@roygrubb.bsky.social

I'm 99% on bsky now, and am unfollowing people on here who I'm already following on bsky.

Go on Farage : show us the “receipts” for your security

Latest data on small boat arrivals from Home Office as of 1 May, 2026 1 January 2026 to 30 April 2026 = 6,416 people That’s 42% down on same period in 2025 gov.uk/government/pub…

- Two-thirds of Reform's money is wired from Thailand - Ben Delo, pardoned by Trump for breaking money-laundering rules, has given £4m. - Farage's secret £5m bung A new model of politics is meeting an old model of transparency. With dangerous results: times-comment.com/farage123

@docrussjackson GB News is going to try to pretend that DCI Pete Kirkham was just an occasional guest, now he faces charges for making indecent images of children and grooming then sexually abusing young men. But GB News had him on every single fucking show.

After the Brexit referendum, Farage declared himself “skint,” saying “there’s no money in politics”. Now he has so much that he can gamble £215k in a speculative Kwasi Kwarteng startup. My column on how the crypto kings changed everything:- thetimes.com/article/4b0792…

@dimsumdaily_hk By definition, right?

Cuba condemns new U.S. sanctions as ‘coercive’ dimsumdaily.hk/cuba-condemns-…

@dccommonsense 😂😢

I tried showing this to my wife as supporting evidence in my (long running) defense of my book "issues". She ruled it inadmissible. 😡

@dccommonsense But if you’re Jesus, you don’t have to stick to your oaths. /s

Bear in mind....this guy took an oath to uphold, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States.

🚨 Major FT investigation out today: *Reform UK ran a council for a year. Things went badly * After winning Staffordshire County Council in May 2025 (49/62 seats), the reality has been chaotic. 🤯 Leadership meltdowns, racism scandals, soaring complaints & a tax rise instead of cuts. Think 🤔 before you vote before you drive Reform UK to run your council.

“We don’t want our British politics, to be funded by foreign Bitcoin billionaires” Well said @libdemdaisy #bbcqt

I want to stress British Jews are super concentrated in NW London. there are only 250k of us. Roughly around 100k of us live in this area and surrounding areas. It’s like a small town that’s now under sustained attack. This is the heart of the community and every connected Jew across the country will ties, friends, family here. It’s not felt like disjointed and episodic attacks but like small town the size of Worcester is under attack by an IRGC-cut out.

Dear Kemi Badenoch As you're currently having severe selective bouts of amnesia, I'll just leave this here. £10.9 billion covid fraud. That's an awful lot of money owed to the taxpayers coffers. #PMQs #PoliticsLive

As a new Member of Parliament, Nigel Farage was obliged to report to the House of Commons all political donations and gifts he had received during the previous 12 months. He did not. The Conservatives are therefore today referring Nigel Farage to the Parliamentary Standards Commissioner.

@GlennMeder Agree entirely but a shorter thread without the repetition would be more effective for those who are not already aware. IMO, of course.

12/ Online age verification is the hill to die on. This is the fight. This is the moment. This is the infrastructure that cannot be allowed to go live. If you love freedom, stop this. If you love your family, stop this. If you want your children to grow up free, stop this. This thread needs to reach every parent, every freedom advocate, every person who understands what is being built. Share it. Repost it. Send it everywhere. Follow me. Every day I expose where these bills are moving, what they actually do, and why this fight cannot be lost. The window is still open. The fight is still winnable. But only if enough people stand up now — while there is still time. This is the hill. Do not surrender it. Preserve Liberty by Preserving Privacy.

🧵 THREAD 1/ Online age verification is the hill to die on. Not a fight you can sit out. Not a battle you can skip. Not a policy you can afford to ignore while you focus on something else. This is it. This is the line. This is the infrastructure that enables every other piece of the digital control grid. If we lose this fight, we lose everything.

THE JOURNALIST WHO BROKE CAMBRIDGE ANALYTICA WAS THANKED WITH A £1 MILLION LEGAL BILL Carole Cadwalladr @carolecadwalla exposed one of the biggest political scandals in modern British history. Cambridge Analytica. Brexit dark money. Possible Russian influence in UK democracy. The kind of journalism that wins Pulitzer nominations and keeps people in power very nervous. So what happened next? Arron Banks the man who made the biggest single political donation in UK history at around £9 million to Brexit campaigns, sued her personally. Not The Observer, which published her work for years. Not TED, which hosted her talk. Her. Individually. A freelance journalist. The suit was over one sentence in a 2019 TED Talk and a single tweet, in which she said Banks had lied about a secret relationship with the Russian government. Banks denied it. He had, however, admitted meeting Russian embassy officials multiple times more than he originally told a Parliamentary committee. The Guardian, her own publisher, declined to fund her defence. She crowdfunded her legal costs from 29,000 members of the public. She faced potential costs of up to £1 million. She eventually won on the main issues in the High Court in 2022, but lost on appeal on one narrow point. She was ordered to pay Banks £35,000 in damages, issue an apology, and delete certain tweets. She was also hit with a costs order of over £1 million. The woman who exposed how democracy gets bought had to beg the public for money to stay solvent while doing it. Seventeen press freedom organisations called the case an attempt to intimidate and silence public interest journalism. The UK government eventually introduced anti-SLAPP legislation. Partly because of what happened to her. In the UK, you can crowdfund a journalist's survival costs after she exposes the possible corruption of a referendum. Or you can fund the laws that protect journalists before they get financially destroyed. We chose the first option. Sources: The Guardian/Observer/Press Gazette and others.

In any normal country, purchasing stolen goods is an act that entails legal liability. This applies, in particular, to grain stolen by Russia. Another vessel carrying such grain has arrived at a port in Israel and is preparing to unload. This is not – and cannot be – legitimate business. The Israeli authorities cannot be unaware of which ships are arriving at the country’s ports and what cargo they are carrying. Russia is systematically seizing grain on temporarily occupied Ukrainian land and organizing its export through individuals linked to the occupiers. Such schemes violate the laws of the State of Israel itself. Ukraine has taken all necessary steps through diplomatic channels to prevent such incidents. However, we see that yet another such vessel has not been stopped. I have instructed the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine to inform all partners of our state about the situation. Based on information from our intelligence services, Ukraine is preparing a relevant sanctions package that will cover both those directly transporting this grain and the individuals and legal entities attempting to profit from this criminal scheme. We will also coordinate with European partners to ensure that the relevant individuals are included in European sanctions regimes. Ukraine counts on partnership and mutual respect with every state. We are genuinely working to enhance security, particularly in the Middle East region. We expect that the Israeli authorities will respect Ukraine and refrain from actions that undermine our bilateral relations.

Relatively little attention outside Israel given to the expose by the liberal Israeli newspaper Haaretz that another ship carrying grain stolen by Russia from occupied Ukraine arrived in Israel last Sunday. The EU is considering sanctioning the people involved.

I have three monitors on my desk. The left one shows the order book. The middle one shows Truth Social. The right one shows the investigation queue. On April 21st, the left screen moved first. I am a Senior Surveillance Analyst at a commodities exchange. I have held this position for nineteen years. My job is to monitor trading activity for suspicious patterns and generate compliance reports. I am employee of the quarter. I have a mug. At 19:54 GMT on April 21st, someone placed 4,260 sell orders on Brent crude futures. They did this during post-settlement. The window after the market closes when daily volume is typically in the dozens. Sometimes single digits. Sometimes I watch the screen and nothing happens for forty minutes and I think about whether my daughter is happy. On April 21st, someone placed $430 million in directional bets in 120 seconds during that window. One hundred and twenty seconds. I timed it on my watch because the system clock rounds to the nearest minute and I have found, in nineteen years, that precision matters to no one but me. At 20:10 GMT, the President posted on Truth Social that he was extending the Iran ceasefire. Brent dropped from $100.91 to $96.83. I flagged the trade. I flag a lot of trades. I want to tell you what happens to my flags. My flags go into a system called TRACE. Trade Review and Compliance Evaluation. I did not name it. The system generates a report. The report goes to a committee. The committee has a name I am not allowed to share but I can tell you it meets quarterly and the conference room has a credenza with bottled water that is sparkling because someone once put still water in the room and a managing director sent an email about it that was longer than most of my surveillance reports. The committee reviews my flags. The committee has reviewed all of my flags. Here is the complete record of actions taken on my flags in 2026: Reviewed. That's it. "Reviewed" is a status. In compliance, a status is the absence of an action that has been given a name so it looks like one. Let me show you my flags. March 9th. Someone bet millions on oil falling at 18:29 GMT. Forty-seven minutes later, a CBS reporter posted that the President said the Iran war was "very complete, pretty much." Oil dropped 25%. Forty-seven minutes. I flagged it. March 23rd. Someone sold 5,100 lots of Brent and WTI crude futures between 10:49 and 10:50 GMT. Fourteen minutes later, the President posted on Truth Social about a "COMPLETE AND TOTAL RESOLUTION" to hostilities. Oil dropped 11%. Over 13,000 contracts traded in sixty seconds after the post. Fourteen minutes. I flagged it. April 7th. Someone established a $950 million short position in oil futures at 19:45 GMT. Three hours later, the President declared a two-week ceasefire. Nine hundred and fifty million dollars. I flagged it. April 17th. Someone placed $760 million in bearish bets twenty minutes before Iran's foreign minister confirmed the Strait of Hormuz would reopen. Seven hundred and sixty million. I flagged it. April 21st. The $430 million. Fifteen minutes. I flagged it. That is $2.1 billion in directional oil bets in April alone. Every one of them landed on the correct side of a presidential announcement. Every one of them was placed in a window so narrow you could measure it in bathroom breaks. I flagged every single one. The CFTC chair told a Congressional committee that his organization has "zero tolerance" for fraud and insider trading. I wrote that quote on a Post-it note and stuck it to my right monitor. The one that shows the investigation queue. The investigation queue has not moved since March. Zero tolerance. Zero staff. Zero budget. Zero prosecutions under the STOCK Act since it was signed in 2012. Fourteen years. The law has existed for fourteen years and has been enforced zero times. In compliance, we call that a compliance rate of one hundred percent. No cases filed means no cases lost. You cannot fail an audit you never conduct. We call that excellence. Last month the White House sent an internal email to staff. I was not on the distribution list but I have read reporting on it and I need you to sit with what I am about to say. The email instructed White House staff not to use insider information to place bets on prediction markets. The White House had to send a memo telling its own employees not to insider-trade. I want you to read that sentence again. Not because the instruction was unclear. Because the instruction was necessary. Because someone in the building looked at the same pattern I have been flagging for months on my three monitors and decided the appropriate response was an email. The President's son sits on the advisory board of Kalshi. He is an investor in Polymarket. Both are prediction markets. Both saw accounts created days before U.S. military action. One account. I cannot stop thinking about this account. It was called "Burdensome-Mix." It was created in December. On January 2nd, it placed $32,500 on Venezuela's president being removed from power. On January 3rd, Maduro was seized by U.S. special forces. Burdensome-Mix collected $436,000. Then it changed its username. Then it disappeared. One account is a coincidence. But there were six. Six accounts were created on Polymarket in February. All bet on U.S. strikes on Iran by the 28th. When the President confirmed the strikes, the six accounts collected $1.2 million between them. Five of the six never placed another bet. The sixth went on to correctly predict the ceasefire date and made another $163,000. My surveillance system logged all of this. My system logs everything. My system does not have opinions and neither do I. I generate reports. The reports go to committees. The committees meet quarterly. Between meetings, the windows get shorter and the bets get larger. March 9th: 47 minutes. March 23rd: 14 minutes. April 17th: 20 minutes. April 21st: 15 minutes. The window is compressing. In March, you had time to make coffee between the trade and the announcement. By April, you had time to send a text. By summer, at this rate, the trade and the announcement will be the same event. The spokesman said any implication that administration officials are engaged in insider trading is "baseless and irresponsible reporting." Then the White House sent the email again. I have been in compliance for nineteen years. I have seen insider trading run out of strip mall offices by men who could not spell "derivative." I have seen pump-and-dump schemes coordinated over WhatsApp by people who used their real names. I have seen a man try to manipulate soybean futures from a Panera Bread. I have never seen $2.1 billion in perfectly timed trades across five presidential announcements in a single month go uninvestigated. But I have also never seen a compliance system work this beautifully. Every trade flagged. Every report filed. Every committee briefed. Every quarterly meeting attended. Bottled water: sparkling. Minutes: distributed. Zero prosecutions. As long as the flags go up and the cases don't, my performance review says I am meeting expectations. I am meeting expectations. The system is meeting expectations. The $2.1 billion is meeting expectations. The fourteen-year-old law with zero prosecutions is meeting expectations. The left screen moves. The middle screen moves. The right screen stays perfectly, immaculately still. In my field, we call this price discovery.

I am at a loss to understand why the government has done nothing to reform @ofcom which is not fit for purpose and has allowed Farage UK to have its own TV news channel; nothing to push back on the relentless bias and untruthfulness of most of our press; and nothing to respond to the capture of the BBC political coverage by the Gibb brigade.