simsonfinsklapphund

5.3K posts

simsonfinsklapphund banner
simsonfinsklapphund

simsonfinsklapphund

@simsonfinsklap1

former equity derivative sales, now playing markets trying to make a living closer to nature.

Katılım Aralık 2020
199 Takip Edilen161 Takipçiler
Antonio Tajani
Antonio Tajani@Antonio_Tajani·
Le gravi e offensive parole del Presidente Trump nei confronti del Presidente del Consiglio Giorgia Meloni offendono tutta l’Italia. Per questo motivo ho deciso di annullare la mia visita negli Stati Uniti prevista per i prossimi 21 e 22 giugno.
Italiano
9.6K
12.3K
86.7K
5.6M
Andy Constan
Andy Constan@dampedspring·
Remember when I told you about oil experts and YOUR problem of paying attention to them at the wrong time. NOW is a much better time to see what they are saying.
Andy Constan tweet media
Andy Constan@dampedspring

Oil experts are an interesting breed of people. They are sorta like gold bugs. For long periods they sit in a distant corner of the financial markets. We pass by their desks and they nod at us and occasionally they get our attention and draw us close. We hear their predictions of chaos and global doom. We slowly back away and go about our business and live life. Episodically once every decade or so these same people are thrust to the center of the stage. They haven't changed. They are the same people. It's us who have decided to pay attention. Their story remains the same. Energy is a physical commodity and real supply shocks will unleash chaos on the global economy for years to come. The thing is they amaze us with their depth and understanding of all things energy. Barrel count, geopolitical alignments of countries, grades, distillates, etc. So many facts. So much depth. So credible. They always had this level of credibility. They have specialized in this topic for their lifetime and we are simply tourists. They are incredibly valuable and always have been. Maybe this time is different. Certainly market prices of oil and scarce immediate supply is "chaotic" and feeds back into the real economy. Heck I care about the path of oil and its impact on the global economy and various market sectors. At the same time I suggest recognizing that YOU are the one who has changed. If your Oil guru or gurus have been saying the same thing for decades despite being wrong for decades it's your job to find the rare one who is pivoting and see their rationale and then for YOU to back slowly away from the perma oil bulls.

English
29
1
188
63.1K
First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
EU LEADERS LAUNCH TALKS ON REDUCING RELIANCE ON CHINA, DISCUSSING IMPACT OF LOW-COST CHINESE EXPORTS ON EUROPEAN INDUSTRY. - POLITICO
English
2
2
18
14.3K
The Touchline | 𝐓
The Touchline | 𝐓@TouchlineX·
1-0 England. GOOOOOOOOAAAAAAAAAAAALLLLLLLLLLL HARRY KANE !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! HARRY KANE HAS OPENED THE SCORE FOR ENGLAND !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! HARRY KANE SCORES HIS FIRST GOAL OF THE 2026 WORLD CUP !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿💫
The Touchline | 𝐓 tweet media
English
299
128
1.6K
78.7K
Fed
Fed@lord_fed·
Everyone is saying that Warsh is a breath of fresh air ? Am I the only one thinking he comes across extremely arrogant?
English
106
2
404
35.7K
*Walter Bloomberg
*Walter Bloomberg@DeItaone·
FRENCH PRESIDENT MACRON: G7 WILL DO EVERYTHING TO ENSURE THAT HORMUZ REOPENS MACRON:BRITAIN, FRANCE, ITALY, NETHERLANDS AMONG COUNTRIES READY TO DEPLOY IN HORMUZ MISSION MACRON:HORMUZ MISSION COULD BE DEPLOYED WITHIN 2-3 DAYS AFTER US-IRAN AGREEMENT MACRON: RE-OPENING OF HORMUZ MUST BE DONE WITHOUT TOLLS
English
61
39
342
93.9K
First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
Ghalibaf: The Zionists' incursion into Dahiyeh has once again shown that America either lacks the will to fulfill its commitments or the ability to do so. By giving the green light to the regime, you cannot gain concessions. The game of bad cop and good cop is outdated. If you lack the will and ability to fulfill your commitments, speaking of continuing the path is not possible.
English
8
12
75
19.7K
Beardo
Beardo@BeardoTrader·
When the peace deal is signed, $QQQ will return to all time highs. Jim Cramer will say earnings are up, oil is down, and it's time to be bullish again. That's when you sell. Then, $SPY will drop 5% and the bears will scream "DOUBLE TOP!", while everyone calls for a crash. That's when you buy. Trading has never been easier.
English
89
78
1.3K
101.3K
Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
The year is 2028. Trump just announced that the deal with Iran is about to be signed this weekend. Iran says it is reviewing the final text. The U.S. says discussions are constructive. Pakistan says a breakthrough is imminent. Qatar says it is honored to have played a constructive role in facilitating the talks. Qatar did not facilitate the talks. Israel says it learned about the deal from Truth Social. Hezbollah in southern Lebanon is still getting bombed daily. Axios reports a rift between Netanyahu and Trump. The White House denies it. Trump then posts a photo of himself and Netanyahu. Netanyahu is not in the photo. Oil jumps 3%. Then falls 4%. Trump says the deal is being signed at the request of Pakistan and Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir, who Trump describes as “one of the great generals, maybe the greatest, people are saying.” A senior official says we’re “closer than ever.” A different senior official says “significant gaps remain.” They work in the same office. The next round of talks is scheduled for next weekend. It will also be described as a breakthrough. Qatar thanks Pakistan for its important role and takes credit for the progress.
English
303
698
5.4K
400K
The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: The European Central Bank officially hikes interest rates by 25 basis points, citing renewed inflation amid the Iran War. This marks the first major central bank interest rate hike since 2023. Rate hikes are officially back.
English
160
747
5.3K
591.9K
Nav Toor
Nav Toor@heynavtoor·
You have noticed it. ChatGPT feels dumber than it used to. Your prompts that worked six months ago produce worse results now. The writing sounds flatter. The ideas sound safer. The internet itself feels like it is shrinking. Every article reads the same. Every email sounds the same. Every answer sounds like it was written by the same voice. You thought it was you. It is not you. Researchers at Oxford and Cambridge published a paper in Nature proving what is happening. They call it Model Collapse. Here is the mechanism in one sentence. AI trained on AI-generated data gets dumber every generation until it forgets what real human data looked like. The internet is filling with AI-generated content. Blog posts. Articles. Reviews. Comments. Social media. AI companies scrape the internet to train the next generation of models. Which means the next generation of AI is being trained on the output of the current generation. Each cycle loses information. Not randomly. It loses the rarest, most unusual, most creative parts first. The researchers call these the "tails of the distribution." The weird ideas. The unexpected perspectives. The things that made the internet feel human. Those disappear first. What remains is the average. The safe. The expected. The bland. Then the next generation trains on that. And loses more. And the next generation trains on that. And loses more. The researchers proved this is not a slow decline. Major degradation happens within just a few iterations. Even when some of the original human data is preserved. They tested it on large language models. On image generators. On statistical models. The pattern was the same every time. The output converges toward a narrow, flattened version of reality that looks nothing like the original data. The lead researcher put it plainly. "Large language models are like fire. A useful tool. But one that pollutes the environment." The pollution is invisible. You cannot see which sentence on the internet was written by a human and which was written by AI. Neither can the AI that is about to train on it. And once the tails are gone, they do not come back. The damage is irreversible. This is not a prediction anymore. It is a diagnosis. The internet you grew up on was built by humans writing things no algorithm would have written. Strange, personal, imperfect, alive. That internet is being diluted. One generation of AI at a time. And the models trained on what remains are learning a smaller and smaller version of the world. Model Collapse is not a technical problem. It is a cultural one. The thing that made the internet worth reading is the thing that disappears first.
Nav Toor tweet media
English
1.1K
6.4K
17.7K
2.3M
First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
IRAN AND ISRAEL BOTH DENY EXISTENCE OF ANY AGREEMENT. - N12 NEWS
English
186
620
4K
665.7K
Beardo
Beardo@BeardoTrader·
Let’s rip this thing back to all time highs, shall we? $QQQ
English
44
2
303
78.6K