on the road to Damascus or is it the Stuart Hwy

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on the road to Damascus or is it the Stuart Hwy

on the road to Damascus or is it the Stuart Hwy

@pm_mcd

Interested in energy, our transition, climate change and facts. Just blocks ad hom. All tweets and replies are personal thoughts only

Adelaide Katılım Temmuz 2009
1.2K Takip Edilen520 Takipçiler
BONUS🌍
BONUS🌍@TheDisproof·
Bjorn Lomborg is lying yet again: Of the seven countries with the cheapest electricity on his graph (left), three have well over 60% renewables and four out of the seven have less than 26% from fossil fuels (right graph) from Our World in Data.
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Dustin
Dustin@r0ck3t23·
Terence Tao is the greatest living mathematician. Fields Medal at 31. Solved problems that had been open for a century. Widely regarded as the sharpest analytical mind alive. And he just told you the thing your entire career is built on is now worthless. Tao: “AI has basically driven the cost of idea generation down to almost zero.” For five hundred years, the idea was the prize. The theory. The hypothesis. The flash of insight a physicist chased for twenty years in a lab before it landed. That was the bottleneck. That was what tenure rewarded. That was what Nobel committees were looking for. Gone. A model can generate a thousand candidate theories for a scientific problem in an afternoon. Not noise. Not garbage. Plausible, structured, publishable-grade hypotheses. A thousand of them. Before dinner. The idea used to be the scarcest resource in any room. Now it is the cheapest. But Tao went somewhere most people are not ready to follow. Tao: “Verification, validation, and assessing what ideas actually move the subject forward… that’s not something we know how to do at scale.” Sit with that. We automated creation. We did not automate truth. We can produce ten thousand explanations for a phenomenon. We cannot tell you which ones are real. That is not a gap. That is a chasm. And it is the most important unsolved problem on Earth right now. Tao: “Human reviewers… they’re already being overwhelmed actually.” The entire scientific apparatus was built for a world where a single paper took months to produce. Peer review. Journal boards. Consensus forged over years of replication and debate. That infrastructure was never designed for what just hit it. Journals are flooded. Reviewers are buried. The filters that separated signal from noise for decades were engineered for human-speed output. They are now absorbing machine-speed volume. And they are cracking under it. Tao compared it to the internet. The internet drove the cost of communication to zero. That did not produce clarity. It produced an ocean of noise with islands of signal buried somewhere inside. AI just did the same thing to knowledge itself. Infinite generation. Zero verification. The person who can produce ideas has never mattered less. The person who can prove which ideas are true has never mattered more. That is the inversion nobody is processing. Every company, every lab, every institution is racing to generate more. Faster models. Bigger outputs. More theories. More code. More content. Nobody is building the system that tells you which of those outputs are actually correct. And that is the only system that matters. Whoever solves verification at scale does not win a market. They become the filter that all of science, all of engineering, all of human discovery flows through. The bottleneck of the last five hundred years was producing the answer. The bottleneck of the next fifty is knowing whether the answer is real. And right now, according to the greatest mathematician alive, we do not know how to do that at the speed the machines demand. That is not a research problem. That is the race beneath the race. And almost nobody has entered it.
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Sharty McWaffles 🇨🇦
Sharty McWaffles 🇨🇦@ShartyWaffles_2·
@pm_mcd @ChrisGloninger @BjornLomborg Ontario, yes. We can thank Kathleen Wynne for that. Signed a long contract to sell excess power at a loss the USA, thus raising the price. She also put in tons of solar and wind, raising the price again. Quebec did non of that. So thank you for proving my point.
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Bjorn Lomborg
Bjorn Lomborg@BjornLomborg·
The cheap green lie You are told that solar and wind are cheap But you need near-100% backup when no sun or wind, paying for two systems Data for 2024 shows that cramming in more solar and wind makes electricity overall more and more costly iea.org/data-and-stati…
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Alex
Alex@alex_avoigt·
For anyone who still hasn't grasped why nuclear power plants are the stupidest idea imaginable: New nuclear power plants cost up to 49 cents per kilowatt-hour in Europe. Solar power costs between 3 and 6 cents. Thats 16 times more expensive electricity For those now dreaming of small power plants (SMR): SMRs produce five to 30 times more nuclear waste than large reactors, and nuclear waste is a massive cost driver. Professor Dr. Lesch calls the idea of ​​using old nuclear waste as fuel "a wonderful fairy tale that has yet to come true anywhere in the world." For all now claiming storage is no cost driver take a look what Germany had to pay and all other countries with nuclear energy generation must pay for decommissioning and storing nuclear facilities and waste in the future:
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Prof Ray Wills
Prof Ray Wills@ProfRayWills·
AER now explicitly validating what our @FSS_Au work's been demonstrating for several years: more wind and more batteries pushing wholesale prices down and opening the door to actual bill cuts, even with fossil‑fuel risks still in the system reneweconomy.com.au/the-rise-of-ba…
Renew Economy@renew_economy

#AER flags cut in cost of electricity for households and businesses across the #NEM, as wholesale power prices get the benefit of more wind and big batteries.. reneweconomy.com.au/more-wind-and-…

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Chris Meder
Chris Meder@EVCurveFuturist·
China isn’t just installing renewables at scale — they’re writing the playbook for the post-fossil era. Build fast. Electrify everything. Dominate supply chains. This isn’t transition… it’s system redesign. The blueprint is being drawn in real time. Goggle it! #Bettrification
Jesse Peltan@JessePeltan

If you’re not going to go to China, just open up Google Earth. China is building more solar and wind than the rest of the world *combined* and you can literally see it from space.

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AukeHoekstra
AukeHoekstra@AukeHoekstra·
The final report on the Iberia Peninsula (Spain and Portugal) blackout is out. A lot of people will be blaming renewables and talk about inertia. But the cause was bad voltage control and that's surprisingly easy to fix. Let me explain. #Publications_&_Documents" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">entsoe.eu/publications/b…
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on the road to Damascus or is it the Stuart Hwy
@CejSe @ProfRayWills @FSS_Au has SA always had a big grid for a low population? funny how it used to be cheapest mainland power for much of its history ?
on the road to Damascus or is it the Stuart Hwy@pm_mcd

@OskaArcher @tonyannett “oh, but SA always had high electricity prices due to large grid for sparsely distributed population” except for when it was the cheapest retail power on mainland you can learn a lot about renewables from SA

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on the road to Damascus or is it the Stuart Hwy
@OskaArcher @tonyannett “oh, but SA always had high electricity prices due to large grid for sparsely distributed population” except for when it was the cheapest retail power on mainland you can learn a lot about renewables from SA
on the road to Damascus or is it the Stuart Hwy@pm_mcd

@climatecouncil @ieefa_institute Past Electricity bill data shows that SAs electricity bills went from 20c /kwhr to >40c/kwr with cheap renewables. (note it wasn't always this way, SA had the cheapest mainland power)

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Tony Annett
Tony Annett@tonyannett·
Renewables are now the cheapest form of energy in electricity generation. People who claim otherwise still think it’s 2010…
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katy 🌸
katy 🌸@KatyKray73·
Chris Bowen – Australia has ZERO nuclear fallback! Renewables alone can't cut it. Honeywell CEO Vimal Kapur at Davos: data centres, steel, cement & heavy industry run on ENERGY DENSITY. Not headlines or green goals, PHYSICS. Solar won't smelt steel. Wind won't make concrete. Coal, gas & nuclear are needed for demand. The world's going digital, but still powered by heavy industry. Time to face reality. ⚡
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Chris Meder
Chris Meder@EVCurveFuturist·
The critical crossover. From 10% to 30% in just a decade. In 2025 wind & solar generated more electricity in the EU than fossil fuels. Once a new technology overtakes the incumbent, the direction of travel becomes obvious. Cost curves + deployment = disruption.⚡#Bettrification
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on the road to Damascus or is it the Stuart Hwy
@LucyTurnbull_AO @Nirgal451 hope it is dawning on people that’s it’s more complex and challenging than some people are advocating
Lucy Turnbull AO@LucyTurnbull_AO

We should move to #electrifyeverything and make our energy system super renewable. Urgently. I was a schoolgirl in 1970s energy crisis. Recall the economic shock. We have not done nearly enough since then for our energy independence and resilience to sudden supply shocks.

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Lucy Turnbull AO
Lucy Turnbull AO@LucyTurnbull_AO·
Hope it is dawning on people that we need to electrify transport ASAP. Need a national plan to do this. For national resilience, sovereignty and security. Heavy vehicles are the hardest and most expensive. But we have to try. Suggest we look at China’s policy and actions.
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