Stoobe

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Stoobe

Stoobe

@stoobe

Using math to transport value across space and time.

United States Katılım Aralık 2008
1.5K Takip Edilen537 Takipçiler
Stoobe
Stoobe@stoobe·
@_its_not_real_ Depends on if they're dual use or not. If they power relevant military stuff.
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Noah Rothman
Noah Rothman@NoahCRothman·
“We may even get involved with helping them rebuild their nation…” – Trump, sweetening the pot, I suppose.
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Alex Hollings
Alex Hollings@AlexHollings52·
My dive into the WSO's rescue is written and recorded, but there's no way I'm going to be able to finish the edit tonight. New goal is to get it out as early as possible tomorrow.
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Stoobe
Stoobe@stoobe·
@neoavatara I think it's less "promotion" and more supply=demand.
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Stoobe
Stoobe@stoobe·
@DanTalks1 I worry if Iran has nothing to export then they have no reason to open the straight. But blowing up sources of IRGC revenue is a good so it's a tricky tradeoff.
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Stoobe
Stoobe@stoobe·
@AnalyticsKyle @IMAO_ Agreed, but willingness to interact with polsters correlates with important life stuff (are you busy, do you have kids, do you have a job, do you like people, etc) so un-correlatedness would have to be proven IMO.
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Kyle Maclean
Kyle Maclean@AnalyticsKyle·
@stoobe @IMAO_ Well, assuming those traits are random, that's actually not a major issue. But when you have correlated errors (particularly across states) that's when there's a BIG problem.
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Frank J. Fleming
Frank J. Fleming@IMAO_·
Let's not revise history -- Nate Silver got screamed at by the left for saying Trump had a 1 in 3 chance of winning when everyone else said Hillary had a 99%+ chance of winning in 2016.
Carl@HistoryBoomer

The richest man in the world doesn't understand probabilities! Tonight I'm playing poker. I'll stick $800 into a pot with top set against Vinny's flush draw and gutshot. I'll be 75% fave to win, but Vinny will spike a 9 and take my money. That doesn't make 75% "wrong." lmao

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Stoobe
Stoobe@stoobe·
@politicalmath And I assume reddit mods still ban people for dissenting opinions.
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Stoobe
Stoobe@stoobe·
@eigenrobot Alternatively, if we blow up their energy infrastructure so Iran has no oil to export, why would they ever open the Hormuz Straight?
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Stoobe
Stoobe@stoobe·
@selentelechia Yeah, how did we end up with easter baskets for each kid from both sets of grandparents, parents, and aunt including candies and toys. It's like a mini-halloween.
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🌾🍁🍂 bosco 🍂🍁🌾
not even religious but I'm taking the kids to an Easter service next year because this holiday really needs a sober, civilizing aspect or it just turns into degenerate hedonism
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Kelsey Piper
Kelsey Piper@KelseyTuoc·
please don't kill millions of people in a tantrum about the unconstitutional war that you started going badly, please don't kill millions of people in a tantrum about the unconstitutional war that you started going badly...
Rachel Scott@rachelvscott

Spoke with President Trump. He told me the conflict should be over in days, not weeks but if no deal is made he’s blowing up the whole country with “very little” off the table. "If happens, it happens. And if it doesn't, we're blowing up the whole country,” he said. I asked if there’s anything off limits. “Very little,” he said.

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Stoobe
Stoobe@stoobe·
@katrosenfield I had to double check his Truth account to verify this one. Wow haha
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Kat Rosenfield
Kat Rosenfield@katrosenfield·
welcome to yet another episode of The President Said What, where we review the latest dispatch from the president and then make a wordless beeline for the liquor cabinet
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Stoobe
Stoobe@stoobe·
@SimoneSyed I think the improved diet explains more or all of the other benefits.
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Stoobe
Stoobe@stoobe·
@gummibear737 I think at least at the present moment partisan politics maters mode to the left than winning in iran. At leas it matters more to politicians and news makers who choose how to cover it.
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Stoobe retweetledi
Pedro Domingos
Pedro Domingos@pmddomingos·
There’s no enemy of progress like a progressive.
Pedro Domingos tweet media
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Stoobe
Stoobe@stoobe·
@cremieuxrecueil That was an excellent Simpson’s episode! One of my favorites!
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Crémieux
Crémieux@cremieuxrecueil·
WAIT A SECOND CHINA JUST MADE TOMACCO REAL
Crémieux tweet media
Niko McCarty.@NikoMcCarty

Nearly 200 years after nicotine was first chemically isolated, we’ve finally figured out its complete biosynthesis pathway. Doing so required an insane effort and many years of work. The authors — a Chinese group — ended up crossing 643 lines of tobacco plants to find a single mutant incapable of making nicotine. They next backcrossed and inbred that plant to figure out the specific mutations, in various genes, and map the enzymes responsible. Nicotine is made from two “ring-shaped” molecules fused together. One ring has five carbons (the “pyrrolidine ring”) and the second has six carbons (the “pyridine ring.”) Scientists already knew quite a bit about how these rings get made, but not every step, and not how tthey join together to make nicotine. The pyrrolidine ring starts when ornithine, an amino acid that is not used to make proteins, gets its carbon dioxide clipped off by an enzyme, called ornithine decarboxylase, to make putrescine. This putrescine then has a methyl group attached to it, and gets oxidized. At this point, the molecule is a chain with four carbon atoms; one end has an amine, and the other a methylated amine. The amine end gets cut off and replaced with a reactive aldehyde; the chain folds into a loop; and the methylated amine “attacks” electrons on the aldehyde to form the ring. To make the pyridine ring, plant cells first take aspartate (the amino acid) and oxidize it. The resulting molecule is then transformed into nicotinic acid mononucleotide, which is just vitamin B3 with a sugar and phosphate attached. This paper is the first to report that NAMN hydrolase clips off the sugar and phosphate to release pure vitamin B3; also called niacin or nicotinic acid. (The names are slightly confusing.) The paper’s major contribution, though, is in figuring out how the two rings get fused together. The nicotinic acid is unstable, so an enzyme quickly attaches a sugar to it. Another enzyme, called A622, then strips off a CO2 group, making the molecule reactive again. And finally, that reactive intermediate “attacks” the five-membered pyrrolidine ring to join the two halves together. Other enzymes strip off the remaining sugar to make nicotine. (This whole pathway is shown in the image below.) All of this happens on the surface of plant vacuoles. Many of the chemical intermediates are toxic, so they need to be sequestered and converted quickly. And as soon as the final nicotine gets made, a transporter pumps it into the vacuole, where it is stored away. It’s actually difficult to wrap my head around the amount of work packed into this paper, so I’ll just give some quick bullet points: 1. They grew 643 inbred plant lines, which were made by crossing together 26 different parent tobacco plants. They extracted metabolites from all of them. 2. They did a bunch of single-cell RNA sequencing on the tobacco roots to figure out which cells actually express the nicotine biosynthesis genes. 3. “Stumbled” upon a mutant plant which was not able to make nicotine, and then sequenced its entire genome. They also crossed back this plant and inbred it for two generations to find the mutation responsible; a single C-to-T swap. This experiment alone must have taken at least two years of work. 4. Fed plants with isotopically “heavy” nicotinic acid and then tracked its movements through metabolic pathways. 5. Collected at least 630 mass spectrometry spectra. 6. RECONSTITUTED THE ENTIRE PATHWAY IN FOUR DIFFERENT SPECIES: YEAST, TOMATO, EGGPLANTS, AND PEAS (!!!!!!!!) 7. And a lot more… Anyway, insane paper. China has been putting out incredible plant biology papers for the last several years.

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