Mark

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Mark

@pulse_carbon

Farmer & engineer. Mass migration policies are destroying ability to address Energy & Ecological Crises. Renewables can power civilisation - just not this one.

Katılım Mayıs 2024
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Mark
Mark@pulse_carbon·
Wrote a blog for Ugo Bardi's substack on the attempt to replace fossil fuels with renewables. Conclusion is life will be completely different in Ireland in our renewable future Irelands renewables saturation point was 2021 as shown by @XEnergyIreland
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Daragh Cassidy
Daragh Cassidy@DaraghCassidy·
I’d always thought my first letter to the Irish Times would be a diatribe against DCC and bollards. Alas, it was about energy policy 😂
Daragh Cassidy tweet media
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Mark@pulse_carbon·
@Migrant_Mick @danobrien20 Very doubtful, for every 4 units of energy to produce it you get 1 back when used - yet the problem is an energy shortage.
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Dan O'Brien
Dan O'Brien@danobrien20·
Why this chart is wrong. Five metrics are used to measure 'infrastructure and public services', as per the first image, which shows Ireland to be a total outlier. Start with public capital spending as share of total govt expenditure. (Unfortunately) rich world governments spend only single digit percentages of total government expenditure on capital spending. As it happens, Ireland has the highest share in western Europe. The actual Eurostat data are charted in the second image. What about doctor density? Unlike public expenditure, where I'd claim some expertise, I'm certainly not an expert in health economics. But I've spent enough time looking at the numbers over the years to know that Ireland is not an outlier in the number of doctors it has relative population. Even the OECD healthcare at a glance report that is referenced as a source shows that. The table from the report is the third image. Finally, Ireland has almost no electrified rail. These figures seem correct, but is the energy source of your rail system indicative of the quality of overall infrastructure? I'd argue no, but that's a judgement call. So, two of the five metrics are completely wrong and the inclusion of a third (which happens to show Ireland by far the worst performer in west Europe) is questionable.
Dan O'Brien tweet mediaDan O'Brien tweet mediaDan O'Brien tweet media
Sinéad O’Sullivan@SineadOS1

The protests in Ireland are not about just fuel! They are about the distance between Ireland on this graph and every other modern and developed economy. Ireland is second wealthiest but gets waaaaay less than any other country for that wealth. By a golden mile. That visual gap in this graph? That’s what people are protesting. It’s a lack of infrastructure and the everyday enshittification of services, the economy, and the additional difficulty of trying to live, relative to peers in any other country. It also highlights why people don’t get uniformly listened to! - because there is no government architecture to engage meaningfully across this huge gap. That gap is a three hour drive to work in traffic, a 14 month wait for an MRI, buses that don’t arrive, trains that don’t exist, schools that have no places for your kids, houses that are unaffordable, pubs that close before midnight, €12 sandwiches, expensive fuel. People feel this gap, even if they can’t explain it precisely. And that builds into resentment, and ultimately protest. Fuel just happened to be the next thing that could be pointed to, today.

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Mark
Mark@pulse_carbon·
@JamesOConnorTD @albertdolan_ @ryanomeara_td Well said. Most problems seem to stem from short term policies geared to the election cycle, when whats required is 30 year plans - nuclear, electric rail etc. For whatever reason, governance in Ireland seems completely incapable of planning for the long term.
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Mark
Mark@pulse_carbon·
The signs of overpopulation are all around us: housing crisis, healthcare crisis, ecosystem collapse. Yet without more and more people coming to my neighbourhood, my savings - i.e. the value of my house - collapses. System lock-in.
Martin Tye@martinrev21

My #overpopulation stance has improved over the last 15 years. I've gone from constant abuse & harassment, to general silence & a small band of supporters. Maybe in another 100 years enough people will understand to actually make a difference?? @martinrev21/why-overpopulation-is-a-much-bigger-issue-than-overconsumption-464fdececc43" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">medium.com/@martinrev21/w…

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Camus
Camus@newstart_2024·
“You’re spending 50% of your disposable income on a house a postman owned in 1917.” Rory Sutherland just delivered a brutally funny takedown of London property madness. He pointed out that people with good jobs are now paying enormous sums for a three-bedroom house in Fulham that’s essentially a boring, low-quality building — the real value is almost entirely in the land and planning permission (about 90% of the price). Meanwhile, we live in an incredible technological age where you can buy jet skis, hot tubs, and amazing consumer goods — but most of our money goes into owning a “shit house” in a good postcode. Rory’s friend has a flat in the Barbican and he gets that — it’s actually an amazing place to live. But most London housing? Dross. Rory’s friend has a flat in the Barbican and he gets that — it’s actually an amazing place to live. But most London housing? Dross. It’s like paying £60,000 a year for the parking space while driving a 1970s Ford Cortina. What’s the most ridiculous thing you’ve seen people spend huge money on just for location?
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Mark@pulse_carbon·
@danobrien20 Energy and GDP are tied 1 to 1. The energy required for every product has just moved to coal-rich China as part of operation greenwashing.
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Mark@pulse_carbon·
Irelands uniquely dire energy situation a result of a collision of 3 unfortunate factors: 1/ Christy-Moore-anti-nuclear energy policy ideology 2/ Few sources of the high quality energy sources - hydro, fossil fuels, solar 3/ "Ireland is the Saudi Arabia of Wind" marketing meme
TheJournal.ie@thejournal_ie

Why is Irish electricity so expensive? Economists from the ESRI crunched the numbers - and generating a large share of our electricity using gas is a big factor. jrnl.ie/7011725t

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Mark
Mark@pulse_carbon·
@18for0 Yes of course nuclear is cheaper than renewables. The real question is can Europe deindustrialise for 30 years - "If you dont have steel you dont have a country!" - but still completely reinvent their grid with the world's most complex technology? Unlikely, not impossible.
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18for0
18for0@18for0·
Could nuclear reduce Ireland's electricity prices? The lowest wholesale electricity prices in the EU can be found in Sweden, Norway and Finland. All have some combination nuclear, hydro and renewables. The most expensive is Ireland, with an isolated, gas dependent grid.
TheJournal.ie@thejournal_ie

Why is Irish electricity so expensive? Economists from the ESRI crunched the numbers - and generating a large share of our electricity using gas is a big factor. jrnl.ie/7011725t

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Mark@pulse_carbon·
@AndyDrewLyons @GavinTobin @tbald101 No, I wanted to give a baseline. I published a paper on it with full methodology, you should be able to find it - "Wind and Solar Calculator to Determine Renewable Infrastructure Requirements for a Full Fossil Fuel Phase-Out Using a Bottom-Up Approach"
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Theo McDonald
Theo McDonald@tbald101·
Why should carbon taxes even exist? Energy is an inelastic product meaning it will be used regardless of price. If the goal is to reduce consumption, then it's pointless. If the goal is to raise revenue, the State already has a surplus so why bother?
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Sinéad O’Sullivan
Sinéad O’Sullivan@SineadOS1·
The enshittification of Ireland and the hollowing out of our institutions is the single largest threat to Irish civil society and prosperity. In this damning piece, I'm going into more detail about the graph I posted yesterday: why it's happening in Ireland, why the way we're thinking about the protests is entirely wrong, and what this means for our collective governance. Link to the article is below!
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Mark@pulse_carbon·
@AndyDrewLyons @GavinTobin @tbald101 Its worse than that - we'd need 10x current wind capacity if we just did wind (see my calculator). So we cant stay on fossil fuels, and the official plan (switch in wind & solar no problemo) is obviously unworkable. No easy answers. I look to Transition Engineering.
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Andrew Lyons
Andrew Lyons@AndyDrewLyons·
@pulse_carbon @GavinTobin @tbald101 Yes phase out should be planned. Biomass releases CO2 but is not a fossil fuel and can be sustainable. Wind turbines capacity that took 20+years to build, Ireland needs 5times this amount, when can this be achieved 30years? Not something thing that happens in one generation.
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Mark
Mark@pulse_carbon·
@AndyDrewLyons @GavinTobin @tbald101 Well, I am certain we are moving to a significantly lower energy future, landing at about 25% of the energy we use now (so lower living standards etc). Heres some software I wrote to estimate the whole energy system transition per country: wind-and-solar.vercel.app
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Andrew Lyons
Andrew Lyons@AndyDrewLyons·
@pulse_carbon @GavinTobin @tbald101 Overbuilding renewables just to provide in winter is really poor design unless you use the excess. Ireland can go 6-8months carbon neutral, outside of winter, fairly easily. What do the excess wind and solar produce in summer? I Propose fertilizer chemicals. Time is a killer
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Mark
Mark@pulse_carbon·
@AndyDrewLyons @GavinTobin @tbald101 Nil CO2 from fossil fuels is a certainity as they are finite. It would better for it to be planned. This generation, which enjoyed the benefits of fossil carbon, should start taking the hit, not the next.
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Andrew Lyons
Andrew Lyons@AndyDrewLyons·
@GavinTobin @pulse_carbon @tbald101 Its okay to emit some CO2 because some is natural, is the point. Net zero 12months of the year is unrealistic, winter has much higher demand and low solar, it would require 5 times in infrastructure/ materials/ cost as net zero emissions 8months if the year. Nil CO2 is stupid
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Mark
Mark@pulse_carbon·
@KitMurray It doesnt matter if its illegal, legal or whatever. Always-on energy is Europe's life support system and the maths tells us its going away. Without it, chaos will descend. Navigable with homogenous populations. Likely very violent without.
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Kit Murray
Kit Murray@KitMurray·
@pulse_carbon A few thousand leave every year too.. not all one way traffic Decisions have multiplied over the last few years. EU pact will fast-track a lot more Aim is to cut both backlog and processing times by half
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Mark
Mark@pulse_carbon·
When I became aware Europe would have less energy every decade I became vehemently opposed to mass migration - as more people become desperate, intra-group rivalry will turn violence. Due to the intractable energy situation, the migration problem is much worse than most believe
Nick Delehanty 🇮🇪@Nick_Delehanty

Every week ~180 to 270 new people arrive to feed the Emergency Accommodation industry. Each arrival will cost the taxpayer €122,000. This means each year the taxpayer is being saddled with €1.46billion in extra taxes.

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