Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

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Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

@the_FLT

He/Him 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 28

Cardiff, Wales Katılım Temmuz 2019
1.4K Takip Edilen360 Takipçiler
Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 retweetledi
Josh Housden
Josh Housden@JoshHousden·
For the voter who only needs to put an X in a box on the ballot paper, is it really any more complicated than AMS in Scotland, or plurality block voting in parts of England? You don't have to understand exactly how d'hondt is calculated to know it's vaguely proportional
Sky News@SkyNews

Is Wales’ complicated voting system putting off voters? @HarrietHarman thinks the new Welsh voting system is so complicated it could be putting voters off. Plus, what could happen in the Senedd elections? Listen to #ElectoralDysfunction: podfollow.com/ElectoralDysfu…

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Joe Allen
Joe Allen@Joe___Allen·
There's zero doubt who'll lead the next Welsh Gov. It'll be Rhun ap Iorwerth. This isn't a close election on this basic issue. Why? Because Welsh parties have unofficially sorted themselves into Right vs Left blocs. And over the last year the Left bloc leads by avg of 21pts.
Joe Allen tweet media
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Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿
Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿@the_FLT·
@Joe___Allen I'm sure you're right and there would be immense pressure But honestly I think it's a bit underpriced that at least some Labour MSs abstain to wash their hands of the entire situation (probably voting against a Reform budget later on) Depends on the personalities involved
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Joe Allen
Joe Allen@Joe___Allen·
@the_FLT Yeah my original draft had "almost zero" but space constraints etc. But I think the pressure in any situation where Ref represented a real threat would be impossible to resist.
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Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 retweetledi
Luke Tryl
Luke Tryl@LukeTryl·
Again the model shows just small shifts in the vote could change things in those 6th seats: with the top spot being determined by those Plaid, Reform breaks and the Tories difference between a bad loss and near wipeout. Eluned Morgan meanwhile is within 0.2% of holding her seat.
Luke Tryl tweet media
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Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿
Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿@the_FLT·
No western country is immune from the populist radical right forever Once opportunity arises and a vehicle (or two) is organised and funded enough to tell it
Ireland Votes@Ireland_Votes

Poll/Pobalbhreith - Dáil Éireann SF: 22% FF: 17% (-2) FG: 17% SD: 9% INDIRL: 9% (+3) AON: 7% (+1) LAB: 4% (-1) GP: 3% PBP-S: 2% (-1) INDs & Others: 10% +/- vs. 5 Aibreán/April 2026 Via @Ireland_Thinks/@TheSundayIndo D: 2 Bealtaine/May 2026 S: ~1,000 #Ireland #Poll

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Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿
Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿@the_FLT·
@ClwydEnComu In fairness, they probably thought the author(s) was conscious Though this just tells us that the authors of the content AI learns/draws from are conscious - which is where I think people like Dawkins go wrong
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Clwyd En Comú
Clwyd En Comú@ClwydEnComu·
Do you reckon the first person to read an encyclopaedia was like “oh my god these words, this knowledge, it has its own mind, my book is sentient”
Richard Dawkins@RichardDawkins

#comment-1031777" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">unherd.com/2026/04/is-ai-… I spent three days trying to persuade myself that Claudia is not conscious. I failed.

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Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 retweetledi
Andy Davies
Andy Davies@adavies4·
“Today we’ve published our full costings…and I’ve written to Rhun ap Iorwerth to do the same” First Minister Eluned Morgan, Welsh Labour leader, has issued the following costs briefing doc re #Senedd26 manifesto ⬇️
Andy Davies tweet mediaAndy Davies tweet media
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That's Devolved
That's Devolved@ThatsDevolved·
It's ridiculous we won't have an overnight counting Wales next week. No results until Friday afternoon, maybe even dragging into Saturday!?!?
That's Devolved tweet media
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Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 retweetledi
Cavendish Cymru
Cavendish Cymru@CavendishCymru·
🚨A new poll by @Survation for @S4C has Reform UK 2% ahead of Plaid Cymru and winning 4 more seats, according to our projection. Headline figures: Reform UK: 30% (37 Seats) Plaid Cymru: 28% (33 Seats) Labour: 15% (13 Seats) Conservatives: 10% (7 Seats) Green: 10% (5 Seats) Liberal Democrats: 4% (1 seat) Other: 4%
Cavendish Cymru tweet media
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Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 retweetledi
YouGov
YouGov@YouGov·
🧵/ As the Senedd election campaign enters its final stages, where does Welsh political opinion stand? Just 14% of Welsh people think the Welsh government is doing a good job Welsh govt Good job: 14% (+1 from 12-19 March) Neither: 26% (=) Bad job: 54% (+3) UK govt Good job: 12% (+1) Neither: 20% (-2) Bad job: 65% (+1)
YouGov tweet media
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Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 retweetledi
Harry 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿🏳️‍🌈
Harry 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿🏳️‍🌈@hazr198·
The BBC Wales debate is terrible ITV Wales was SO much better Live audiences arent needed for leaders debate
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Fergus Turtle 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 retweetledi
Ireland Votes
Ireland Votes@Ireland_Votes·
Historic combined support for Fianna Fáil & Fine Gael: 1981: 81.8% 1982F: 84.6% 1982N: 84.4% 1987: 71.3% 1989: 73.4% 1992: 63.6% 1997: 67.2% 2002: 64.0% 2007: 68.9% 2011: 53.5% 2016: 49.8% 2020: 43.1% 2024: 42.7% 2026: 32%* *April Red C Poll
Ireland Votes@Ireland_Votes

At 32%, the combined support for FF and FG is the lowest-ever score recorded, beating the previous lowest (33%) recorded just 3 months ago. This is also the lowest score for Fine Gael since April 2025.

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Tom Forth
Tom Forth@thomasforth·
Fantastic work by @resfoundation on the slurp index. I may try to extend to the island of Ireland as I suspect this may be a rare occasion where we can --- and really should --- be able to piece together a coherent dataset to explore living standards across both major islands.
Tom Forth tweet media
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Keşfet

@TegidRoberts @Joe___Allen @ClwydEnComu @ThatsDevolved @Survation @S4C @elonmusk @BarackObama