
Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎
13.4K posts

Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎
@TheOneLanceB
Ex-@TRLM Top Trader | Market Wizard 🧙♂️ Course: https://t.co/yjydC7PN7q YouTube: https://t.co/y4LhRVZfFD Advisor @SMBCapital | Founder @Impact_Comp








THOUGHTS ON RISK MANAGEMENT I started this discussion to make the point that risk management is far more nuanced than most on Twitter makes it seem. Yes, part of great risk management is having rigid rules, discipline, and structure. But trading is also a game of uncertainty, changing context, and asymmetric opportunity. Not every situation cleanly fits inside a pre-defined box. Good risk management isn’t just about protecting yourself. Good risk management also allows you to maximize pnl while minimizing unacceptable outcomes. For many conservative traders, the biggest weakness in their trading is actually NOT taking enough risk. One needs to recognize that risk is inherent in our job. You can’t make money without it. In fact, many overlooked that sometimes even blowup risk should be an acceptable risk. One question I pushed traders on in this discussion: If you had a trade with a 98% chance of retiring your family forever… but it violated your risk rules… would you take it? Many said no. Personally, I think that for anyone out there grinding, you’d have to be out of your fucking mind not to take that trade. Because the reality is: most traders already have some probability of blowup regardless. No matter what you think, you already probably have a .5% or 1% or 2% chance of blowing up over the course of a career. Plus even if you didn’t, for many over the long run, strategies decay and edge disappear. Many traders will NEVER “beat the game” over a long enough horizon. So if you truly had a massively asymmetric opportunity with overwhelming expected value… are you really going to pass on it because a rulebook said so????? Insanity. At the same time, history is FULL of incredible traders who got overconfident, oversized, and eventually lost everything. So we also can’t fool ourselves into believing we are objective when emotions are involved. In fact, the moments where we most NEED risk management are often the exact moments where we are the least capable of accurately handicapping expected value because we’re tilted, euphoric, desperate, exhausted, or emotionally compromised. IMO, inaccurate handicapping of expected value is the biggest danger of any risk management system in practice. Also… Risk management should always be subservient to goals. That’s why it’s personal. If you have a $1,000 account and you’re young, maybe taking aggressive shots and occasionally blowing up is part of the learning curve. If you’re managing 100% of your family’s net worth, the acceptable risk profile becomes completely different. This is also where wiring out money and keep safe stashes of acorns is a whole other important discussion. There is no universal framework. Only tradeoffs. Many asked me my opinion on these topics. The truth is, I’ve broken risk management rules dozens of times. I’ve taken existential risk dozens of times. Sometimes intentionally so, other times not. Should one be willing to violate their rules? Probably? Should one be willing to take on existential risk? Depends the person. I don’t have the answers, but I do think what is most important is recognizing that good risk management is: 1. Iterative 2. Never perfect. 3. Some level of rule-based. 4. Flexible enough to cover the complexity of trading as @Ksidiii mentioned as well. Perhaps a topic for a future video.

Thanks everyone for attending the first weekend of the @TraderLion conference! Great presentations so far from: @Upticken @PeterLBrandt @PradeepBonde @RealSimpleAriel @alphatrends @Trader_mcaruso @Crowded_Mkt_Rpt Watch the Replays Here: youtube.com/playlist?list=…









Wow! over 50k Traders have tuned in so far to the @TraderLion Conference! We've also raised close to 4k for Parkinson's Research If you haven't yet, watch the replays here: youtube.com/playlist?list=…

EXPOSED: @TRADESBYSCI IS A FRUAD AND I’LL DONATE $1M IF PROVEN WRONG TradesBySci is one of the biggest scammers in the trading space. In fact, I’m so confident in my analysis that I will donate $500k to charity and $500k to one of his followers if Sci provides a VERIFIABLE independent audit or starts using a REAL broker and verifies his trading via @Kinfo. No more talk, no more screenshots, just one independent verification. As someone whose results have been independently verified and audited, I know how difficult it is to produce elite trading performance. That’s exactly why extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. My video exposé explains: -Why Sci’s story is BS. -Why the data he screenshots is fake, proves nothing, and is mathematically impossible (which is obvious to anyone that isn’t a dumbass). -How Sci uses a sketchy offshore CFD broker to monetize his audience even when he claims he “sells nothing”. -How Sci uses bot farms to fight the countless scammer accusations. -Why this harms the young, gullible (mostly black) men that idolize and look up to him. If I’m wrong, I put my money where my mouth is. If I’m right, the hundreds of thousands of aspiring traders following this fraud deserve to know the truth. The ball is in Sci’s court. CC: @imantradingYT @realnouratta youtu.be/87iSNJsb05U?si…

JULY SECOND WEEK

SHOCKER : @TRADESBYSCI AKA TADARRIUS ADAMS FOUND GUILTY OF FRAUDULENT CONDUCT Guess what happens when you figure out Sci’s real name? Default summary judgement forcing him to pay over $60k in damages. Good sleuthing Twitter! 🕵️♂️ “Here, the evidence and argument presented at the hearing showed that Defendant had systematically engaged in the same fraudulent conduct alleged here with many aspiring investors from around the world. The conduct – including the proactive solicitation of money from everyday people, failure to provide the services advertised regarding that money, refusal to respond to inquiries about that money, refusal to return the money once the challenges were failed, and blocking of individuals who rightfully requested their money be returned – amounts to willful misconduct which raises the presumption of conscious indifference to consequences, and merits the award of damages2 for the purpose of penalization and deterrence. Accordingly, the Court hereby awards a total of $60,000.00 in punitive damages, with $30,000.00 awarded to Plaintiff Jaylan Howell, and $30,000.00 awarded to Plaintiff Kamal Lutfi.




Please read below for some very important announcements Firstly, Alpha and NinjaTrader (Tradovate) are parting ways. Since the launch of AlphaTrader, our partnership with NinjaTrader has been difficult due to the view that we now own and operate a competing platform, throughout discussions over the past 3 months we have not been able to come to an adequate agreement regarding 1) signing our platform AlphaTrader onto the NinjaTrader back end 2) their concerns that we would promote both platforms fairly and equally. They have ultimately decided to terminate our contract effective 12th July, this further results in us not being able to issue new accounts on the ninja trader platform from the 12th (today) This termination was ninjas decision, whilst this was not the outcome we wanted, we also respect their decision in putting their business and platform interests first as we have also done. Next, the Premium Plan: we launched a plan that was a requested style as popular among the industry- we paid out more than $25m on this plan alone over the last two months, and at a significant loss. As you have all seen, we were making tweaks to try to continue to offer this plan sustainably, however paired with this termination of our contract with ninja trader and the fact that the majority of premium plan accounts are on the Tradeovate platform, it is simply not possible to continue to run a plan that was already at a loss without this popular platform choice. This would have only accelerated this plans losses over the coming weeks and months. As a result, All active Premium Accounts will be refunded and closed. This includes all pending/unpaid payouts on the premium plan beyond the $25m + paid already on this plan. All we can do is deeply apologise and refund users that have an active account on the premium plan. We made a mistake launching a plan we thought would be great, and unfortunately it was not. We are going back to our roots that made us a successful and leading futures firms for 2 years. We are the first firm to ever payout $100m + in CFDs and $100m in Futures, we did not want it to come to this, but it is truthfully the best path forward to make sure we payout another $100m to our traders. All other plans and accounts remain unaffected - service will resume as normal but with a change in platform. All existing Zero, Advanced, and Direct Accounts on Ninja Trader /Tradovate will be transferred to AlphaTrader this week. We will be getting back to same day payouts, our typical 5 star services, continuing to invest in our own ecosystem and support our healthy partnerships with other third party platforms. We had every intention to continue the partnership with NinjaTrader as a typically offered 3rd party platform, but we respect their decision and wish them the best in future endeavors. We will follow up with several updates throughout the week confirming successful completion of migrated accounts which we will aim to do fast in the coming days along with refunding active accounts on the premium plan (no need to create a ticket and request a refund, this will be automatic)









