Roar
2.5K posts


HOLD ON … DO NOT LET ME HEAT UP

Thon Misser@ThonMisser
CHANGING MY KALSHI NAME TO GET MY MOJO BACK
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@Domahhhh @roundrobin42 You can literally apply the same argument here to draftkings
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I did, Isaac. I talked about how users have more control on how they choose to interact with the platform.
If you want to argue that: "X% of prediction market users are really just stupid gamblers using a PM instead of a sportsbook." My answer would be: okay. I'm sure it's a pretty significant percentage.
But these people are making the CHOICE to be a "stupid" gambler on a prediction market, for whatever reason. Maybe they don't have the time to save $1.50 by being a maker, and the game is about to start. Or they're too lazy to research the platform. Whatever it is, their action is purposeful.
On Draftkings, you're not allowed to be anything BUT stupid. One is a sandbox, and the other is a a hamster wheel.
Do you not understand the fundamental difference here....?
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I've noticed sports bettors are a bit obsessed with classifying PMs as gambling, or at least in the same breath as casinos. It's stupid.
A tweet yday on Kalshi (but applies to Poly, BF, etc.) made this point & it drove me nuts. Responding in 2nd tweet.
howgamblingworks.substack.com/p/kalshis-favo…
Isaac@roundrobin42
Wrote about how prediction markets depend on user losses, and why Kalshi’s claim that their incentives are fundamentally different from casinos is a lie
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BREAKING: All charges against myself, my partners, and the Lodge have been officially rejected.
The seized money and equipment will be returned and we will reopen as quickly as possible, hopefully within a few weeks.
The Grand Jury in Williamson county heard the allegations against us, and refused to authorize proposed charges.
Justice has prevailed.
The damage to our staff and members has been tremendous, and it is now time to rebuild.
We will be putting together a kickoff event in the near future.
In the words of a great man: “you gotta know when to hold'em”

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Whoever guesses my courtesy car number first gets tickets to the @Cadillac championship or if you can’t come this one, the closest tournament to you

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@EV_Dingers Would rec just giving that acc to someone that knows what they are doing
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@FilayTeamJ @MrWokajxx basically down all time besides this week is fucking hilarious 🤣🤣
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People telling me I lost 80u in a month 😂😂 I’ll post my recap at the conclusion of the season like I always do
I’m done responding to anything. Im up 90u this season, yes off of 3 humans (Kennard, Wiggins/bridges)
Idk why I’m going back and forth with an account that has never posted a betslip with a wager before
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@repdinatitus ON BEHALF OF EVERYONE WE DO NOT CARE GET THE GAMBLING BILL U WORKED ON ALL YEAR PASSED
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Happy 4/20! As Co-Chair of the Congressional Cannabis Caucus, I am proud to introduce my Higher Education Marijuana Research Act to eliminate barriers to academic research on cannabis.
It makes no sense for the federal government to impede this research when millions of Americans can legally use marijuana recreationally or for medical purposes.
@NORML @NCIAorg @DrugPolicyOrg @UNLV #UNLVCannabisPolicyInstitute
Dina Titus@repdinatitus
It’s time to puff, puff pass the bill! Happy #420.
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To be fair I had other revenues at the time, including exchange $. But overall a 6 month stretch I was personally breakeven, with a peak of down ~35% of my bankroll at the time.
It was obviously stressful but this was part of the reason I kept a job so long despite earning so much more on sports. I could tell myself if I went bust, my life was just being a SWE which is pretty good.
I also believed that making money at this scale was likely a few years window until the rec books tighten up. And I would rather go for it and live with no regrets knowing I didn’t squander a once in a lifetime opportunity to achieve generational wealth, then quit and keep what I had built up and “play it safe”.
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Decided to make a substack to get some random thoughts out. Probably my only post:
flupnolide.substack.com/p/scaling-a-be…
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@peanut_bettor What happens when they have a massive fight an hour before a game?
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@UnderdogNBA Probably because his teammates and coaches are incompetent
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@seanperrywins @JeffreyBenson12 Mr. Perry, please please please let me take your action on Rory to win. +100?
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$1,000,000 riding on RORY
No one can handle the pipe I’m laying down!!
Just ask BENSIE BOYYY @JeffreyBenson12
I have him in 🦗🦗🦗🦗 mode
He refused to write me anything more than $20K no matter the price as he couldn’t bare anymore punishment. I really did give it to circa this year and they don’t want nooo more of it.
Once again whenever you guys are ready to open up shop. Lmk I’m there.
I’m ready to come show up with millions to fire, but you already know this. I’ve tried to make this happen so many times but unfortunately when you’re a profitable better, they don’t want your action.
However, they can stop me from betting
But they can’t stop me from helping you guys beat them.


Sean Perry@seanperrywins
I now got $1,000,000 on Rory winning back to back GREEN JACKETS Your boy really does know how to lay down that pipe
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