Strider

305 posts

Strider

Strider

@strider_pm

signal over noise do your own due diligence, this is not investment advice

Katılım Aralık 2024
170 Takip Edilen82 Takipçiler
xK0neko | LinaBell
xK0neko | LinaBell@xK0neko·
Did Israel launch a "major" ground invasion into Lebanon? Latest dispute on @Polymarket The dispute involves whether it comprises >= 1000 soldiers which arguably the reported battalions/divisions would be. Also up for dispute is whether they advanced passed the border.
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Strider
Strider@strider_pm·
@Eltonma @crydevil_crypto It is dumb, why not increase overall rewards for markets that actually provide information value ?
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crydevil
crydevil@crydevil_crypto·
Over 7 days Polymarket distributed $914K in rewards and this trader solo farmed more than 10% of it I wonder if he’s hedging the risk somewhere else, and whether that’s even possible Because if it is, that’s absolutely broken
crydevil tweet media
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Strider
Strider@strider_pm·
@GreekGamblerPM Take care! It is not easy, but sometimes you just have to push through!
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GreekGamblerPM #150to50k challenge
Today is one of the worst days of my life. Over the past few days, as you may have noticed, I have barely been posting and yesterday I posted nothing. The reason is that lately my 9 to 5 job as a Software Engineer has gone from being really chill to extremely stressful. There are many tight deadlines, some drama at work and my PRs keep getting rejected. Today was so busy that I even forgot to eat and I was on calls for almost 8 hours straight. On top of that, today I lost $1,500 on a bet in a mention market that I made without doing much research and I ended up being wrong. I don't know. I've been making, through Polymarket and my X, around 8x my full time salary. Every day I think, what if I just completely quit the safety of my job and go all in on prediction markets and my X? Almost daily, I miss so many opportunities to make money on Polymarket because I'm not fully locked in and I'm trying to do too many things at once. Also, when I come back from work, many times I just want to chill and not get on my PC again for some time and then the day just passes. Now everyone will be like, then why don't you just quit your job, since you make a lot more trading? There are some reasons that I can't really say publicly that make this decision really difficult for me to take the risk, but at this point I may just have to do it. Anyway, sorry for this long post. I'm kind of mentally unstable at the moment in the sense that I don't know what to do with my life right now. I will probably delete this later today. I was just wondering if anyone else has been in a similar situation and how it went.
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MEPP
MEPP@MEPPonPM·
My best month on Polymarket since I started 1 year ago, almost 100k us betting mostly on geopolitics. I am so thankful to the team at POLYMARKET for creating such a great platform. (link to profile in bio page) and keep your eyes open for a new podcast on the war in Iran coming soon.
MEPP tweet media
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Maskache
Maskache@Mask4che·
(6/6) @polymarket just added several new weather markets. The playground is massive now, with opportunities all over the map for anyone looking to get involved. 🌤️⚡ Huge thanks to @bosaurum and the @Polymarket team for providing these opportunities! Ready for the next few months! 🚀
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Maskache
Maskache@Mask4che·
A $20,000 piece of advice (1/6) In February, @protrade47 challenged my 28% win rate. It stung my ego at first, but after the reality check, he gave me one of the most valuable tips I’ve ever received. Here is how that shift changed my PnL:
Maskache tweet media
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Spicy Brwny
Spicy Brwny@0x_spicyvibe·
I just placed a $4,260 bet… and it feels almost too easy. Nobody is paying attention that’s the edge. Not risk free… but this might be the easiest setup I’ve seen all year. Would you trust a bet that feels this obvious ?
Spicy Brwny tweet media
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MEPP
MEPP@MEPPonPM·
If x/twitter existed during december 1944, social media would be telling us that Roosevelt needs to find an exit of the conflict and off ramp after the desperate Nazi counter attack during the battle of the bulge.
MEPP tweet media
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Strider
Strider@strider_pm·
@Eltonma You literally said that it was not a good idea. The Polysquare discord group is really edgy and much worse things have been said by a lot of people. The person (ski) sharing some screenshots is not doing this in good faith. I stand with you billy
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Elton Ma
Elton Ma@Eltonma·
Some idiots are trying to post about my mental struggle to gain a few likes or whatever, or wanna get my polymarket badge removed. I just want to say, I don't care that much actually, but I do want to make one thing clear. I wrote what I wrote, because I was trying to help myself from not doing something stupid, by mentioned about the thought process, you figure out ways to not doing bad things to oneself and others. And those are just personal discussion, shared among friends, not trying to tell the public about it. If those motherfuckers want to go to war about it, just BRING IT ON!
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Adam Daniels
Adam Daniels@PMTraderAdam·
I risked $1,137 to win $13 that Khamenei’s son wouldn’t be removed as new Supreme leader Was this a smart trade?
Adam Daniels tweet media
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Strider
Strider@strider_pm·
@Eltonma You have a wife that loves you very much
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Elton Ma
Elton Ma@Eltonma·
Diao just tell me today it seems her husband is going to have sex with her after her period(which just started today) which put me in a pretty bad mood and I almost cried. I think if they fucked I would be crying for a few days at least. Maybe I am the real idiot here
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MEPP
MEPP@MEPPonPM·
A senior military official: "The Americans didn’t believe we would succeed in the decapitation strike. We destroyed between 160–190 launchers, disabled another 200, and around 150 remain active. The missile crews are afraid to go out; there are desertions and refusals to follow orders. Every day we hunt down several launchers. We’ve entered a perhaps unheroic and monotonic stage of systematic destruction of command and control headquarters, military industry, and nuclear infrastructure. The Iranians have over 10,000 dead and wounded among their security forces. What is likely to follow after the war is a weakened regime, an economic blockade, diplomatic isolation, and eventually a revolution. The situation matches what we anticipated."
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Hive
Hive@HiveLiveHQ·
"Trump wants out, but can he just finish the war?" The United States' has largely failed to accomplish its original goals in Iran, but how long does the administration have before being forced to a ceasefire?
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Strider
Strider@strider_pm·
@prathwik0 Polymarket attracts the worst people of the world, I truly hate it
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Strider
Strider@strider_pm·
@Eltonma I am sorry for questioning you
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Elton Ma
Elton Ma@Eltonma·
I want to update again on my massage therapist situation. So as her request I hired another nanny (basically take care of me+ girlfriend). But it turns out both my wife and diao doesn’t want a third lady that much. So I ditched the new nanny. Now diao is ready to come back around 4 days per week. So I think everything is good
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Strider
Strider@strider_pm·
I think people overall are just very biased, 1. Trump haters who think cannot do anything good, 2. The anti interventionist people who think US should stay out, 3. The neocons who never saw a war they don't like. That eventually leaves us with not a lot of people who can analyze the situation for what it is and make a fair assessment.
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Strider retweetledi
MEPP
MEPP@MEPPonPM·
IRAN TRUMP ISRAEL WAR Fog of War // differentiating Facts from fictions and wishful thinking. A lot of non sense has been written on this war since the conflict began and I am going to try to offer some clarity: 99% of people and media didnt see this war coming nor understand the motivation behind this war and are wrongly assuming that that its a waste of time and trump will Taco any moment or once the oil goes up. Since the vast majority dont understand the purpose of the war and consider it a waste of time,they are assuming that the us already lost by simply starting it and are looking to confirm this bias everyday. My opinion: For once and under heavy influence from Kushner, Trump is playing the long game here. He sees this war as a corner stone for long term peace in the middle east and wants to be seen as the president that finally changed the middle east for good. While a air campaign alone will not bring down the regime, removing almost all of their weapons while keeping the sanctions on will in fact have a lasting impact contrary to what all the twitter experts are telling you. Iran will only decay from here similar to Irak from the first gulf war to the 2nd. The us is not losing the war, contrary to what the media are telling you, Iran is doing extremely poorly and its only going to get worse for them. In fact, Russia and china abstained from vetoing a S-C UN resolution against Iran yesterday(fair weather friends). I expect this bombing campaign to go on till at least easter with the 450kg of enriched uranium being some sort of end game/coup de grace here. News and images are coming out of more bunker busters,more b52s and more MOAB. This is what coming for Iran in the near term. While publicly Trump is saying the war is almost over(to reassure the market) behind the scene hes sending 1 more carrier and more heavy bombers that will benefit from the air supremacy that they have accomplished. (profile in bio) and Im happy to answer any questions in the comments.
MEPP tweet mediaMEPP tweet mediaMEPP tweet media
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SKi🦉
SKi🦉@TheNotoriousSKi·
Finna go out on a limb & say that @tsybka should’ve never refunded that stupid cunt @SemioticRivalry for getting rugged & filling stink bids. Stupid cunt is too embarrassed to come clean on how he got rugged. Focus on your own IQ instead of “antisemites” you stupid retarded cunt.
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GollumGekko
GollumGekko@GollumGekko1·
Which ones of you assholes decided to start copy trading me? I would not recommend it
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Adam Daniels
Adam Daniels@PMTraderAdam·
Today I bet $786 to win $124 that Trump wouldn’t stop the war in Iran by March 15th There is literally a 0% chance this happens Trump loves war too much
Adam Daniels tweet media
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