Kyle

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Kyle

Kyle

@rfdctr

Engineering things, academic (PhD), veteran, likes dogs 🇨🇦

Ottawa, Ontario Katılım Temmuz 2013
1.1K Takip Edilen193 Takipçiler
Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@MidOfficer So $10k per CMAR + spares, etc may be justified, but the only way to know is for the GoC to actually provide just a few details on what they’re buying. Because all that’s out there now are the numbers $307M and 30k rifles.
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Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@MidOfficer This one, hard to tell as the $307M only covers three years (assuming a separate ISS contract). If I remember correctly, the Browning replacement got delayed after the initial negotiations due to licensing issues. I suspect a substantial portion of this project is paying for IP
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Mid-Career Army Officer
I am once again begging people not to simply divide the contract value by the quantity and assuming that's the unit cost. 20-40% of any military contract is typically in-service support, spare parts, accessories, training, all necessary additional spending above item cost.
National Newswatch@natnewswatch

Canada spending $307M to buy new modular army rifles from Colt nationalnewswatch.com/2026/03/19/can… #nationlnewswatch via @natnewswatch

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Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@CDNPolicyHawk There’s a lot we don’t know, but the US Army has historically paid ~$1k/M16. CMAR is ~$10k/unit (+ spares). CMAR doesn’t have the economies of scale of the M4/16, so why the cost? My guess is IP and a non-competitive process.
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🇨🇦 Policy Hawk
🇨🇦 Policy Hawk@CDNPolicyHawk·
@rfdctr I could see there being some new tooling necessary, and some legacy IP. But, with admittedly limited knowledge of the industry, that breakdown seems pretty unreasonable to me.
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🇨🇦 Policy Hawk
🇨🇦 Policy Hawk@CDNPolicyHawk·
The CAF needs new rifles, and I'm glad to see a contract awarded. But at a time when we're supposed be building up the Canadian defence sector, I have questions about the disconnect between how large this contract is vs how little economic activity its claimed it will create. 1/
National Defence@NationalDefence

Canada is modernizing the @CanadianForces. The Defence Investment Agency awarded a contract to Colt Canada to acquire up to 65,402 modern rifles under the Canadian Modular Assault Rifle initiative. Learn more: canada.ca/en/defence-inv…

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Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@CDNPolicyHawk I’m guessing a lot of that cost is 1) licensing the IP and 2) CNC machines and tooling procured outside Canada. 3 years / 30 000 rifles = 40 rifles per work day. So this is hardly a high volume manufacturing plant with a large work force.
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🇨🇦 Policy Hawk
🇨🇦 Policy Hawk@CDNPolicyHawk·
The release states that the value of just phase one of this project is $307m over 3 years. But it also says that the contract will (only) generate $10m annually to Canada’s GDP over the next 5 years. Those numbers don't make sense if the work is happening in Canada. 2/
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Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@NoahGairn Replacing Sapphire is absurdly overdue. The satellite was launched in 2013 (coming in 10% under budget), and it’s likely to fall out of the sky before a replacement is launched. Notably, it’s a unique capability, with no similar capacity in NATO.
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Kyle retweetledi
ChrisO_wiki
ChrisO_wiki@ChrisO_wiki·
1/ Russia is having increasing problems using drones in the Kherson area, due to improved Ukrainian electronic warfare and drone strikes against Russian forces. Ukraine is reported to have devised an ingenious approach to deploy fibre-optic drones across the Dnipro river. ⬇️
ChrisO_wiki tweet media
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Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@SNAFU_Sara Prior to deploying to Afghanistan, every unit and its rear party ran through a mass casualty event Ex. Essentially trying to find out the gaps in information and process for what happens when one occurs. I’d recommend it for any unit deploying, even in peacetime.
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SNAFU
SNAFU@SNAFU_Sara·
I’m going to say something I could be entirely wrong on. But in my experience on the Guard side, S1 doesn’t get an opportunity to train on mass casualty events. And a lot of time DoD systems with the soldier info are slow, buggy, wrong information, if they even work at all or if we even have internet. At one point as a TNCO it got so bad I had our soldiers fill out a basic soldier data paper form I’d take to the field. I’m wondering if that’s some of the delay in releasing numbers.
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Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@RadioFreeTom The only thing I remember from a convocation speech a description of training as a conditioned response to familiar circumstances. In contrast the goal of education is to create a logical response to unfamiliar circumstances.
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Tom Nichols
Tom Nichols@RadioFreeTom·
You won't learn how to take hills. But you will learn how to formulate plans and help create strategies with civilians in the federal government - even with Hill staffers like I once was. Hegseth just hates the whole idea because it intimidates him as the terminal O-4 he is. /3
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Tom Nichols
Tom Nichols@RadioFreeTom·
The responses to this post remind me of the guy who said to one of my colleagues that his lecture on Athens was one of the best he'd ever heard, but it "didn't teach him squat about how to take that hill." That's not what senior war colleges do. That's training. /1
Tom Nichols@RadioFreeTom

I hope the first thing this task force does is inform Pete Hegseth about what happens in the war colleges he's never attended - or apparently, even visited - because all this stuff isn't it. He has no idea what he's talking about here, but that's no surprise.

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Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@NoahGairn I wish them luck, but the US CCA program is about US$9B, and Ghost Bat is AUD$2.4B. Those programs also build upon existing company technology.
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Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@lauriewired Countermeasures are an area human brains just aren’t speedy enough for. Closing speeds can reach > 1 km/s, while a human has to ID the missile, determine the correct tactic, and perform it. All that in 10-20 seconds.
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LaurieWired
LaurieWired@lauriewired·
Ignoring other countermeasures, research consistently shows the optimal evasion is a two part “bang-bang” structure. A long, sustained G barrel roll to deplete missile energy, followed by a last-second maximum effort reversal. Optimal timing is…milliseconds.
LaurieWired tweet mediaLaurieWired tweet media
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LaurieWired
LaurieWired@lauriewired·
I’ve always wondered; could a software algorithm (ML or otherwise) evade an incoming missile better than a human pilot? Perhaps even at the expense of a blackout. *You* might be able to only handle 9G…but what if the airframe can take 12? …it (sorta) exists.
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Kyle retweetledi
Giorgi Revishvili
Giorgi Revishvili@revishvilig·
Very interesting points by General Oleksandr Pivnenko, Commander of Ukraine’s National Guard: All wars eventually come to an end. And this war will end as well — but it will end through a political decision. 1/ 8
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Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@CDNPolicyHawk @NoahGairn One of the major reasons AUKUS exists is the French did a terrible job managing the relationship. The French President was quoted bragging about all the jobs to be created in France. Meanwhile Naval Group kept backing away from industrial commitments, while costs exploded.
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Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@NoahGairn Those are the LAV6s getting donated?!!! I’m genuinely curious WTF happened to that seemingly straightforward project to end up like this.
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NOAH
NOAH@NoahGairn·
Funny that right after the 66 LRSS get banished to the fuckin' shadow realm that 66 LAV get donated to Ukraine.
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Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@NoahGairn I know versions have been floating around industry for a bit. So I’m surprised a copy didn’t make it to the hands of reporters earlier.
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NOAH
NOAH@NoahGairn·
Homies out here revealing like half the strategy and now I dont know if they just forgot to tell me they lifted the embargo because I got like 6000 words on this shit ready to go.
GIF
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Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@NormOrnstein Dennis Hastert spent 15 months in jail for his hush money conspiracy to cover up molesting children. So the bar for worst speaker is pretty high.
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Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@NoahGairn We’re almost there now. For DDG/FFG they only have 6 x 45s and 7 x 23s. I’m curious about the $$$, but I’d guess their carriers and SSNs eat a disproportionate amount of the RN’s budget, leaving an anemic surface fleet.
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Kyle
Kyle@rfdctr·
@pbontoast1 I’m biased from my time at MDA, but the radar on the CP-140 is far more capable than the P-8’s. It’s literally a step back a generation from an AESA to mechanically scanned.
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Tinnitis Emeritus
Tinnitis Emeritus@pbontoast1·
Timeline cleanse It's of course a CP140 Aurora. We took it to the Arctic for cold weather testing of AIMP Block 1. This pic is in Yellowknife. The fleet will be retired after most aircraft reached Block 4 of the modernization But what's special about this particular aircraft?
Tinnitis Emeritus tweet media
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