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A little song I've been working on about #RankedChoiceVoting and #ProportionalRepresentation. Enjoy!
youtube.com/watch?v=z47i3P…
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Felix L.
23.3K posts
Felix L.
@perfctlyGoodInk
#ClassicalLiberal from Cal married to a Green from Stanford raising 2 boys. Calif. for #ElectoralReform CFO and Sec. @ProRepCoalition Treasurer.
Orange County, CA Katılım Ocak 2007
1.3K Takip Edilen952 Takipçiler
Felix L. retweetledi
Trump doesn’t understand even the most basic aspects of constitutional law.
Here, he says that no other country follows our Constitution (right, it’s the U.S. Constitution) and also that Congress’s voting on war (which is its role under the Constitution) is unconstitutional.
Acyn@Acyn
Trump on Congressional Authorization for War: No other country has ever done it.
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Yes, that as well! I'm a big fan of the Cube Root Law by Taagepera which has both solid theoretical underpinnings (based on minimizing communication costs) and empirical support (the lines in the graph below are model predictions and are not regressions).
Do you follow @UncapTheHouse?
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@perfctlyGoodInk @leedrutman We could have both if we expanded the House significantly.
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Felix L. retweetledi
proportional representation. obviously. It is the only legitimate long-term solution. nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Ryan Brune@BruneElections
How does the gerrymandering saga end? Serious question.
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@allbesaved @leedrutman Oh, me too! The point of Carey & Hix's "Sweet Spot" research is that you can get a local representative who largely agrees with you using small multi-winner districts.
And if you want that "largely" to be "closely," then you'd of course want larger districts.
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@perfctlyGoodInk @leedrutman Sure. But I would much rather have a representative who lives 75 miles away who agrees with me than a neighbor who is a commie.
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@GMGunstonHall @leedrutman Exactly! As OP points out, PR elegantly solves gerrymandering.
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@perfctlyGoodInk @leedrutman Just strike out commissions drawing districts. Full voter participation. Each state acts like Europe in seat allocation by vote %. Single seat states, well, something like general elections. Nothing is perfect where humans are involved.
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As I said, I'm almost certain that someone I love will vote blue.
The low chance of casting the decisive vote is true of every election, but I still vote and encourage everyone I know to vote because a low voter turnout puts us all at the whims of a small minority.
x.com/perfctlyGoodIn…
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@perfctlyGoodInk @orcawhale @treyton8402 if you want to speak about what the chances that your vote changes the outcome, there is 1 in whole of population chance your vote matters. way less than 1%. How much of a chance do you need to make that call, instead of just not dying?
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I didn’t even realize until today that literally everyone who choses red has to say a three paragraph essay cope about why “erm actually according to game theory the red button is most optimal…” like just be honest and say you’re a pussy and don’t want to die lol
Treyton@treyton8402
Anyone who votes red button is a pussy or sociopath
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@GerardoMunck As Nobel laureate Thomas Sargent argued, "It takes a model to beat a model."
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These are the reasons why I share Przeworski's criticism of V-Dem's democracy indices. 👇
The same criticisms apply to the data from Freedom House and the Economist Intelligence Unit. The problems with these indices are significant.
Gerardo L. Munck@GerardoMunck
Przeworski on V-Dem Data In a new interview, Adam Przeworski states that he does “not have much trust in V-Dem’s measurements of democracy” and that V-Dem seeks “media exposure by heralding crises of democracy.” I agree. See the full interview here: populismstudies.org/professor-prze…
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Agreed it'd focus us on policies over personalities!
I do think *any* #ProportionalRepresentation system with a large-enough district magnitude should also accomplish this, regardless of ballot format.
And it may take a while, but there is momentum with grouops like @FixOurHouse, @ProRepCoalition, and @FairVote.
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@perfctlyGoodInk @leedrutman May or may not happen, but imaging a 3rd party getting 10% in some states? A vehicle to break 2 party system becomes available. And, maybe wishful thinking, but party platform/policies become more important than personalities.
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@OUnderfolder @orcawhale @treyton8402 As I understand it, the time of the button press is irrelevant to the tally.
This means that -- as long as you believe someone you know and/or love might press blue -- there is a chance you can affect the probability that they live or die.
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@perfctlyGoodInk @orcawhale @treyton8402 sure. So i'm changing it to we know that zero people have pressed blue so far.
What motivates the first person to press blue, when they know no one else has?
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@GMGunstonHall @leedrutman Interesting, I don't think I've ever heard a proposal like this before. Many Americans -- due to the two-party system -- have a dim view of parties in general. Those that view parties as inevitable and useful often prefer the party-list PR methods.
But what you say makes sense.
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@perfctlyGoodInk @leedrutman And larger the pool, one might find a less extreme person since he/she has to appeal to the whole state's party demographics.
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@allbesaved @leedrutman A person may have a policy position due to how it impacts their local economy, although it's also valid for you to prefer that such concerns not be weighed.
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@perfctlyGoodInk @leedrutman In today's atomized culture, I'm not sure why "geographic accountability" would be a concern. At least, it should not be used to reduce the number of winners.
I personally want far more than 4-7. Complexity be damned.
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@OUnderfolder @orcawhale @treyton8402 As I understand it, we only know that everybody might push red or blue. We don't know what they will do.
The probability that someone we know and love presses blue is thus nonzero (and close to 100% in my case).
x.com/MrBeast/status…
MrBeast@MrBeast
Everyone on earth takes a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press? BE HONEST.
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@perfctlyGoodInk @orcawhale @treyton8402 why would they push blue if they are told no one has pushed blue?
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@GMGunstonHall @leedrutman Correct, no amendment, but it would require repeal of a 1967 federal law.
fairvote.org/report/history…
The Fair Representation Act would do just that:
congress.gov/bill/119th-con…
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@leedrutman Basically it is an American version of a Parliamentary system. So the 40% GOP in New England would theoretically get 40% of House seats. In Alabama, Dems get 35% etc...correct?
I'm not sure that needs an Amendment. Districts seem like a custom, not Constitutional required.
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Ranking a large number of candidates is a complex task, so I've heard 3-5 bandied about.
Even without ranking, research from Carey & Hix indicates that the sweet spot between proportionality and geographic accountability is about 4-7 winners per district.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/…
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@leedrutman 1700 representatives in large districts of many winners.
How many winners per district is feasible if STV is used? I would like to think we could go pretty high but it seems most people think it needs to be quite small
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Felix L. retweetledi
At that point, why not just mandate proportional representation for all states and be done with this un-winnable gerrymandering war?
Patrick Ruffini@PatrickRuffini
At this point, why not repeal the VRA-adjacent 1967 Uniform Congressional Districts Act and legalize multi-member or statewide at-large districts (but without proportional representation).
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@scottagain2 @Reuters As are Republican control of the House and --what would've seemed wildly implausible six months ago -- the Senate.
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Trump's approval ratings have sunk. See where he stands across issues reut.rs/4tjqHAA
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Felix L. retweetledi
Foreign contributions to political campaigns are banned.
Trump found a loophole—crypto—allowing him to rake in hundreds of millions from foreign regimes buying influence.
My @Morning_Joe Chart.
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@orcawhale @treyton8402 Some of us have family members that we love who are likely to push blue (e.g., my devout Catholic mother and my wife who views survival of her children and species as more important to her own).
Many others I know and love might also push blue. I'd want to live with my choice.
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There is no reason to ever push blue. If you push red, you're fine. If other folks push blue, the question is why?
Why would ANYONE have pushed blue in the first place?
You're the first person to push a button. Do you push blue, just in case? No. And neither does anyone else.
Pushing blue is virtue signalling to try to pretend that you're willing to sacrifice yourself while hoping that other people save you.
Save yourself and don't try to kill yourself from the beginning.
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