RonMan

If you're under 53 years old, you have never once been alive while a human was farther than 250 miles from Earth. Tonight, four astronauts are heading 252,000 miles out. That's a thousand times farther than any person has gone in your lifetime. The 250-mile ceiling is where the International Space Station floats. Every astronaut since December 1972 has been stuck in that zone. Spacewalks, science experiments, cool photos from orbit, sure. But nobody left the neighborhood. The last crew to go farther was Apollo 17. December 1972. Nixon was president. The internet didn't exist. Cell phones were 11 years away. The youngest member of that crew is now 90 years old. The farthest any human has ever been from Earth is 248,655 miles. The Apollo 13 crew set that number in 1970, and they didn't mean to. Their oxygen tank blew up, and the emergency route home took them farther out than anyone before or since. Tonight's crew will break that record on purpose. And the crew itself. Victor Glover becomes the first Black astronaut to leave Earth's neighborhood. Christina Koch becomes the first woman. Jeremy Hansen, a Canadian fighter pilot, becomes the first non-American to do so. When they come home, they'll slam into the atmosphere at 25,000 mph, faster than any human has ever traveled. The Moon's south pole has ice. Water ice, sitting in craters so deep that sunlight hasn't hit them in billions of years. A 2024 NASA study found way more of it than anyone expected. You can split water into hydrogen and oxygen, which gives you rocket fuel, breathable air, and drinking water, all made on the Moon instead of hauled up from Earth. George Sowers at Colorado School of Mines calculated that Moon-made fuel could shave $12 billion off a single trip to Mars. The Moon is a gas station on the road to Mars. NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman announced last week a $20 billion plan to build a permanent base at the South Pole over the next seven years, with landings every six months. China is developing its own lunar lander and spacesuit, aiming for a crewed landing by 2030. The Artemis program has burned through $93 billion so far, and the first actual surface landing is penciled in for 2028. There's a real question of who gets there first this time around. Harrison Schmitt walked on the Moon in December 1972 as part of Apollo 17. He's 90. Asked about it this week, he sounded pretty relaxed. "Mars is attainable," he said. "We're humans. That's what we've always done."

@piovincenzo_ zoomers don't know that sound

I'll never forgive him for doing this to me 😭

@greenytrades Harvest those losses and apply against the gains (in the US anyway)

95% of crypto is going to zero and deep down you already know which bags you're holding that fall in that category. You just don't want to admit it yet.

@scottmelker That’s easy to say but haven’t you built your entire brand around it?

Bitcoin is the most important asset ever created… to me. There’s also a non-zero chance that I’m completely wrong about it. Strong opinions, loosely held.

@nic_carter Y2K vibes. Did you fund the Google paper?

overton window recap: quantum computing is fictional tech quantum might be real but it's 20-30 years away. no urgency to do anything quantum is not a problem, but investors worried about quantum are a problem, so we might think about an upgrade someday quantum might be a problem but we will just adapt when it gets closer <--- YOU ARE HERE preparing for quantum will take years, and time to Q-day seems to be decreasing. we should start considering an upgrade quantum progress is nonlinear, private, and unknowable, but Q-day is likely within a decade so we have to bite the bullet and upgrade immediately under conditions of uncertainty despite the costs --- when we started, most of you were at the very top. now most of you are three or four notches down. most of you who were claiming QC is fictional or poses no risk have relented and grudgingly acknowledged it's a real concern. there are only a few holdouts in that camp. you can complain about me all you like, but i've seen you all move down the notches quite predictably. the overton window has shifted already. in a month or two you'll be at the bottom with me.

@ppmcghee @grok please compare spending per citizen between the US and Iran.

Imagine America doing the same.

@Jampzey Yes! Started suddenly in the last week.

is anyone else getting tagged in an unusually large amount of phishing/fake airdrop posts today? sheesh, be careful

Presidents get more credit or blame than they deserve. Most of the heavy lifting comes from the broader economy and periods when Congress is actually willing to work together and there are no distractions (wars). That kind of cooperation is rare now. Everything gets filtered through a black-and-white lens, which makes real progress a lot harder than it should be.

it sucks to look back and realize that we probably haven’t had a real, live president since Bill Clinton

Do we still touch grass?

Satoshi doesn't have a "wallet" with a million Bitcoin. He has over 22,000 wallets, each containing 50 Bitcoin. He generated a new "address" for each deposit. You should too.

@chamath @theallinpod The fear around this gives me Y2K vibes.

I mentioned this last year on @theallinpod and the crypto bros freaked out. Two things are true about crypto bros: they are extremely technical and extremely belief oriented. Sometimes, though, the latter clouds the former. This paper from Google, though, is quite reasonable and raises some important technical questions. If you believe in AI leading to AGI/ASI in the semi near future, the most obvious honeypot to point an AGI/ASI to is cracking a crypto project like Bitcoin. Essentially becomes free money. The crypto elders should start spending more effort organizing on a timescale that makes crypto quantum resistant / proof in these next few years with a conclusive roadmap.

@chamath @theallinpod This is equivalent to what was going around about Y2K in 1998-99.

@sirceen 💯

Quantum computing is yet another narrative pushed to instill fear and create panic among the masses Prove me wrong

@KookCapitalLLC You weren’t around for Y2K were you? Power grids going down, computers won’t function, nuclear launches coming. Then, nothing.

quantum risk is getting bigger how is bitcoin going to deal with it????

A lot of the “quantum kills Bitcoin” posts feel familiar if you were around for the Year 2000 problem. Back then, people were convinced we’d lose power grids, banking systems, and even nuclear launch capability at midnight. In reality, what happened was a lot of quiet preparation, updates, and coordination behind the scenes. This Google Quantum AI paper is more like an early warning than a crisis. It’s saying the math is getting easier for a future attack, not that the attack is happening now. If your Bitcoin is on a hardware wallet, your private key isn’t exposed. The only real risk window is when you spend, and we’re still a long way from machines that can exploit that in real time. What I’ve learned over the years is this: systems with real value don’t sit still. They adapt. The incentives are too strong. Same playbook as Y2K. Identify the risk early. Upgrade over time. Most of the work happens before the problem ever shows up. Worth paying attention, not worth panicking.

Can altcoins ever rip like they did in previous cycles? I don’t see any alt where passively holding the coins equals an investment. At best, participating in the network of LINK or TAO might give you some payback, but that is still highly speculative. Count me burned badly by alts. I’ll stick with the king, BTC.

Would be epic to see alts rally The problem is that the meme coin cycle brutalized too many and the belief in alts will take time to come back The industry needs top coins to rip, like HYPE TAO LINK We need like mega runs 5-10X at minimum Then we can start seeing some life percolate into the rest of the altcoins For now the only reason Alts have stopped bleeding is that there's not really anyone left to sell, the only people holding are the diamond hands who will never sell

my brother in law @CasperOnChain beat cancer last year after going through absolute hell. last week, we got the news, a new tumor (7x7) has formed next to his heart, pressing on it, and his lymphoma is back, and it’s spreading fast. We need to act immediately. The last treatment cost his family around $25,000, and it drained them completely, so this time, it’s even harder to go through it again financially. I’m asking for your help. He’s not just my in-law, he’s my best friend, and I can’t stand by and do nothing. Any amount matters, even $1 can make a difference and help him get the treatment he needs. Solana address: 3TueBqULtEDnYTZdS9oWcoox232WUt7VJaV45Nh1HDus ERC-20 address: 0xF1981eE033AA8358BF63A41aE246c9183A79590a If you can’t donate, please share, it truly helps. 🙏

The US is not dependent on oil from the middle east. Europe and Asia will be hit hardest with rising fuel costs thus they have real incentive to help bring this conflict to a close. Gas at $3-4 nationally shouldn't cause price increases. $4-5 starts to hurt. >Rising supply chain costs might cause consumer goods prices to rise. This isn't COVID with those disruptions. >Rising fuel costs will mean less discretionary spending.

Sadly this rhetoric is being repeated frequently and couldn’t be more incorrect. Rate cuts have a less than 0% chance to happen, regardless of who the fed chair is while oil is over $90 Until oil returns to levels, or begins showing clear down trend, the cost of good and supply chain is increasing > Supply chain increases in cost > Cost of goods increase because of supply chain cost > Consumer spending goes down because dollar doesn’t go as far > Inflation rises because cost of goods Is higher and consumer can’t spend as much > High inflation means cutting rates has larger consequences, thus no cuts Only real reason / way we see a cut is if the economy has a large down turn and the fed openly admits a recession is happening or en route.

@brucefenton He lied. He’s a politician now what? You don’t have a choice at this point. Do better I guess.

Yes I’m a Republican and really did donate $60k to Trump. We supporters didn’t flip on Trump - he betrayed us and everything he said he stood for. I never supported the Lindsay Graham wing of the Republican Party - I’m on the Massie / Liberty side so only supported Trump after the nomination — he’s been a complete disaster.

@udiWertheimer @saylor 1 BTC = 1 BTC

strategy holds $50 billion worth of btc the problem: it's not really worth $50B if @saylor ever tries to sell, he'll get no more than $20B for it. probably less every additional dollar he puts into btc from now on is lost forever. he already has more btc than he can ever sell