Tanya Schevchenko

Kyiv. An absolutely horrific night. 📽 This is what a European capital looks like in the dead of night. Five years and the so-called civilized world is still ignoring russian terror.

@Volod_Ishchenko @Peter_Turchin The model was built before drones started dominating the battlefield. Get out of here with this bs

Two models of attritional warfare between Ukraine and Russia agree about the imminent collapse of the Ukrainian army, reaching the tipping point of irreplenishable losses rather sooner than later. It’s also important that @Peter_Turchin published his models and forecast as early as 2023, so this is not retroactive manipulation of data. In this light, the recent wave of “Russia is finished” commentary may later look less like a reflection of realities in Russian society and politics, and more like an attempt to engineer a “black swan” event to disrupt dynamics set in motion as early as mid‑2022 and now heading toward their looming outcomes

а.

“Why are you bombing us? What have we done to you?” Asks a Russian in the center of Moscow

My only hope now is that one of the fires start emitting white smoke and I get summoned to the Vatican to be the next pope.

⚡️ Budanov: "We are no longer a defenseless target of repression. Our response to the aggressor is the daily elimination of the enemy at the gates of our freedom."

There can be 100 people in a room, and 99 don't believe in you, but all it takes is one

@DodoSocks 4

Першим трьом, хто вгадає місце України у гранд-фіналі - даруємо пару з Лелеками

MORE: ISW is no longer prepared to forecast when Russian forces might seize Donetsk, including the Fortress Belt, since the slowing rate of Russian advances and the challenging nature of the Ukrainian-held terrain in Donetsk makes it unclear that Russia is capable of seizing the territory at all. ⬇️ Russia’s exaggerated territorial ambitions and aggressive territorial demands run completely counter to battlefield reality. Anonymous sources in contact with Putin and additional sources familiar with the matter as well as a Ukrainian intelligence assessment shared with FT indicate that senior Russian commanders have convinced Putin that Russian forces could seize all of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts by Fall 2026. ISW has observed evidence to assess that Russian forces have only advanced 349.89 square kilometers in Donetsk Oblast since the start of 2026, an advance rate of 2.63 square kilometers per day. Strong Ukrainian fortifications, the area’s challenging human and physical geography, and Ukrainian counterattacks and mid-range strike campaign that are already inhibiting Russian offensive operations across the theater make the prospects for a Russian seizure of the rest of Donetsk dim. Russian forces first infiltrated into Kostyantynivka (the Fortress Belt’s southernmost city) in October 2025 and have failed to make any significant tactical gains in the city over the last six months. Ukrainian counterattacks in southern Ukraine since early 2026 have also forced Russia to choose between defending against Ukrainian counterattacks and allocating manpower and resources to priority sectors of the frontline, including the Fortress Belt. Ukraine’s recent successes are accomplishing tactical, operational, and strategic battlespace effects that undermine Putin’s narrative that the Ukrainian frontlines are on the verge of collapse. Two people involved in back-channel negotiations over ending the war told the FT that Putin’s ambitions are still to control all the Ukrainian territory between Russia and the Dnipro River, and possibly farther into Kyiv City and the port of Odesa, despite Russia’s stalling offensive. Putin’s thinking thus appears to be further and further removed from battlefield realities, likely resulting in the issuance of orders to the Russian military to make gains that it is not capable of making.

A lot of Russian women would be proud to hear that their men could last 12 minutes.

> says it doesn’t kidnap children > proposes to exchange them for POWs

Timeless classic 👌

@ChristopherHale The Boys predicted it to the t...

NEW: MAGA evangelical leaders gather in Mar-a-Lago to bless and dedicate a gold statue dedicate to Donald Trump.

Антивоенные россияне в этой социальной сети be like

When Russians feel they’re losing, they like to pretend their war has been governed by the laws of armed conflict up to this point, as if Bucha, Irpin, Borodyanka, Mariupol, mass torture, summary executions, rape, the nightly bombing of civilians, the theft of children — not to mention the very invasion itself — were somehow “gloves on” modes of combat.

@JulianRoepcke What do you mean regardless of whether intentional or Russian electronic jamming? It matters a huge deal. Ukraine has gone out of its way to minimise casualties in the past 4+ years of war. I think it's proven time and time again it won't just randomly strike civilians for fun

Eine ukrainische Antonow An-196-Langstrecken-Kamikazedrohne hat ein Wohnhaus in Tscheboksary getroffen – rund 1.000 Kilometer östlich der Ukraine. ➡️Wie schädlich solche Bilder für die westliche Unterstützung der Ukraine sind – unabhängig davon, ob sie absichtlich erfolgen oder durch russische elektronische Störmaßnahmen verursacht werden –, liegt auf der Hand. ➡️Der Ukraine kann nur geraten werden, alles in ihrer Macht Stehende zu tun, um bei ihren legitimen Angriffen auf militärische und kritische Infrastruktur-Ziele zivile Objekte in Russland nicht zu treffen. Nur so lässt sich das – zutreffende – Bild eines rechtmäßigen Verteidigers gegenüber einem rücksichtslosen Aggressor aufrechterhalten. Möge der Shitstorm beginnen ...

What are these "random 24 year Olds" doing on Ukraine'd land and why are they in uniforms of an invading country?

@agraybee Thing is Dawkins doesn't believe Claude is an omnipotent sky being that will punish him if he is not a good boy. Tell me you don't understand his humour without telling me

Richard Dawkins for 40 years: the silly theists and their self-comforting lies. Richard Dawkins as of 2 days ago: ummm I think I have a crush? 🫣 Its name is Claude but I call it Claudia because no homo lmao but it's ok if that's your thing ✌️

Kasparov: In Russia, tsars and dictators are forgiven everything except a bad war. If the war goes well, nobody cares how many die. But when the ruler cannot win, discontent begins. That is the law of Russian history, and we are seeing it again now. 1/

😂