries So running on a vague platform of “hope and change” believing he, a neophyte community organizer, was going to change Washington DC was not our greatest, grandiose narcissist? Or that he enlisted flying monkeys in the press to sully his political enemies? None of that counts?
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i/o
i/o@avidseries·
Or: Obama is capable of self-reflection, which is something Trump himself has admitted he doesn't do because he's afraid of what he might find out about himself. Trump is more "callow" and more "incurious" and more of a "narcissist" than Obama has ever been, but I don't recall CAP ever criticizing him for these traits.
Coddled Affluent Professional@feelsdesperate

The comparison here is Obama did write THREE BOOKS but they were ALL ABOUT HIMSELF. Obama was and is a callow, incurious narcissist.

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Patrick Berzai
Patrick Berzai@patrickberzai·
@wwwojtekk They literally negotiated to divide up the world, which delayed military actions in both Germany and Japan. Irrationally disliking a speaker so much that you need to rewrite the past is an odd thing to do.
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Patrick Berzai
Patrick Berzai@patrickberzai·
@wwwojtekk What is as Tehran? Malta? Yalta? The bombs didn’t make Japan quit. They were waiting for better terms from the Soviets. When that didn’t happen they capitulated.
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Patrick Berzai retweetledi
🇺🇸Hot Pepper
🇺🇸Hot Pepper@Hot_Pepper76·
Forget reliving high school or college. Take me back to elementary school. Recess every day. No homework. No worries. Anybody else?
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Patrick Berzai
Patrick Berzai@patrickberzai·
@DavidAstinWalsh What a ridiculous thing for them to say — the Franco Prussian War was a fight FOR something it had clear offensive goals. Both sides in the Civil War — which was a global war, including complex blockades — were fighting to prevent something.
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David Austin Walsh
David Austin Walsh@DavidAstinWalsh·
Sure, but when you read about the scale and intensity of the European wars in the 1860s and 1870s you can kind of understand why most European military observers considered the American Civil War a backwater fought by amateurs.
Baudrillard Forever@GroovySciFi

It's one of a kind. The only other wars with comparable logistics/technology matchups were Crimea and the Franco-Prussian War, both of which covered far smaller and less diverse theatres. And they didn't have cool theme songs.

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Patrick Berzai
Patrick Berzai@patrickberzai·
@samhaselby “Democracy” is the code for liberals to generate treasury demand (usually by starting a war). The GOP says “nukes” for the same reason. They’re not policies, their pricing signals. The only thing those countries have in common is they’re off of Western central banking.
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