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P Anderson
190 posts
@rapha_gl not rly my point. Shape of each individual curve is interesting, you can see some models plateau others don’t. Tokens are fine x axis for this, we want to know the model’s ability to benefit from more tokens. Ofc yes not apples/apples between curves, and doesn’t tell you price
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@rapha_gl still interesting to see returns to inference scaling, how far you can go before saturating plus implied token efficiency
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there should be a fund where founders can only apply by listing 20+ investors they've been rejected by
Sarah Cone@sarah_cone
I have a running list of the number of passes at Seed for the most famous companies that I send to LPs, and they are legion. The best companies, investors just don’t get at Seed. Keep going.
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problematic parameter count gap dialogue
mostly harmless graduate student@rieszspieces
problematic follower count gap relationship
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@DanielleFong double major is a cowards game prefigures life of chronic hedging
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what are your favorite double majors
TBPN@tbpn
.@Collision is bullish on two types of people: high-agency individuals and double majors. "There are two categories of people I would be super bullish on right now and I think will do incredibly well over the next 10-20 years. First, high-agency people. The people at Stripe who have been talking to customers and know exactly what we should do. It's the people who have that pep in their step and want to go make Stripe better. They are so much more empowered thanks to AI." "The second is double majors. I think if you understand software and understand finance, or if you understand software and understand marketing, you now can go massively improve the entire marketing funnel for your company. Now, one person can do what would have taken 20 people dredging through all these systems." "Charlie Munger talked about the importance of being multidisciplinary and multidisciplinary thinking. He thinks getting a functional understanding of many disciplines is not that hard. You can just go read the books now or you can talk to your AI about it. I think multidisciplinary thinkers are going to do incredibly well."
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P Anderson retweetledi
Therapist: linear neolabs are not real, they cannot hurt you.
me:
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P Anderson retweetledi
@47fucb4r8c69323 @mimi10v3 was amazed some perdurantist didn’t beat me to it
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@spacetime_worm @mimi10v3 spacetime worm is such a GOATed username man
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realizing how deeply my opinion of Yud is shaped by the order & context in which i read his content:
i first ran across him because i was working on a cybersecurity risk tool and the data scientist said use to naive bayes so i was googling to make sure i implemented it correctly, was kinda impressed by the bayes website w his name on it; then Amazon recommended AI to Zombies so i ordered it, read it, liked it enough to unsuccessfully offer it around to friends and family.
awhile later i read Superintelligences because Elon had included it in a list of book recommendations and i liked the other ones i'd already read on the list. came away unconvinced (too many unknowns and "we don't know so let's say 50/50" -> many permutations of argument eventually concluding xrisk is 50/50- umm?) but thought it was a reasonable book.
at some point i was curious to check out LessWrong as the origin of Roko's basilisk, clicked around awhile and felt it was a giant nerdsnipe and also was kinda offended that EAs had clarity around animal welfare & were often vegan but Yud and others subscribed to some cope where they could just pay a small amount to an animal charity and continue eating animals guilt free. so i bounced off LessWrong and stuck to irl hobbies.
then the pandemic happened and after some months of boredom i stumbled across hpmor and read it with the prior that Yud is a singular character who feels intellectually superior and overvalues intelligence -> moral worth, as most non vegans do.
finally i logged on to twitter seeking an alternative social outlet after a year of pandemic cancellation of irl events, got simclustered with the Rats and started reading Yud's tweets
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Right this still seems to route through "listen when anthropic calls their shot?" Which, fair. But I doubt ant insider knowledge matters more predicting white collar automation ETA vs bigger questions like "what even is white collar work anyway," which everyone seems confused about
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@spacetime_worm Not quite my view, more like this: x.com/David_Kasten/s…
dave kasten@David_Kasten
@evenscreech Ant's openly said that they're trying to automate their non-coder tasks too, so I assume the same thing will happen, just on a bit of a lag. (There was, e.g., a video of their legal team writing contract-review agents that they released)
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Preregistering an opinion that seemed to surprise a lot of people when I said it at a lightning talk on Fri: boring back-of-the-envelope math leads me to think there will be a Claude-Code-like moment for several other domains of white-collar work by the end of the year, and then things get really weird.
You should plan accordingly.
(Claude Code got good about 6-12 months after they released it, Claude Cowork was launched at start of year, then you add in some acceleration from CC enabling R&D internally and some deceleration from org distraction)
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@hypersoren your intellectual means of production are producing a lot of barbells
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This idea is meta and imo many businesses will resist it for its odd ranking of priorities
>what do you mean the means of production are as important as directly serving customers?
it will also produce a barbell—those without high entropy means will quickly get compressed
Guillermo Rauch@rauchg
Today we're open sourcing open-agents.dev, a reference platform for cloud coding agents. You've heard that companies like Stripe (Minions), Ramp (Inspect), Spotify (Honk), Block (Goose), and others are building their own "AI software factories". Why? 1️⃣ On a technical level, off-the-shelf coding agents don't perform well with huge monorepos, don't have your institutional knowledge, integrations, and custom workflows. 2️⃣ On a business level, the moat of software companies will shift from 'the code they wrote', to the 'means of production' of that code. The alpha is in your factory. Open Agents deploys to our agentic infrastructure: Fluid for running the agent's brain, Workflow for its long-running durability, Sandbox for secure code execution, AI Gateway for multi-model tokens. (Because of our focus on Open SDKs and runtimes, this codebase is a gem even if you're not hosting on Vercel.) TL;DR: if you're building an internal or user-facing agentic coding platform, deploy this: vercel.com/templates/temp…
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Introducing Capy, the world’s first multiplayer cloud coding platform.
Capy plans, builds, tests, and reviews your code to ship self-healing PRs fully async.
PR view, review agent, computer use, Slack, Linear, ChatGPT sub, all in one tool.
Comment to get $100 of free credits.
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@1thousandfaces_ be mindful who you flee from. Rats suck because they update too quickly, insufficiently surprised when you emerge unscathed
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just once I’d like to sarcastically salute my pursuers before artfully falling off of the top of a building only to reveal that I’d devised an elaborate escape plan and emerged from the situation — as usual — improbably unscathed
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@viemccoy @1thousandfaces_ Why did you change colors are you moving away from us
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P Anderson retweetledi
Dating is so cooked. Women just don't want a man who is searching for the key to all mythologies any more
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@tszzl the AP is kinda important they should maybe try hiring some people with rare skillsets
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don’t like the Borg language but - “reporting and writing are two different skills” feels important and even fundamental outside of news
Max Tani@maxwelltani
New: Tension at the Associated Press over use of AI. One of the AP newsroom leaders leading the company's AI initiatives told staff that many editors preferred an AI-written article to a human one, and told them when it comes to using AI in the newsroom "resistance is futile."
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@1thousandfaces_ if you byo index stock by stock the gradations make a kind of reverse striptease
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@1thousandfaces_ overall second only to buying index funds unclothed
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buying index funds is the most fun a girl can have without taking her clothes off
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