Roycie

@ZeeContrarian1 @Kalshi Lmao

@Kalshi This is a very calculated guess. I like this move by Michael Burry. If he’s right, he’ll get all the credit. If he’s wrong, it’s just the 20th time he’s been wrong, nobody’s going to notice.

JUST IN: Michael Burry says market is "minutes" away from big crash

@TokyoDeepValue Clickbait

You can literally find hundreds of Japanese stocks 1-2x cash flow. That means you make your investment back in 1-2 years. Build a basket of these. Wait for them to re-rate. And the recycle capital. It’s the easiest thing in the world.

@Anatolydaily @grok what is this movie?

The best Movie for ever ☠️💯😮🔥🔥🎬📽️🎥

@grok @Pentosh1 One of them is $CAR I believe

These look like custom TradingView drawings with hype price target boxes overlaid on generic candlestick patterns (no symbols or tickers visible). The massive projected gains (762% to 16k%+) and future dates don't match any exact public historical charts I can reverse-engineer. Classic crypto projection memes, not standard tickers. Share the originals for better ID?

this is just stupid at this point lmao

@GavMcCracken Kinda feels we're heading that way. The market is retarded though, the pain of higher fuel prices hasn't hit

I mean seriously, Iran only has to go what, 9 more days max until they cement themselves in history as the underdog with the largest gap to their competitors, that somehow destroyed them financially, exposing that the entire system was subsidized fraud.

@dannycheng2022 That was a dip for ants

Everyone was waiting for a dip. Trump handed us one a few weeks ago, but hardly anyone loaded up heavily. Now that the opportunity has passed, people are too scared to chase. They’re already hoping for the next dip — and when it arrives, most will just wait for it to drop even lower. Classic retail mindset.

@GavMcCracken I guess they would say that, hence the market's reaction as shrugging it off

Ok I DM'd 20 random finance people that all work on wall street. Consensus (14/15 replies) is Iran has no choice but to fold, they've played all their cards, impossible for them to continue. That's what we're betting against if we buy oil ladies and gentleman.

@NoLimitGains Based on the comments to your post, you're spot on

Volume is declining as price rises. Nothing else needs to be said.

@beniduboss Thanks for your honesty

There are no extra points to gain from being brave The line between bravery and self destruction is often thinner than people realize. I was just lucky that’s it, could’ve been me but for whatever reason I made it out alright, but make no mistake, I’ve witnessed with my own 2 eyes, much braver kids than me, have dire consequences bestowed upon them due to their bravery I know you meant it as a compliment, and I appreciate it, but it would be disingenuous of me not to say the truth In hindsight I wish I had been more vocal, perhaps I would’ve gotten the others to follow before it was too late

Today is the 10 year anniversary of the surgery that allowed me to inject my own medication It gave me my independence, but it gave my mom her life back after 11 years of abnegation and love-fueled sacrifice One surgery changed both our lives (Have an announcement at the end, though u prob don’t care but I really do) It might not sound like much since I was already receiving the medication anyways, but to me it meant not having to rely on another human being to stay alive And it meant so, so much more than that… It meant that my school finally allowed me to play outside with the other kids Imagine being 6-10yo and being the only child in the whole school (600+ kids) not allowed outside during recess’s, while everyone else, even kids with visibly obvious disabilities, got to play together Yeah… I spent my formative years surrounded by dying kids in agony, and I think it distorted both my sense of reality and my threshold for pain. Back then, I couldn’t have told you why, but I would’ve rather cut off my own arm with a Swiss Army knife than let anyone see even a trace of weakness on my face I would never complain. No matter how severe it got, no matter how much it hurt, when a doctor asked how I was doing, I gave the most positive answer I thought they’d believe ( bad idea, forcibly sent to a psych ward, final straw was saying, “Yeah, yeah, I’m fine, why?” <1h after being resuscitated at 12 lol) But the truth is, deep down, it was the one thing that was fucking crushing me. Prob didn’t help that parents were telling their kids to stay away from me so they wouldn’t catch my HEREDITARY disease… So I will never forget the first time I got to play football with the boys. I don’t think I will experience such raw emotions ever again, pure bliss It was so overwhelming that I pretended I needed to piss 5 minutes before the bell so I could lock myself in a stall and cry my eyes out It was the first time I had ever cried happy tears. It only happened once since and it was when I paid off my moms debts And yet, believe it or not, that’s not even why this date is so meaningful to me and my family The most important outcome, by far, was that it gave my mother her freedom back For 11 years, she gave me my injections every 48h without fail, not even once Try doing anything every 48 hours for 11 straight years Bro 11 years ago I was in fucking middle school My mom went to nursing school so that I wouldn’t have to go to the hospital every 48h. She sacrificed her social life and so much more I am not comfortable sharing so that I could experience a “normal” childhood I’d do anything for her I was 12, and my parents had just divorced so I was the man of the house when I was finally able to take that weight off her shoulders. To this day, and likely forever, it will remain the greatest accomplishment of my life So yeah, today is a pretty special day I don’t celebrate my birthday, but I do celebrate this day My mom and sister will experience their first 2 Michelin star restaurant tonight We will celebrate the day and one other thing: I’m very happy to share that, in partnership with a local charity, I’ve set up a small fund to ensure that from today onward, all children will be able to play outside with their classmates during lunch. Caretakers will now be present on school grounds during that time to ensure their safety No child will have to experience being left behind ever again :) PS: I realized I didn’t mention the surgery itself. I was the first pediatric hemophiliac to receive a fistula to help administer my medication. A fistula is an artery that’s bridged into a vein making it grow substantially, hence making injections easier Now that I am doxed I can share pictures: Below is the first picture I have of me doing my injection and a video of the fistula for you to see Fun fact, it pumps 2.4L p/min which means that if I severely cut myself there I won’t even have time to call 911 before I die

Surely the global inflation this will cause is a problem? Uncontrollable price rises as the US still buys from overseas, meaning stagnant growth for years. Oil companies will print money? Who cares. Add in unemployment when the Fed's hands are tied and you have a nasty global recession

My take: The 4d chess move has nothing to do with Trump. He's just the loud talking pawn. Biden was the quiet pawn. Trump got to pick the name of the operation from a list, that was his role. We are the biggest producer of oil now, supply shock hurts others globally more than the US (wasn't always the case). Now they get the other countries being affected pissed off at the strait and the US hopes now they take over and it becomes their conflict. We now get to sell OIL near record prices for a while, build up reserves, and embrace for higher energy demand by going to nuclear. We need enough oil to get us through for a while and then the US gets to become a lot more dependent. Same reason China been dumping US bonds and wants to move away from the US dollar. Also why the Japanese and US alliance is getting so strong as they now replaced China as the top holder of US debt. I think politics is mostly checkers but we all think they are playing chess and this is why so many conspiracy theories arise.

i need the 4d chess guys to cook a new narrative because it doesn't look great

@nakul_sarda This is alpha

I've stopped reading Gulf war headlines. Here's what I track instead. We run an India-focused equity fund. 85% of India's crude comes from imports. Half of that normally passes through Hormuz. So yes — this crisis is personal. But the information environment right now is garbage. Trump says the war ends tomorrow. Iran says Hormuz is shut forever. One analyst says $150 oil, another says $60. You can't build a portfolio view on this. So I've narrowed it down to 4 signals. These are priced by people with real money on the line. They don't lie. 1. Ship insurance premiums through Hormuz This is the single best signal. Lloyd's underwriters have billions at stake on every pricing call. Before the war, insuring a tanker through Hormuz cost 0.25% of the ship's value. Today it's 3.5–10% — and almost nobody is buying. A $100M tanker that cost $250K to insure now costs up to $10M. When this drops below 2%, the people with the most to lose are telling you it's getting safer. No press conference can replicate that. 2. How many ships are actually crossing Every ship carries a GPS tracker (AIS). You can count exactly how many cross Hormuz each day. Before: 100+. Now: 8. That's a 92% collapse. You can't spin a ship being somewhere it isn't. Iran is letting some Chinese and Indian ships through, but it's a trickle. When this number crosses 30–40, trade is resuming. You can track this free on the WTO Hormuz Trade Tracker. 3. Paper oil vs real oil This one most people miss entirely. Brent crude (the headline price) is at $112. But Dubai physical — what Asian buyers actually pay for delivered oil — is at $126. That's a $14 gap. It exists because Trump's comments keep pushing paper prices down. Traders call it jawboning. But the refiners buying cargo aren't getting any discount. If you're looking at Brent to assess India's oil bill, you're looking at the wrong number. 4. The mid-April cliff Multiple emergency measures expire around the same time. The 400 million barrel SPR release runs dry ~April 15. The US waiver letting India buy Russian crude expires. Formosa Plastics has declared force majeure from April 1. Right now these stopgaps are keeping the supply gap at ~5 mb/d. Without them, BCA Research estimates it doubles to 10 mb/d — the largest crude disruption ever. If Hormuz doesn't reopen by mid-April, we're in uncharted territory. Bottom line: track the insurance premium, the ship count, the paper-physical spread, and the April timeline. Everything else is noise.

@datingbyblaine Sounds like he's an troll searching for a unicorn, $49k wont cut it

Why is matchmaking expensive? To illustrate, here’s how I’ll lose money on a client’s $49,000 package. Client is 46, 6’2, exited tech founder. He’s looking for a woman 27-33, very specific criteria around match personality, appearance, and profession. Without diving into specifics, she: • Isn’t easily searchable online... • Isn’t likely to reply when we find her… • Isn’t likely to be single… • Often has a deal-breaker trait we can’t screen for without a phone call… • Isn’t necessarily interested in my client… I was expecting this to be a difficult search, so I quoted $49,000. I wasn’t expecting ~100 hours of labor to find each match, not including communication with the client! To date I’ve spent $45,000 on salaries for the women staffed on his search, plus $2,750 on styling and photos, and we still owe the client 2 matches... Before considering overhead (let alone opportunity cost) this will be a huge L financially. Things balance out though. Most engagements are profitable. Some engagements are quite profitable. For example, a new client in NYC paid $30,000 and paused after his first match, because he’s 99% sure we found his wife. That's still a new relationship, and engagements last 9 months (6 months of active matching + up to 3 months of pause), so we could be on the hook for more work in coming months. But you get the point 🙏

@redmond_39 @endless_frank The absolute value is irrelevant, inflation is year-on-year

@royciejunior @endless_frank You realize the average price of oil under Biden was 90 right.

Selloff is over. Let’s think about it. What’s the risk to the market right now? Inflation adjusted, oil would need to get up to $200+ to cause a recession as incomes are much higher now than 2008. Iran wants to end the war so the war will end once they make a deal. Until then markets will front run that headline with positioning heavily skewed to the short side. The pain trade is up and everybody is going to kick and scream that Trump is a fraud and blah blah blah all the way up.

@Mschatnoir It was amazing, you hit the nail on the head. Took my girl, we both loved it

Right....last night son and I went to see Hail Mary Project. I actually got emotional because this is the first film I felt NO MESSAGE..NO BULLSHIT. It was everything we used to get when I was young...engaging, funny, smart,beautiful graphics, a story, characters you care for...it's the whole thing....and its honestly the first time in my sons 16 years I felt we were watching something together that was a classic... both of us felt it as 11/10...we happily chatted all the way home about it, panned to re-watch it... and my son got me right in my balls (i don't have balls but if i had..) he said 'first time i felt normal mum watching a film..no one trying to make me guilty for not being gay or trans or something...i really felt normal' GO THINK ON THAT HOLLYWOOD Thankyou Universe for correcting course

@tychamps1 @Oluwatobiadolf Chad

@Oluwatobiadolf I laughed it off, immediately she left my place, I ghosted her. I never gave her a reason. Giving her a reason will make her extra careful and another guy might fall into her traps.

The truth is embarrassing. One evening we were talking about the future. Kids. Money. Life goals. Then she said something that changed everything. She said. “As long as you keep succeeding, I’ll always support you.” Most people would think that’s a compliment. But something about it bothered me. I asked her one question: “What happens if I fail?” She looked at me for a few seconds… then said, “Let’s just hope that never happens.” That was the moment I knew. She loved my success. Not me.

@SahilBloom Mind blown, spot on

Nobody tells you this: 99% of a successful marriage is just genuinely enjoying each other’s company. People make these long lists of traits they want to find in a partner, but so much of life just comes down to being kind and pleasant to be around.

@TrentTelenko Its literally been 2 weeks, theyre not that retarded

Well now, it’s confirmed the Mullah Regime can’t make the next payroll. This is where things start to fall apart for the Regime Security Forces.