Sophie C

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Sophie C

Sophie C

@sophieanalytics

Just here making sense of all the data chaos.

London Katılım Kasım 2023
205 Takip Edilen36 Takipçiler
Sophie C
Sophie C@sophieanalytics·
@boes_ The mechanism matters. Lloyd's cancelled war-risk transit policies within hours of the first strikes. No insurance means no cargo financing. That's a structural bottleneck, not cyclical.
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Matthew B
Matthew B@boes_·
Food inflation is picking up again even before the impact of the war or the coming El Niño starts to show. US temperatures reached records in the first four months of 2026 and California—which grows most of the country's produce—has very little snowpack (bloomberg.com/news/articles/…)
Matthew B tweet media
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Sophie C
Sophie C@sophieanalytics·
Fib targets assume the impulse completes. Uranium is ultimately an execution trade. Barakah hit full-fleet operations Q3 2025. That kind of delivery is what justifies the extensions.
UseliNk101 - Metals Technical analysis@uselinkinv

$ASPI Fibonacci Extension Targets Assuming the correction from $14.5 to ~$4.0 completed and a new impulse leg has begun: 100% retrace $14.50 extension 1.618 $24–28 extension 2.618 $40–50 My greeeedy target is 3.5x from here: target 20USD #uranium #nuclear

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Sophie C
Sophie C@sophieanalytics·
@AahanPrometheus Every quant learns this the hard way. The model works until the regime changes. Then it's just confidently wrong at speed.
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@aahan_prometheus
@aahan_prometheus@AahanPrometheus·
If you want to be a top tier systematic investor, you have to know when to turn a system off
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Sophie C
Sophie C@sophieanalytics·
The 12% real-world success rate from that Stanford study should be on every term sheet. Funding demo-ready over factory-ready is how you burn $2.5bn without shifting the deployment curve.
Kyle Chan@kyleichan

Ex-NASA robotics chief argues the US is too focused on humanoid robots optimized for narrow, controlled conditions rather than affordable, adaptable ones like China. He calls for robotics industrial policy, like a “manufacturing deployment” tax incentive. fortune.com/2026/05/23/hum…

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Sophie C
Sophie C@sophieanalytics·
@capnek123 Correct CPI math, but 2007 was traders chasing momentum. This cycle has sovereign buyers with committed reactor programs. Barakah completed its first full fleet year in 2025. Different demand profile, different floor.
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📐triANGLE INVESTOR
📐triANGLE INVESTOR@capnek123·
Uranium’s nominal all-time high was ~$148/lb in 2007. Inflation-adjusted, that’s roughly $237 in today’s dollars (U.S. CPI). We’re not revisiting the old high until we’re north of ~$237. Do the math!
📐triANGLE INVESTOR tweet media
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Sophie C retweetledi
The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Micron, $MU, surges +7% at the open, now up nearly +1,500% in 13 months as its market cap nears $1.1 trillion. The stock was worth just $70 billion in April 2025.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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Sophie C
Sophie C@sophieanalytics·
@devengandhi @capnek123 The more interesting signal is who's entering the buy side. Sovereign procurement, Barakah's full-fleet year being one example, doesn't contract on the same cycle as Western utilities. Different time horizon, different price tolerance.
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📐triANGLE INVESTOR
📐triANGLE INVESTOR@capnek123·
Utilities contracted just 589Mlb of U3O8 over the past five years while reactors consumed around 815Mlb, creating a -226Mlb contracting deficit. This uncovered demand will eventually need to be contracted, tightening the #uranium market further.
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Sophie C
Sophie C@sophieanalytics·
@WorldBankGroup The problem isn't capital. It's speed. $1.7T flows annually into sustainability investment and projects still stall in permits and grid queues. Development follows execution capacity, not funding volume.
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World Bank Group
World Bank Group@WorldBankGroup·
Global development is progressing at its slowest pace in 75 years. If that hadn't happened, 150 million fewer people would be in extreme poverty today. Explore the data: wrld.bg/FKSZ50Z4QJR #WBGAtlas
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Sophie C
Sophie C@sophieanalytics·
@Convertbond Zero sells when their own targets imply 27% downside. That's not analysis, that's momentum chasing with a spreadsheet.
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Lawrence McDonald
Lawrence McDonald@Convertbond·
They hated this stock A. Q2 2026 Micron MU - Stock Price $955 Street "Research" Buys: 50 Holds: 5 Sells: 0 *Their 12-month Price Target is $696 B. Q1 2023 - Doorstep of the AI Revolution Stock Price was $58 Buys: 25 Holds: 9 Sells: 2 *Their 12-month Price Target was $63
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World Bank Group Publications
Replacing one-quarter of #India ’s 8.8 million diesel irrigation pumps with solar ones would reduce emissions by 11.5 million tons per year - more than double the emissions avoided by electric vehicles and solar panels in 2020: wrld.bg/MhPP50RzrWY
World Bank Group Publications tweet media
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Sophie C
Sophie C@sophieanalytics·
@USCC_GOV @tanvi_madan @BrookingsChina India's hedging is practical, not rhetorical. $76.2bn in bilateral trade with the UAE last year. Delhi builds alternatives, it doesn't just voice concerns about Beijing.
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Mihir Vora
Mihir Vora@theMihirV·
AT Kearney survey (2026 Foreign Direct Investment Confidence Index) on where global investors are planning to invest in the next few years Italy Korea Saudi Arabia and UAE have entered the top 15 India Brazil Netherlands Taiwan drop out of the top 15 list This graphic compares the world’s top investment destinations in 2016 versus 2026, based on a survey of 507 senior executives on where they expect to invest over the next three years. Source: visualcapitalist.com/ranked-the-wor…
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Sophie C
Sophie C@sophieanalytics·
@UDiamondBalls Quiet demand driver most models are missing: Barakah hitting full-fleet this year adds 5.6 GW of baseline demand that isn't priced into consensus yet.
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Darren
Darren@UDiamondBalls·
#Uranium and #Nuclear tech investors realizing the downswing is behind them and a new leg has begun 😊😏😆
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Sophie C
Sophie C@sophieanalytics·
@BaldwinRE @FT Wages jumped but so did the tax take. Frozen UK thresholds = fiscal drag ate that nominal gain. Real disposable income tells a different story.
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Richard Baldwin
Richard Baldwin@BaldwinRE·
The Covid shock. 👉Illuminating to see price levels rather than inflation rates 👉NB: Wages jumped too 🎩 Martinwolf @ft
Richard Baldwin tweet media
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Sophie C
Sophie C@sophieanalytics·
@0xdirichlet @airwallex Jack was mostly right on the gotchas. But the 'distraction' framing assumes regulatory clarity isn't coming. ADGM just issued dedicated virtual asset guidance. If you already own the rails, that's not a distraction. It's optionality.
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Dirichlet
Dirichlet@0xdirichlet·
The quiet part out loud is that @airwallex is part of a *very* short list of companies that would be uniquely qualified to evangelize stablecoins - *considerably* more than household names like Stripe. But why would they, when they've already done a significant chunk of the hard work to get the infrastructure set up that stablecoins short-circuit? They should understand the hidden gatchas better than most - re: @awxjack's controversial commentary on stablecoins last year (mostly correct, tbh). Curious to see what they do here, as it will carry immense signal for the industry, although I would guess it's mostly a distraction for their core business.
Rachael Horwitz@RachaelRad

Hello. Reminder as you think about compliant on and off ramps etc: @Airwallex is not a payments app layered on top of existing rails. It is a vertically integrated global financial infrastructure company that spent ~10 years building (and licensing) its own proprietary money-movement network from scratch. It owns the end-to-end stack in a way that most US fintechs simply don’t because building that outside the US is brutally hard and capital-intensive.

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