

Randy
22.3K posts

@randy_x0
Your mentor in the world of Memecoins & DeFi • Experience from losing everything to getting rich • Subscribe to this GEM $MMT



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+360% profit in one day on Polymarket A trader placed "NO" bets at the 8% and 32% levels that @Lighter_xyz would not distribute the drop on December 29 and 31. A bet against the crowd and market expectations fully paid off. Against the backdrop of trader doubts and the lack of official statements from the team: - the probability of "NO" December 31 increased from 8% -> 28% - the probability of "NO" December 29 increased from 32% -> 84% The trader could have already locked in profits but continues to hold positions with +$36 000. His profile: @gugugagaaa?via=taker" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@gugugagaaa?vi…
The bet on the 29th will justify itself, but on the 31st, possibly not, so sometimes holding positions until expiration is a mistake. What do you think, will there be a $LIT drop this year?




As expected, that was a trick from this insider He sold his ~20.000 shares of "Will Lighter perform an airdrop by December 29?" And now bought into "Will Lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?" with real size of $135,000 Looks like we are getting a good present for new year?






Lighter Airdrop today? From 87% to 22% Looks like insiders weren't insiders or what? We are currently watching 12M$ Volume drama on Polymarket To be honest, I don't really believe an airdrop will happen this year Especially not today (though I’m not ruling it out entirely) We don't even have the tokenomics yet, but people are already talking about the airdrop That’s why I went to the Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? market and bet - No Why? I think if Lighter does an airdrop, the selling pressure will be massive. The only way to stabilize the price would be through vesting or something similar. Currently, the pre-market valuation is $3.6 billion, and as experience shows, the price usually only goes down from there. But the numbers aren't the main point - the key lies in rules, which essentially make this a double bet If Lighter doesn't launch the airdrop this year, this market will also resolve as - No NFA DYOR Polymarket: polymarket.com/event/lighter-…










