B.A

I swear it feels like we live in a simulation. Same playbook as 2022. Bitcoin sells off during the start of a new conflict, finds a low in February, then bounces into March.

Bear markets suck. They don't last forever though. Better times will come. Still think October 2026 is a good candidate for a major market low, but open minded to sooner if the meltdown accelerates.

Every cycle is the same. Yes, crypto could bounce. And honestly, it would be great for sentiment if it could. But even if it does, it would most likely result in a macro lower high. I don't try and time those bounces. I have tried before with mixed levels of success. Sometimes it works, other times I got rekt. When BTC drops below the 50W moving average, it then goes to the 100W moving average, spends a little time there, then goes to the 200W moving average. Every cycle is eventually the same. BTC topped when it always does (Q4 of the post-halving year), and so many have spent so many hours trying to convince you that it has not. And BTC entered into a bear market, and so many have tried to get you to believe that alt season is "just around the corner" because it always happens after BTC tops. What they fail to account for is social interest. After the 2019 top there was also no rotation into altcoins, which also occurred just before QT ended. I track the social interest in the asset class, and it has been trending down since 2021. There is no one new here for people to sell their altcoins to. Alt seasons historically occur *after* social interest has been trending up for a year, not after it has been trending down for 5 years. Have an actual plan on navigating this brutal asset class. Because if the altcoins you hold drop another 50%-80% from here, not a single influencer who promoted them will express an ounce of regret for it. And you will simply be living with the consequences. I get a lot of hate for saying the truth, but an inconvenient truth is better than a lie.

Happy New Year, Australia.

I think #ALT / #BTC pairs will continue to head down into the end of the year. Remember, last cycle, ALT / BTC pairs capitulated and found a low about 1 month after QT ended.

BREAKING from New York Fed: The Desk plans to release the first schedule on December 11, 2025, with a total amount of RMPs of approximately $40 billion in Treasury bills; purchases will start on December 12, 2025. The Desk anticipates that the pace of RMPs will remain elevated for a few months to offset expected large increases in non-reserve liabilities in April. New name for QE is "RMPs" and it's officially starting.

WOW: Insider Whale Just Opened A Mega $ETH Long! [Copy Them?] x.com/i/broadcasts/1…

My outline for #Bitcoin: 2019-2020: Accumulation 2021-2022: Uptrend 2023-2024: $BTC @ $100k 2025-2026: Bear Market 2027-2028: Accumulation 2029-2030: Uptrend 2031-2032: $BTC @ $300k-$500k 2033-2034: Bear market 2035-2037: Accumulation 2038-2039: Uptrend 2040-2042: $BTC @ $1M

In 2019, Bitcoin topped 36 days before QT officially ended (Top June 26th, QT ended August 1st) In 2025, Bitcoin topped 56 days before QT officially ended (Top Oct 6th, QT ended December 1st)

@henokcrypto Are u sure ?

I’ve never been more bullish on crypto in my life This is the moment I’ve waited and worked for over 4 years for

Bitcoin bear markets usually last 1 year. Potential low in October 2026. Last cycle it took MSTR around 98 weeks to bottom. 98 weeks from MSTR top (November 2024) is also October 2026.

If Bitcoin can't hold $90k at minimum, a bear market to $75k will be the most likely scenario. We called $94k perfectly, and I expect that call will bear fruit also, again, if $94k cannot hold. Bookmark this.

#BTC is at a critical level. Multiple closes below the 50W would confirm the top being in as it always has each cycle. Regardless of whether the top is in, or if we go slightly higher, I still think 2026 will be a bear market, just like all prior midterm years.

Cycles don’t end when people are scared. They end when everyone feels smart again

To those that keep calling for ALT Season: In order for ALT Season to happen, ETH needs to go to $5k+ and hold it as support. For ETH to go to $5k *AND* hold it as support, it means BTC needs to also go to all time highs. The process of BTC going to all time highs would make BTC dominance go higher, just like it has all cycle. So the only way to get an "ALT Season" is for BTC.D to first go up as BTC goes to new highs. If that does not happen, then ALT Season does not happen. So while the gurus sit out here and yap about BTC.D dropping now and they shill their shitcoins once again, just remember in order to get what they want, they first have to be wrong. AGAIN.

Price action does not need a narrative. Narratives follow price. If you feel the need to assign a narrative to everything in crypto, you will drive yourself crazy.

🚨BREAKING: Crypto liquidations soar to $9.4 BILLION in 24 hours – the LARGEST single-day event ever. Bigger than LUNA. Bigger than COVID. Bigger than FTX. We just witnessed history.

Ethereum has now dropped 30% and is at its bull market support band. I think ETH can now rally to new all time highs.

gg

BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇨🇳 President Trump to impose 100% tariff on China starting November 1st.