Paul

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Paul

Paul

@paul__usa

Cybersecurity. Former Navy Hacker. “Vendor lock-in is the devil” - Mama Boucher (probably)

New Hampshire Katılım Mart 2025
152 Takip Edilen24 Takipçiler
Paul
Paul@paul__usa·
@barrettjoneill It’ll be interesting to see if these same businesses end up hiring 1-2 tech people to do all this and more. Where the tech “team” is so productive it makes sense to bring things in house
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Barrett O'Neill
Barrett O'Neill@barrettjoneill·
The established business owner’s AI journey: Play around and imagine firing every service provider and SaaS product. Waste several hours realizing it’s not quite so simple and get frustrated. Realize tools and services have lots of behind the scenes maintenance that’s taken for granted. Abandon project and focus on core activities that actually make them money.
Pat Carino (d/b/a Acquisizioni)@acquisizioni

Update from broker friend who started coding his own CRM on Claude: - bailed on Claude version he made - too much work and wanted to focus on what he’s good at (brokerage!) - Got a quote for a custom coded CRM that he would own and it was 20k - too much. - said he was going to talk to Monday which how firm uses for other services to see if they can make a custom one for him - I asked if he was finaly going to just let me give him a damn demo and we set it up for tomorrow (Sunday) STAY TUNED

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Paul
Paul@paul__usa·
@acquisizioni Why not use an open source application? If he was gonna vibe code his own, he was open to running it. I’ve considered running something like this for a while, but it seemed too difficult to break into
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Pat Carino (d/b/a Acquisizioni)
Update from broker friend who started coding his own CRM on Claude: - bailed on Claude version he made - too much work and wanted to focus on what he’s good at (brokerage!) - Got a quote for a custom coded CRM that he would own and it was 20k - too much. - said he was going to talk to Monday which how firm uses for other services to see if they can make a custom one for him - I asked if he was finaly going to just let me give him a damn demo and we set it up for tomorrow (Sunday) STAY TUNED
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Pat Carino (d/b/a Acquisizioni)
Pat Carino (d/b/a Acquisizioni)@acquisizioni·
I think about AI decimating @DealNav basically every day. So when a friend in the industry told me he’s building his own simple, affordable & map-based CRM/deal-tracking tool (exactly what DealNav is), I thought it would be the perfect use case to track… 🧵… so far:
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Eli Nagar
Eli Nagar@EliNagar·
1.3 BILLION ADULTS ON EARTH HAVE NO BANK ACCOUNT. That's 15.7% of the global population locked out of the traditional system. Guess what fixes this.
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Rae
Rae@raechellambert·
Someone at our local coffee shop has come over for dinner and played in a band at our Christmas party. They saw my husbands Instagram post about Elon (space stuff) He DMd my husband and said tons of rude stuff that Ryan entertained. Now at the coffee shop he completely ignores us
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Based Bandita
Based Bandita@BasedBandita·
I’ve been going to the same local coffee shop we have here every morning since I was 16. They have by far some of the best coffee. I’ve been going there since I was 16. I’ve watched it change hands 3X now, and the 3rd owner turns out to be a hardcore leftist. And I know that because nobody on the right has stickers on their cars and in their stores that say, “I prefer ICE in my coffee!” In addition, he hired only rainbow mafia employees and has a “trans daughter.” The owner and I converse every morning. It’s always nice, pleasant conversation and has been that way for 2.5+ years. I just now thought about something. Myself KNOWING this, I still set it aside and support his business, and mind my own. However, if he and his employees EVER found out I am a Trump supporter, they’d likely spit in my coffee, vandalize my car, and tell me to never come back to their coffee shop again. This is why when we say, “we are not the same,” we mean it. We are not the same. And I know there are many of you out there in this exact position.
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Paul
Paul@paul__usa·
@NiklausFuller I think AI is largely a cover story here as it has been for a lot of companies. His first point is more significant. They’re a software company with a lot of work in front of them. I doubt their backlog is low enough where cutting ppl makes sense. Likely using AI to extend runway
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Nik Fuller
Nik Fuller@NiklausFuller·
It’s begun Expect more of these Look internally at your own firm too
Brian Armstrong@brian_armstrong

This is an email I sent earlier today to all employees at Coinbase: Team, Today I’ve made the difficult decision to reduce the size of Coinbase by ~14%. I want to walk you through why we're doing this now, what it means for those affected, and how this positions us for the future. Why now Two forces are converging at the same time. We need to be front footed to respond to both. First, the market. Coinbase is well-capitalized, has diversified revenue streams, and is well-positioned to weather any storm. Crypto is also on the verge of the next wave of adoption, with stablecoins, prediction markets, tokenization, and more taking off. However, our business is still volatile from quarter to quarter. While we've managed through that cyclicality many times before and come out stronger on the other side, we’re currently in a down market and need to adjust our cost structure now so that we emerge from this period leaner, faster, and more efficient for our next phase of growth. Second, AI is changing how we work. Over the past year, I’ve watched engineers use AI to ship in days what used to take a team weeks. Non-technical teams are now shipping production code and many of our workflows are being automated. The pace of what's possible with a small, focused team has changed dramatically, and it's accelerating every day. All of this has led us to an inflection point, not just for Coinbase, but for every company. The biggest risk now is not taking action. We are adjusting early and deliberately to rebuild Coinbase to be lean, fast, and AI-native. We need to return to the speed and focus of our startup founding, with AI at our core. What this means To get there, we are not just reducing headcount and cutting costs, we’re fundamentally changing how we operate: rebuilding Coinbase as an intelligence, with humans around the edge aligning it. What does this mean in practice? - Fewer layers, faster decisions: We are flattening our org structure to 5 layers max below CEO/COO. Layers slow things down and create coordination tax. The future is small, high context teams that can move quickly. Leaders will own much more, with as many as 15+ direct reports. Fewer layers also means a leaner cost structure that is built to perform through all market cycles. - No pure managers: Every leader at Coinbase must also be a strong and active individual contributor. Managers should be like player-coaches, getting their hands dirty alongside their teams. - AI-native pods: We’ll be concentrating around AI-native talent who can manage fleets of agents to drive outsized impact. We’ll also be experimenting with reduced pod sizes, including “one person teams” with engineers, designers, and product managers all in one role. In short: AI is bringing a profound shift in how companies operate, and we’re reshaping Coinbase to lead in this new era. This is a new way of working, and we need to leverage AI across every facet of our jobs. To those who are affected I know there are real people behind these decisions — talented colleagues who have poured themselves into this company and our mission. To those of you who will be leaving: thank you. You’ve helped build Coinbase into what it is today, and I am sincerely grateful for everything you've done. All impacted team members will receive an email to their personal account in the next hour with more information, and an invitation to meet with an HRBP and a senior leader in your organization. Coinbase system access has been removed today. I know this feels sudden and harsh, but it is the only responsible choice given our duty to protect customer information. To those affected, we will be providing a comprehensive package to support you through this transition. US employees will receive a minimum of 16 weeks base pay (plus 2 weeks per year worked), their next equity vest, and 6 months of COBRA. Employees on a work visa will get extra transition support. Those outside of the US will receive similar support, based on local factors and subject to any consultation requirements. Coinbase prides itself on talent density. Our employees are among the most talented people in the world, and I have no doubt that your skills and experience will be highly sought after as you pursue your next chapters. How we move forward To the team that is staying, I know this is a difficult day. We’re saying goodbye to colleagues and friends you've been in the trenches with. But here’s what I want you to know as we move forward together: Over the past 13 years, we have weathered four crypto winters, gone public, and built the most trusted platform in our industry. We’ve made it this far by making hard decisions and by always staying focused on our mission. This time will be no different – nothing has changed about the long term outlook of our company or industry. And most importantly, our mission has never been more important for the world. Increasing economic freedom requires a new financial system, and we’re building it. The Coinbase that emerges from this will be more capable than ever to achieve our mission. Brian

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Paul
Paul@paul__usa·
@ThaaatColin Is there a reason to burn it rather than just release it?
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Nik Fuller
Nik Fuller@NiklausFuller·
It’s not about who you know. It’s about who knows you. Write online, folks. Change your life. I beg you.
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Paul
Paul@paul__usa·
@NiklausFuller AWS offered us a free service the other day and we just had to say yes to it. When everything feels like a race to the bottom, it was difficult to comprehend at first. I imagine it’ll be a big differentiator for you
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Nik Fuller
Nik Fuller@NiklausFuller·
Built and submitted my first Chrome plugin. Lightweight app we use internally to audit work. Making it available to our clients. Add more value and credibility to our interactions. Building a war chest of little tools to offer clients.
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Paul
Paul@paul__usa·
@NiklausFuller @maxclark Alternatively, have you tried a discount, 2/10 net 30 for example? You could change the numbers to what works for you
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Nik Fuller
Nik Fuller@NiklausFuller·
@maxclark Good call out. Let me check some SOWs for that language. Not sure if we have late fee language or not.
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Nik Fuller
Nik Fuller@NiklausFuller·
Late payers are rising at the moment. Anyone have a magic bullet for preventing and escalating late pay in a consulting business? We are very aggressive already in notifying and establishing payment for new clients. Seems like big companies are intentionally slowing payment.
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Paul
Paul@paul__usa·
@TXMCtrades @60Minutes I think the rejection off of your S/R line in 07/08 + market conditions surprised a lot of ppl. Hoping for a bounce around 1.5
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𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂
𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂@TXMCtrades·
@60Minutes His take is incredibly myopic and near sighted. The United States has been below replacement rate on fertility for my entire life. It's not a new development. It just took a couple generations for us to start noticing the effects.
𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂 tweet media
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60 Minutes
60 Minutes@60Minutes·
“We've stopped making babies. We've decided that being distracted by a dopamine hit around Candy Crush might be a good way to spend your time. Not if you're a full human," former Sen. Ben Sasse says in an extended interview. cbsn.ws/4cA1Jrp
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Depreciation Guy
Depreciation Guy@depreciationguy·
Successful day doing cost seg site visits on some properties in two different states and more to come for these guys I got to meet some of the team that I hadn’t met before and these guys are sharp A lot of the day was spent meeting with the city and leveraging the land they own to get what they want These dudes are running a crazy operation
Depreciation Guy tweet media
Depreciation Guy@depreciationguy

A client offered to fly around on the PJ to do site visits on their resorts around the US Is that even a question?

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Paul
Paul@paul__usa·
@TXMCtrades @DiMartinoBooth talked about this a bit a few months ago, or a by product of it. If the the fed lowers rates too much, retirees fixed income plummets. She argued they are too old to return to work, unlike GFC, so they would need to sell stocks, impacting the stock market
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𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂
𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂@TXMCtrades·
People tend not to take demographics seriously because they are very long running trends, but the fact is we are now dealing with these effects after not needing to care for a few decades. The Covid excesses shook them loose, and we now see behind the curtain of two generations worth of fertility below replacement rate coupled with increasing longevity. /2
𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂@TXMCtrades

Eventually, society's embedded growth obligation will intersect w/ an aging species multiplying less quickly. As that point nears, the need for innovation to provide abundance becomes more key. 👇US population 1998-2021 by age w/ ⚫️labor participation.

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𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂
𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂@TXMCtrades·
We are now seeing the dynamic I pondered almost 4 years ago (see RT), where older workers are competing with younger workers. AI is stoking it, whether because it's effective or because companies need an excuse, doesn't really matter. My theory is that labor costs have risen so much since the pandemic, companies are hiring experience over youth (both to save on unit labor costs relative to human capital, and possibly to use their experience to train LLMs to absorb more work) and old workers are statistically less likely to bid up wages. This creates a disinflationary pressure on incomes. /1
𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂 tweet media𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂 tweet media
𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂@TXMCtrades

I wonder if we will begin seeing retirees return to the workforce as their fixed income budgets get rocked. Their return would be a potential disinflationary force on wages, as they'd be competing w/ their kids for jobs & less likely to bid them up due to having second incomes.

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Paul
Paul@paul__usa·
@Privatejetman @fastjetsalerts Why not drop the price more? I imagine the price is intended as a filter, but with a network of customers that you, as the jet provider, effectively keep a yelp review on, I imagine the empty legs can be less of a negative hit. Maybe the effort + chance of success isn’t worth it
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Kyle Patel 🛩️💳
Kyle Patel 🛩️💳@Privatejetman·
I think what Preston is building @fastjetsalerts is the best here But this ideology is inherently flawed. From outside looking in, great. But expectation will not meet reality. Why? Because empty legs are the end pieces on your loaf of bread. Sometimes, they’re great - but usually, they’re the “what has to happen” before the actual desired time and routing exists. You can’t fly where you want when you want, completely subjected to what the plane needs to do - you’re merely a convenient guest. Opposite routings get the dough - meaning right now, everyone wants Miami to New York, not happening. Empties are in the opposite direction of traffic flow. Example: I just posted a $12k flight from NY to FL - that’s 40% off. Not a peep from anyone, including a network of 800 wholesale partners. Another company, JetSmarter tried to do this with very heavy tech - turned into a big ball of flames. Another issue too, you’re opening up the TAM to people who can’t actually fly private on their own schedule, which is a very different demographic who primarily focus on price with the expectation that they have the same level of pull as the client who booked the main revenue trip. @DougGollan shared with me one time that the vast majority of problems he hears about come from the lowest end price shoppers (think: aerovanti, jetit, etc) - great insight and absolutely not surprising. Not saying don’t do it, I’m saying that expectations and reality are very different. Another question, we have powerhouses like Ken Ricci and Berkshire in our playpen - is it not a telling sign that they have done almost nothing to open the TAM to sub-demand routes?
Alan Stalcup | CRE Investor@alan_stalcup

Someone solve this for me. Every day, private jets fly home empty. Those seats are basically going to waste and there's still no good platform to buy or sell them. That opportunity is wide open. The technology exists and the demand is obvious on both sides. I've been thinking about this for years and haven't landed on the right go-to-market approach. If you're building something in this space or have a perspective on what the real obstacle is, I want to hear from you.

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Paul
Paul@paul__usa·
@moseskagan Don’t STRs allow you to get the same tax benefit as a RE pro?
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NH_Ancap
NH_Ancap@NH_Ancap·
@TonyPike1970 No electricity sold into Massachusetts until they stop blocking gas pipelines into New Hampshire.
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Paul
Paul@paul__usa·
@kyle_e_walker I haven’t finished reading the technical write ups yet, but Anthropics previous write ups on first AI powered cyber attack were overblown. Not saying this isn’t a significant change, but that Anthropic makes a lot of big claims.
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Kyle Walker
Kyle Walker@kyle_e_walker·
I have an on-going chat with Claude Desktop where I plan out my 3-5 year business and career strategy. This morning, I gave it the Mythos system card and asked it to re-evaluate my strategy given what it learned. I try not to get caught up in AI hype too much, but I'd suggest you do the same.
Kyle Walker tweet media
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DA Sails
DA Sails@da_sails·
As the world leans toward deglobalization and self-sufficiency, nuclear energy is set to surge.
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Paul
Paul@paul__usa·
@theemikehobart @TXMCtrades @da_sails Given current events, terrorist related. Nuclear already has an uphill PR and policy hill to climb. If one in the US or else where gets hit, I imagine it’ll make data centers look welcomed
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