Piotr Prosol
477 posts
Piotr Prosol
@pkprosol
Entrepreneur + Software Developer
New York Katılım Nisan 2009
770 Takip Edilen415 Takipçiler
I DEBATED THE MOST UNFUNNY
UNPATRIOTIC “COMIC” IN AMERICA “Dave Smith”
Piers Morgan Uncensored@PiersUncensored
"A Trump in the last 100 years has never done military service, Barron - you can change that!" Piers Morgan's latest episode with Leon Panetta, @ComicDaveSmith, @sostalksmoney, @BillOReilly and @GovJVentura is live now👇 📺 youtu.be/m_BQNhEPkYo @piersmorgan
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The Houthis have officially announced that they are entering the conflict on the side of Iran.
In the released message from the movement's representative, there is talk of plans to attack American warships in the Red Sea.
"We will strike American ships in the Red Sea.
This war is a fight for the entire Ummah"
– they warned in the message.
Additionally, the Houthis stated that they possess hypersonic ballistic missiles "Palestine-2".
According to them, the missile range is up to 2150 kilometers, and the speed can reach Mach 16.
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Andor: Empire manufactures the threat. Civilians pay. Rebels radicalize.
Dune: Control the spice, control the universe. Hormuz is closed.
The Battle of Algiers: The Pentagon screened this film after Iraq to study insurgencies — that they keep creating. The French win every battle and lose the war.
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I spent an hour with Claude debating how this war could end. Here’s its conclusion:
“America destroyed Iran’s military. Iran destroyed America’s endgame. Neither side can finish the job. Iran’s win condition is just surviving — which it’s doing — while quietly running the strait as a toll road and banking oil money to fund the same drones killing American allies. The U.S. win condition keeps shifting and nobody can define it. Both sides will eventually call it a victory and go home. Iran will be weaker, poorer, and angrier — with a new supreme leader who has every incentive to quietly rebuild a nuclear program the moment the cameras look away.
The war achieved the thing nobody wanted and failed to achieve the thing everyone wanted. Classic Middle East.“
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Despite absorbing 1,500× more effective destruction, bombing alone didn’t break Germany. Industrial output actually peaked in 1944 during the heaviest bombing. Germany surrendered when Soviet and Allied ground forces physically occupied the country.
The implication for Iran: If bombing couldn’t force German surrender at 1,500× the scale, it almost certainly can’t force Iranian surrender either — only regime collapse from within or a ground invasion could do that. The bombs can destroy capability; they can’t compel submission.
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Germany absorbed roughly 1,500× more effective destruction than Iran has so far. The raw tonnage gap is 18×, but Iran spent 40 years engineering itself to be nearly unbombable — buried, dispersed, and mountainous. The campaign is historically large but structurally limited. Germany couldn’t hide. Iran built its entire defense strategy around the assumption that it would eventually be bombed.
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Claude:
Germany vs Iran Bombing
🇩🇪 Germany (WWII)
• Bombs: 1,350,000 tons
• Area: 357,000 km²
• Density: 3.78 tons/km²
• Duration: 5 years
🇮🇷 Iran (2025–26, ongoing)
• Bombs: ~75,000 tons (est.)
• Area: 1,648,000 km²
• Density: ~0.05 tons/km²
• Duration: 9 months so far
📊 Germany vs Iran
• ~18× more bombs on Germany
• Iran is 4.6× larger
• Germany bombed ~75× more densely
• Still ongoing — gap closing
⚠️ Note: Iran tonnage is a rough estimate. 7,800+ targets struck across 26 of 31 provinces as of Mar 19. Final numbers will be much higher.
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The escalation ladder is broken for America.
At the lower levels there is too much parity or even advantages to Iran like control of the strait or retaliation against infrastructure.
If America escalates to the point where it has clear dominance the retaliation though much smaller relatively will get so costly it brings the whole world economy down.
If you can’t dominate the escalation ladder you can’t win.
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The irony is Pearl Harbor seems quaint compared to assassinating civilian leaders and their families, including little children, in a surprise sucker punch attack. The Japanese attacked a naval base and warships.
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Piotr Prosol retweetledi
Someone remind Trump of the good old days where you just declare bankruptcy and walk away. It was a brilliant decision Mr. President and though it all worked out perfectly and you won, it’s also time to throw in the towel before it all goes broke again. License your name to another wonderful project like Cuba.
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@HSyrmen @TheSalonDon Less to lose but still would be a major depression in America. Nobody is coming into this war against Iran. Nobody can. Arabs have basically no military power and nobody else realistically can.
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@pkprosol @TheSalonDon the US would be happy if everyone traded oil at 60 but has less to lose than everyone else if it trades at $200 because it's the largest exporter in the world. And Iran can't afford to bankrupt the world because it would mean fighting the world too
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This is a once every 5 year opportunity to make money in the markets
It’s obvious to anyone following that this will be one of the worst oil shocks ever
Yet it’s hardly reflected in stock prices
This is like when COVID shut down Italy but SPY was still at all time highs
JustDario 🏊♂️@DarioCpx
Trump just claimed gas prices will drop as soon as the US-Israel war on Iran is over, "which will be soon." Here is what I just told a friend: "It's Iran's strategic interest to show the world they can effectively retaliate if attacked again in the future by sending the oil price to an unbearable level for US and their allies' consumers. Furthermore, Iran is now openly targeting GCC countries, and it's fair to assume it has a plan to inflict long-lasting damage to their revenue sources, mostly linked to oil and gas exports, so they won't be able to use those to strengthen their armies by building capabilities to strike back at Iran from their territories in the future. As a consequence, the decision to end this conflict as things stand now is not Trump's. In the same way, everyone with 2 grams of brains knows military escorts through the Strait of Hormuz are impossible; the same applies to the possibility of a ground invasion of Iran (it will be a brutal carnage because of the type of advantage Iran's territorial structure gives to the Iranians). By now it's even clear that the majority of Iranians living in Iran support the local government, even if Western media tried so hard to convince everyone outside Iran of the opposite. If this weren't the case, the original plan of taking out Khamenei to trigger a popular uprising would have worked. Period. The only option to tilt the balance of power back onto the US side lies in the use of tactical nukes, but this option is and will always remain off the table because it can open a geopolitical Pandora's box; no one has a clue how it can play out globally. Bottom line: Iran will carry on with its strategy to create an oil price shock till the price is high enough to serve as a future deterrent against any action towards them, and till is high enough, the US and its allies' population will force them to cease the hostilities from their side first." I strongly believe we are heading towards an incredible oil price shock that is inevitable at this point; the only unknown is how long it will last and its magnitude. Feel free to bookmark this post and bring it back up in the future if I am wrong
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This war is like a Chinese finger trap. The more America and Israel bomb the more oil goes up, which Iran is fine with and America and especially Trump can’t tolerate. Winning more is losing more.
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@TheSalonDon @HSyrmen Absolutely love this comment. The situation is so paradoxical that I struggle to wrap my head around it. The U.S. would be happy if everyone traded oil at $60. Iran would be happy to drive it to $200 and bankrupt the world. And some cheer yeah Murica bomb their oil!!! Precisely…
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@sentdefender Watching this swerving all over the road is like a nightmare you can’t wake up from.
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U.S. President Donald J. Trump wants no more strikes on Iranian energy sites after Wednesday’s attack by Israel on a natural gas processing plant serving Iran’s South Pars Offshore Gas Field, which was known about and supported by President Trump, U.S. officials tell the Wall Street Journal.
President Trump supported today’s strikes as a message to Tehran over its attempts to block the Strait of Hormuz, but believes Iran got the message and is now against attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure, the officials said. But Trump could once again be open to targeting more Iranian energy facilities depending on Tehran's future actions in the Strait.
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@SpencerGuard Cool so they have a plan and it’s worked then! Job well done everyone.
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Imagine a self proclaimed “military expert” telling his followers that in all of the U.S. National Security Council, Joint Staff, CENTCOM, U.S. Naval Forces Central Command (NAVCENT), and JTF staff, they did not plan for scenarios in the Strait of Hormuz.
Then imagine people still following him for “analysis.”
Crazy world of overnight “X-perts”
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@megynkelly @ComicDaveSmith @marklevinshow I was just telling my wife yesterday that I’d think twice before starting a war of reputational demolition with one of the more famous women in the world. Seems like an area where men have a structural disadvantage. And here we are not even 24 hours later.
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Micropenis Mark @marklevinshow thinks he has the monopoly on lewd. He tweets about me obsessively in the crudest, nastiest terms possible. Literally more than some stalkers I’ve had arrested. He doesn’t like it when women like me fight back. Bc of his micropenis.
Mark R. Levin@marklevinshow
Poor Megyn Kelly. An emotionally unhinged, lewd, and petulant wreck. She’s completely revealed and destroyed herself. She’s everything people say she is, but much worse. Never an intelligent, thoughtful, or substantive comment. Utterly toxic.
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