Paul Dubois

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Paul Dubois

Paul Dubois

@pauldubois

Venture Builder & Operator | Thematic Investor | Startup Advisory | Fin-, Wealth- & Proptech | NFA - DYOR

🌎 🌍 🌏 Katılım Ocak 2009
1.5K Takip Edilen499 Takipçiler
Paul Dubois
Paul Dubois@pauldubois·
$NBIS is the cleanest pick-and-shovels trade in AI factories. Q1 revenue +841% YoY and +82% QoQ. It accelerated QoQ. FY26 guide $7–9B ARR at ~40% EBITDA. Software-like margins on infrastructure. $27B from Meta. $2B from NVIDIA. Everything this company builds gets bought.
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Paul Dubois
Paul Dubois@pauldubois·
“Yield is a customer acquisition cost dressed up as monetary policy.” If yield = CAC, then UX = retention. USDC won institutional share on transparency and compliance, not yield. For protocols, DX = moat. The winner is the one a bank can integrate without crypto devs.
Marieke@mariekeflament

This week in @CurrenPower: "The Yield, the Ban, and the Blueprint" Dollar stablecoins are expanding global dollar dominance outside the traditional banking system. Existing monetary infrastructure wasn't built for this, and every jurisdiction is now being forced to respond. When it comes to the US, the direction is clear: stablecoins are a core part of a dollar dominance strategy. After the GENIUS Act, the US are now moving on the Clarity Act, debating whom within the stablecoin food-chain should have the right to give yield. Yield on stablecoins is a customer acquisition cost. The competition for currency is now happening at the individual wallet level, globally. If I'm sitting in Europe and I can earn 5% on USDC, why would I hold euros? Responses from across the globe are starting to come. Brazil banned regulated fintechs and FX providers from settling cross-border payments in stablecoins. In Europe, Christine Lagarde's rejected the need for Europe to have euro stablecoins has the only answer and advocated for public infrastructure, which won't be ready until 2028. Meanwhile the Coinbase + AWS announcement showed USDC being embedded as the default payment layer for AI agents. The US is competing for wallet share and building out the AI agent payment stack while everyone else draws up plans. Read on the full breakdown in this week's Currency of Power, which @Nicolas_Colin co-author. currencyofpower.co/p/the-yield-th…

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Paul Dubois
Paul Dubois@pauldubois·
Current phase: serious cash moving from software to silicon. 4 hyperscalers: $680B capex. 5 chipmakers: $525B FCF. Next phase is harder. That $680B has to come back as revenue. Next chapter isn't who builds the AI stack, it's who monetizes it. (chart: @Coatue)
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Reeve Collins
Reeve Collins@Reeve_Collins·
The Clarity Act just cleared its biggest hurdle. Stablecoin yield sharing now has a legal path in the US. After years of extractive fee models, regulators are finally catching up to where financial services need to go. The next generation of financial infrastructure is built around shared upside. That’s the foundation behind @stbl_official and @wefi_official .
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Advany
Advany@advany·
So can't use max 20 for anything usefull with claude design?!
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Paul Dubois
Paul Dubois@pauldubois·
Lots of managers of AI agents coming in enterprise
Aaron Levie@levie

The more enterprises I talk to about AI agent transformation, the more it’s clear that there is going to be a new type of role in most enterprises going forward. The job is to be the agent deployer and manager in teams. Here’s the rough JD: This person will need to figure out what are the highest leverage set of workflows on a team are (either existing or new ones) where agents can actually drive significantly more value for the team and company. In general, it’s going to be in areas where if you threw compute (in the form of agents) at a task you could either execute it 100X faster or do it 100X more times than before. Examples would be processing orders of magnitude more leads to hand them off to reps with extra customer signal, automating a contracting review and intake process, streamlining a client onboarding process to reduce as many straps as possible, setting up knowledge bases than the whole company taps into, and so on. This person’s job is to figure out what the future state workflow needs to look like to drive this new form of automation, and how to connect up the various existing or new systems in such a way that this can be fulfilled. The gnarly part of the work is mapping structured and unstructured data flows, figuring out the ideal workflow, getting the agent the context it needs to do the work properly, figuring out where the human interfaces with the agent and at what steps, manages evals and reviews after any major model or data change, and runs and manages the agents on an ongoing basis tracking KPIs, and so on. The person must be good at mapping the process and understanding where the value could be unlocked and be relatively technical, and has full autonomy to connect up business systems and drive automation. This means they’re comfortable with skills, MCP, CLIs, and so on, and the company believes it’s safe for them to do so. But also great operationally and at business. It may be an existing person repositioned, or a totally net new person in the company. There will likely need to be one or more of these people on every team, so it’s not a centralized role per se. It may rile up into IT or an AI team, or live in the function and just have checkpoints with a central function. This would also be a fantastic job for next gen hires who are leaning into AI, and are technical, to be able to go into. And for anyone concerned about engineers in the future, this will be an obvious area for these skills as well.

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Paul Dubois retweetledi
Vlad Tenev
Vlad Tenev@vladtenev·
The most important financial infrastructure of the next decade may look less like a bank branch and more like a developer platform.
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Shubham Saboo
Shubham Saboo@Saboo_Shubham_·
“OpenClaw is the iPhone of tokens” — Nvidia CEO on Lex Podcast
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Naval
Naval@naval·
A lot of software is about to get a lot better, right before it becomes unnecessary.
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Paul Dubois
Paul Dubois@pauldubois·
The shift from large language models → large action models just got very real. Claude now controls my Mac. I can send it a task from my phone, come back to finished work. The amount of progress is insane. The start of the machine economy is taking shape.
Claude@claudeai

You can now enable Claude to use your computer to complete tasks. It opens your apps, navigates your browser, fills in spreadsheets—anything you'd do sitting at your desk. Research preview in Claude Cowork and Claude Code, macOS only.

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Paul Dubois
Paul Dubois@pauldubois·
Today I am attending a conference about a topic I have been getting into more and more. It’s about the AI and tools used or built by investment firms all over the world. Interested to see what new tools I can explore. #DDVC @AndreRetterath @datadriven_vc
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Paul Dubois
Paul Dubois@pauldubois·
@Futurenvesting Nebius is a beast! Any thoughts on Circle? Maybe I missed it, but I would gather it’s in your interest
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Tannor Manson
Tannor Manson@Futurenvesting·
Nebius $NBIS just inked a landmark $27 BILLION 5-year AI infrastructure deal with $META. $27 billion expansion with Meta... WOW, that's a 9x from their original $3 billion deal!
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Paul Dubois
Paul Dubois@pauldubois·
I worked in a bank for almost 15 years and never understood why analysts would stick to spreadsheets when software could do s much more for them. Now, software is becoming a commodity and I have already seen a non-tech analyst create a 22K line “super spreadsheet”
andrew chen@andrewchen

prediction re the end of spreadsheets AI code gen means that anything that is currently modeled as a spreadsheet is better modeled in code. You get all the advantages of software - libraries, open source, AI, all the complexity and expressiveness. think about what spreadsheets actually are: they're business logic that's trapped in a grid. Pricing models, financial forecasts, inventory trackers, marketing attribution - these are all fundamentally *programs* that we've been writing in the worst possible IDE. No version control, no testing, no modularity. Just a fragile web of cell references that breaks when someone inserts a row. The only reason spreadsheets won is that the barrier to writing real software was too high. A finance analyst could learn =VLOOKUP in an afternoon but couldn't learn Python in a month. AI code gen flips that equation completely. Now the same analyst describes what they want in plain English, and gets a real application - with a database, a UI, error handling, the works. The marginal effort to go from "spreadsheet" to "software" just collapsed to near zero. this is a massive unlock. There are ~1 billion spreadsheet users worldwide. Most of them are building janky software without realizing it. When even 10% of those use cases migrate to actual code, you get an explosion of new micro-applications that look nothing like traditional software. Internal tools that used to live in a shared Google Sheet now become real products. The "shadow IT" spreadsheet that runs half the company's operations finally gets proper infrastructure. The interesting second-order effect: the spreadsheet was the great equalizer that let non-technical people build things. AI code gen is the *next* great equalizer, but the ceiling is 100x higher. We're about to see what happens when a billion knowledge workers can build real software.

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Marc van der Chijs
Marc van der Chijs@marcvanderchijs·
My home country of The Netherlands made a huge mistake. Politicians who don’t understand the consequences of an unrealized gains tax, because they are not investors or entrepreneurs, voted in favor of it because of possible ‘fiscal consequences’. Even my favorite Dutch podcast Satoshi Radio is now advocating it (‘with backward compatible losses & a lower tax rate it would be a better idea than a realized capital gains tax’). However, it undermines property rights and the non-confiscation principle! That should trump any other argument in favor of it: If I own an asset, the state should not be able to force partial liquidation simply because market prices fluctuate.
Bitcoin News@BitcoinNewsCom

NETHERLANDS HOUSE PASSES 36% TAX ON UNREALIZED GAINS As expected, the Dutch House of Representatives has approved a 36% tax on unrealized capital gains, with only forward loss offsets permitted. The proposal now moves to the Senate, where parties that supported the bill also hold a majority, making final approval likely. Critics warn the measure could disrupt long term investment strategies, weaken compounding effects, and encourage capital outflows. Several right leaning parties had publicly criticized the proposal in advance, but most ultimately voted in favor, citing fiscal constraints and the cost of delaying or revising the plan, stating "we don't like it either but we have to".

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Paul Dubois
Paul Dubois@pauldubois·
@beursanalist Ik was er ook bijna ingetrapt. Een scam ingekapseld in een zeer uitgebreid verhaal.
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Corné van Zeijl
Corné van Zeijl@beursanalist·
Zo ingenieus die oplichters. Mijn petje af. Het duurde even voordat ik het door had. Je bent wel je geld kwijt als je er in trapt, dat wel.
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