Sabitlenmiş Tweet
Very excited to put up a draft of my paper with @AmritaKulka: "Agglomeration Over the Long Run:
Evidence from County Seat Wars"
corybsmith.com/s/SmithKulka_F…
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Cory Smith
8.9K posts
Cory Smith
@politicory
Assistant Professor of economics @UofMaryland AREC. Development and economic history; frontier economies. || https://t.co/drjEQtk0VI
Katılım Kasım 2012
880 Takip Edilen1.7K Takipçiler
Cory Smith retweetledi
Unsurprisingly, Trump's immigration crackdown is still not delivering labor market improvements for the US-born
Over the last year, the native-born unemployment rate has increased from 4.2% to 4.3%, while native-born employment rates have decreased
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Cory Smith retweetledi
There have been no public hearings on the war, both chambers of Congress have left town on recess, and now Pentagon drawing up invasion plans
Dan Lamothe@DanLamothe
SCOOP: The Pentagon is preparing for weeks of ground operations in Iran, U.S. officials said, as thousands of American soldiers and Marines arrive in the Middle East for what could become a dangerous new phase of the war should President Donald Trump choose to escalate.
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@politicory @andreamatranga That's what I meant by "dumber" here.
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Honestly this makes so little sense to me that I have to believe it's some kind of psyop to hide what they're really going to do.
Faytuks News@Faytuks
American officials tell allies that the US will probably be forced to launch a ground operation to capture Iran's Kharg Island, according to two sources familiar with the matter - I24 News t.me/US2020US/40248
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@phl43 @andreamatranga If “dumber” why not “so dumb they are telling the truth and believe this will cause Iran to relent”
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@andreamatranga This kind of Machiavellian calculation is a bit too 4D chess to be plausible in my view. I think it's either dumber or smarter than that.
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Cory Smith retweetledi
When Obama sent Iran $400m + $1.3bn in interest in 2016 Trump called it "insane" and he and others spent a decade mocking the idea of "pallets of cash" even though it was Iran's own money, American prisoners were released, courts were likely to require the U.S. payment, and Iran had just agreed to significant and verified reductions and restrictions on its nuclear program for 15+ years. Now Trump is giving Iran up to ten times that amount of revenue--one of the most significant measures of sanctions relief provided to the Islamic Republic since its founding--in exchange for marginal and temporary relief from the big increase in oil prices his actions have caused, without any concessions from Tehran, and even as Iran continues to target the United States, its allies, and world oil supplies. No way to read as anything other than desperate recognition of the situation Trump's own actions have created and the lack of available alternatives for dealing with it.
Barak Ravid@BarakRavid
🚨U.S. to allow Iran to get ~14 billion dollars (!!!) in oil revenue 🚨This is a huge financial concession to Iran by the U.S. 🚨It is the first time U.S. is buying Iranian oil since 1996 🚨It's all happening in the middle of a war against...Iran
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Cory Smith retweetledi
Any U.S. citizen can end up in one of these horrific concentration camps.
Maybe they'll let you go once they realize their mistake, after 3 months of hunger, disease, and abuse, with no recourse.
All it would take to stop this is a handful of brave Republicans.
Fifty Shades of Whey@davenewworld_2
ICE is rounding up thousands of people with no criminal record and throwing them into concentration camps where conditions are so bad that people are committing suicide while the guards bet on who kills themselves next
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@politicory It's a joke, every playground still looks exactly like the one in the picture
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It is pretty awful that playgrounds don't exist anymore though
James Medlock@jdcmedlock
So much online conservatism these days is just "I miss being a kid"
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Human history is really a story of competing warlords.
Pop quiz:
Without using LLMs, name the society that used this weapon!
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@politicory Awesome. I am currently learning about different weapons and military systems across societies!
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@_alice_evans Great! Serendipitous since I just watched a YouTube on them (amateur archaeologist currently trying out stone/stone-age weapons)
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@BlatantlyDumb I half agree on #1: depends on who the next president is (we don’t know). Continuity with the admin is possible, change takes work
Fair on #2, but can be informative if you haven’t been following its actions recently (or just needed a reminder)
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@politicory Beyond the Trump admin? No, I don't see it as a meaningful signal.
In the Trump admin? I don't see it as a marginally informative signal.
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There is no law prohibiting you from freaking out about the Endangerment Finding news, but the most consequential laws that rely (or relied) on this are:
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@BlatantlyDumb What about as a credible & consequential signal of how the agency is operating & will continue to operate?
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Cory Smith retweetledi
There is ZERO evidence that the Bureau of Labor Statistics is manipulating the data, not the CPI, not payrolls earlier this week.
I am not being naive and people are watching carefully for signs of tampering. Such accusations now are harmful to economic discussions.
Craig Shapiro@ces921
Perfectly manipulated CPI print by the Department of BS. Not too hot to annoy the Fed hawks. Not too cold to suggest AI deflationary fears accelerating. Under the hood, supercore month on month up 0.59%. Typically happens in January but still quite concerning
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@besttrousers @mattyglesias Common pool problem, I see it all the time
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@mattyglesias Seems like an inefficient use of a pool tbh.
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@paulnovosad (1) practically, completely agree: we need to be big boys/girls & have a big tent that welcomes this critique
(2) non-practically, has Rogan expressed regret for endorsing? Given the predictability of these events, why not follow the critique to the logical endpoint?
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Don’t pile on Joe for voting for Trump.
Ok It was a bad choice. Millions of other decent Americans made it too.
When you sneer down at them for it, you remind them why they did and give them a reason to do it again.
Joe Rogan is Everyman. The Dems lost him and that’s on them.
Brian Allen@allenanalysis
Joe Rogan just said the quiet part out loud: A man brought here as a baby. Lived in the U.S. for 20 years. Can’t speak Spanish. No criminal record. Deported anyway. That’s not “border security.” That’s ripping people out of the only country they’ve ever known and dumping them in a place that isn’t home.
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Cory Smith retweetledi
"It is not clear whether a comparison of individuals reporting 20 dollars and zero dollars a day in income coincides with any difference in consumption or welfare in the U.S." brookings.edu/wp-content/upl…
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Years ago, @laurencechandy & I did a piece on the complexities of using US income data to measure extreme poverty
Ryan Briggs@ryancbriggs
Everyone is complaining about the y axis, which admittedly is an all-time banger chart crime, but it’s even more deceptive because the USA measure is based on income (so ignores eg SNAP) and the Chinese measure is based on consumption.
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