Timothy Bates

10.4K posts

Timothy Bates

Timothy Bates

@timothycbates

Researching intelligence, conscientiousness, moral foundations & human attainment. Lots of individual differences & genetics

Edinburgh Katılım Eylül 2011
1.6K Takip Edilen7.4K Takipçiler
Sabitlenmiş Tweet
Timothy Bates
Timothy Bates@timothycbates·
I think this is the first report of the heritability of Utilitarianism. Utilitarianism is surprisingly heritable! Second, it reflects two underlying biological systems: 1) A flat moral circle, treating self, family and strangers as substitutable. 2) Treating people as means, versus as ends in their own right.
Timothy Bates tweet media
English
5
21
86
19.9K
Timothy Bates
Timothy Bates@timothycbates·
Kiwi success story! @maddireidy did this on Halter @$1B. Now 2x in under a year. For x-employees, the enormity of hyper-ambitious companies like RKLB PLTR SpaceX, seems to get embedded in their minds: So many leave, not to copy, but do totally original things that couldn't happen in the mother ship! youtube.com/watch?v=nF8hYf…
YouTube video
YouTube
English
0
0
1
101
Timothy Bates
Timothy Bates@timothycbates·
The best answer is the Pauli exclusion principle - to go through the table top your hand's Fermions cannot enter already occupied quantum states. Your hands' electrons would have to shift to higher energy states. It's called electron degeneracy and the same law that stoping us walking through tables prevents electrons pilling up in one energy level (where it was discovered), and much larger in scale, but the same at the quantum level: white dwarf collapse: Not enough energy to cross the beams. It also prevents electron threesomes: Two electrons sharing a "room" must have opposite spins. Would be electron interlopers are physically excluded.
English
0
0
2
140
Timothy Bates
Timothy Bates@timothycbates·
With Tesla and Google all-in, it’s mad for a manufacturer to choose anything but Hyperion/Thor/Alpamayo/driveOS… Mercedes/Toyota/nissan/BYD keep their 20+m car per year production, and gain tier 1 autonomy + UI, plus share autonomy revenues with Nvidia. Rivian like;y just blow another billion and admit defeat in 2 years :-(
English
0
0
0
63
Devin Olsen
Devin Olsen@DevinOlsenn·
@NehasThomas Same - I genuinely want Rivian to succeed (and I think the will) but their tech needs a lot of work and I am worried they’re over promising and under delivering on that front at the moment. UHF should be for highway use only and it should be free.
English
2
0
6
235
Devin Olsen
Devin Olsen@DevinOlsenn·
Rivian Universal Hands-Free vs Tesla Self-Driving This was my first time testing Rivian's new Universal Hands-Free, and I was honestly surprised by how it performed. I understand this is their first attempt and it will only improve from here, but truthfully, it is worse than any version of FSD or Autopilot I have ever used. I respect Rivian as a company, but I always try to remain unbiased in my opinions, so here are my unfiltered thoughts on where UHF stands today. Hoping to test it more as the system receives major updates! Hope you all enjoy the video. Chapters 00:00 Intro 00:45 Struggling to get UHF to turn on 1:25 Hard resetting the system 2:00 Enabling UHF 2:45 Max speed and lane changing 4:00 Strange warning 5:00 Disengagement 5:28 UHF fails on corner 7:58 Attention monitoring test 9:25 Harsh brake for merging vehicle 10:10 Changing driving styles 10:50 Harsh brake for bus 12:15 Robotic driving style 13:10 I am not comfortable using this 14:35 Parking capabilities 15:40 Getting into Tesla 16:50 FSD vs UHF thoughts 18:20 Final thoughts
English
122
62
552
136.4K
Timothy Bates
Timothy Bates@timothycbates·
Putting your own money on the line in ultra-high risk/reward scenarios makes almost everyone a massive hereditarian :-)
TBPN@tbpn

Sequoia's @carl_eschenbach on the founder traits that matter most when scaling a company: "One of the things I absolutely look for is self-awareness in founders, and are they honest about what they’re good at? Because a lot of these founders are just incredibly intelligent human beings, and sometimes they think they can do everything. Do they have the self-awareness to say, 'I need to go get other people as part of the company to help me scale so I can focus on what I’m really good at?'" "There are attributes and characteristics of people that I look for that are way beyond the intelligence side of the equation. You can’t teach grit. You can’t teach drive. You can’t teach a great attitude. You can’t teach determination." "All of those are things that are innate and part of people, and you want to see that in these founders. When you find someone who has that passion, drive, desire, and relentless ability to fight through challenges, issues, and opportunities — and then they have the intellectual horsepower on the other side — when that comes together, that’s a beautiful thing."

English
0
0
3
398
Timothy Bates
Timothy Bates@timothycbates·
My guess is the hearing effect is a lot of reverse causation - dementias (mixed bag from vascular to alz etc.) take out sensory neurons and will cause loss of hearing, also noise exposure is confounded with cognitive ability which is ‘protective” because it gives the disease more meat to chew through before behaviors start to fail. Dementia’s will look like obesity - - a bunch of diets and govt campaigns that don’t work, then Mounjaro which knocks it out park.
English
0
0
0
24
Bryan Johnson
Bryan Johnson@bryan_johnson·
Nearly 40% of dementia cases can be prevented or delayed. These 10 things may lower your risk: 0. Maintain systolic blood pressure of 120 mm Hg or less in midlife from age 40. 1. Use hearing aids for hearing loss and protect your ears from high noise levels, starting at 85 decibels. 2. Reduce exposure to air pollution and second-hand tobacco smoke. The damage goes beyond your lungs, disrupting your focus/cognitive performance and damaging your liver. 3. Avoid head injury (violent sports, job safety measures, be careful generally). 4. Limit drinking to less than 1 unit a day (1 unit (8g or 10ml) is a glass of beer or a small glass of wine). Best to eliminate alcohol entirely. 5. Stop smoking, and never start if you don’t (beneficial at any age). 6. Exercise. 7. Maintain a healthy weight and good nutrition. 8. Correct vision limitations, have your eyes regularly checked and treat causes of vision disruption and sight loss. 9. Monitor for plaque and LDL cholesterol.
Bryan Johnson tweet media
English
201
191
2.6K
340.9K
Timothy Bates
Timothy Bates@timothycbates·
This big thing missing from this (mostly not experimentally validated and subject to reverse causation) list is “start taking donanemab now, and switch up as new versions are developed” Also omits that people already avoid head injuries… unclear how much upside there is there to extract - good sdvice for parents, perhaps (maybe skiing at mandatory-helmet ski fields would make a not entirely implausible instrumental test. Also, the word “delayed” is a massive get out jail clause: delayed how long? Honestly, my advice is pray for some more Japanese or US breakthrough drugs like donanemab.
English
0
0
0
6
nonthreatening
nonthreatening@nonthreatining·
Galileo wasn't tried and convicted for claiming the Earth revolved around the sun. He was tried and convicted of being a belligerent disruptor insisting on a model of the universe that his own observations and calculations couldn't properly explain. There were thousands of medicasters and false "wise men" peddling profound lies all around Europe at the time, all dedicated to disrupting the secular and religious authorities and establishing enclaves of fanatics to enrich themselves. The best science and most accurate observations of the time had answers for absolutely everything that was going on in the sky, but Galileo couldn't properly and thoroughly explain regular, predictable deviations in the courses of objects in the sky. Many of which were discrepancies we didn't even solve until long after Heliocentrism was accepted on the basis of other, more concrete observations and experiments. In some sense, they were right to doubt Galileo's claims.
English
4
0
11
652
Timothy Bates
Timothy Bates@timothycbates·
In 100 years, this era will be seen the way we used to see the era of Galileo: The consequence of weird ideas becoming a legally-enforced signals of system loyalty with life-destroying results until overthrown. For Rome, the incorrect but mandatory beliefs were the earth being the centre of the universe and all that flowed from that. For us, it is the blank slate: The belief that people are fungible: identical and equal in all but the most superficial ways, and all that flows from that. Arguably the most toxic meme in history.
Nathan Cofnas@nathancofnas

Pierre Thiriar—a Justice on the Court of Appeal in Antwerp—wants me in handcuffs "When he states that genetic variants influencing intelligence may be unevenly distributed across populations and that this can explain differences in cognitive performance, this constitutes not merely a neutral hypothesis, but the empirical basis for a hierarchical view of human nature....the boundaries of Article 21 have been manifestly crossed." "Belgian case law has made it clear that packaging a discourse as 'scientific', 'philosophical', or 'critical' does not prevent it from being punishable when it objectively incites discrimination or propagates ideas of racial superiority."

English
8
73
563
19.3K
Timothy Bates
Timothy Bates@timothycbates·
Hegel amps do that - like on the H95, it advertises itself on the local network, you choose it as an output in Spotify on your phone, and Spotify streams over wired Ethernet to the amp which handles decoding and d/a. Sounds great and you can still control volume, track selection etc on your phone. Doesn’t support ai dj as yet.
English
0
0
1
24
John Carmack
John Carmack@ID_AA_Carmack·
When you stream Spotify to Bluetooth speakers or headphones, the audio comes over the network lossily compressed with Vorbis or AAC codecs, is then decoded on your device to 48 Khz raw samples, then the Bluetooth stack lossily re-compresses it with SBC or AAC codecs before sending it over the airwaves to the speakers. I don’t have “golden ears” to pick apart audio quality like I can with, say, missing gamma correction on texture filtering, but that still hurts my system optimization soul. It is likely over-optimization, but It would be cleaner if there were a way to send bluetooth-ready, compressed audio directly.
English
274
247
5.8K
440.9K
Timothy Bates retweetledi
Abhishek Saha
Abhishek Saha@ObhishekSaha·
@ComAcFreedom @nathancofnas If you are an academic or public figure, and you wish to sign the statement, you may do so by leaving your signature as a suggestion/comment to the below google doc. I will try to update the signature list at least once a day. docs.google.com/document/d/1T0…
English
1
4
19
1.3K
Timothy Bates retweetledi
Crémieux
Crémieux@cremieuxrecueil·
Endorsed. Sometimes, you have to wonder why people analyze certain subjects in the ways they do rather than in the best ways available when doing so only adds a few minutes of work. Feynman actually talked about this in his Cargo Cult speech in the context of maze-running rats:
Crémieux tweet media
Ben Landau-Taylor@benlandautaylor

Having high standards in a field doesn't *feel* like having high standards. It feels like everyone else has bafflingly low standards and almost no one is even trying.

English
9
54
744
53.1K
Timothy Bates
Timothy Bates@timothycbates·
Nearly all of our political institutions originated as genius innovations to short circuit flaws in family-based tribal minds. The Roman Empire had its “5 good emperors” - none of them had male children, and that freed them to “adopt” and cultivate their successor based on merit and service. All, that is, but the last and arguably the best of them five: Marcus Aurelius. “Gladiator” cinematically portrays his rotten spawn, Commodus, usurping power by murdering his father. In truth, even the great stoic could not suppress the instinct to favor his own seed – desperately trying to tutor and train away the flaws he, of course, saw all too well, yet unable to choose the best over deep motive to anoint his own. Kin favoritism with no institutional Circe to plug his ears to this Siren song, sending an empire onto rocks.
English
0
1
9
481
Timothy Bates
Timothy Bates@timothycbates·
Trivers was the Nietzsche of evolution: looking past comforting stories. Seeing instead through the gene’s eye to what lies behind the curtains. Importantly, he argued we ignore such truths because we evolved to never notice, when it suits us better to deceive ourselves. Farewell, and rest in peace.
Steve Sailer@Steve_Sailer

Robert Trivers' family has confirmed the death at age 83 of the great Darwinian theorist, which was first reported Saturday evening by Steve Stewart-Williams.

English
0
1
24
1.7K
Timothy Bates retweetledi
Richard Haier
Richard Haier@rjhaier·
Two new papers just published. One on an executive function Flynn Effect; the other on a reading-specific cognitive factor: icajournal.scholasticahq.com
English
1
10
39
3.5K
Kevin Welsh
Kevin Welsh@roadracerkev·
@timothycbates @maddireidy Policies? It is just economics. If you have the choice of paying $1.50 a litre for petrol or $2.00 a litre, which one you going to choose?
English
1
0
0
54
Madison Malone
Madison Malone@maddireidy·
I've covered the shutdown of New Zealand's last oil refinery since it was proposed in 2020. I was at the annual shareholder meeting when they approved the shutdown decision, was on site at Marsden Point on its last day of oil refining operations, spoke to workers in their homes as they came to terms with losing their jobs and was the first to film the decommissioned refinery in 2024. Here's some facts: - The asset is owned by a listed company, it is not a majority Government-owned asset. Screenshot of largest shareholders in the comments. - The decision to shutdown the refinery and turn the site into a storage terminal was a commercial call made by the company and its shareholders because gross refining margins were under pressure, exacerbated by the pandemic, and the outlook for fuel demand was weakening. It was not a uniquely New Zealand problem; it followed the closure of other refineries in Australia. - The refinery has been decommissioned. The site is fenced off. - The CEO Rob Buchanan told me in 2024 that it would cost billions to restart refining operations and doing so would be a complex infrastructure project. Will post the findings of an independent review assessing the cost of recommissioning in the comments. - The company was called Refining NZ but changed its name to Channel Infrastructure once it became a storage-only import terminal. I'm going back tomorrow. Let me know what you want me to film/ask the CEO.
Madison Malone tweet media
English
58
119
442
19.2K
Richard Haier
Richard Haier@rjhaier·
I signed the counter petition supporting him.
Maarten Boudry@mboudry

A few years ago I recorded an episode of my podcast Forbidden Territory for @UGent (in Dutch) about the heritability of IQ. We also touched on the third rail of racial differences. Why? Because I believe academics should be free to investigate even the most “dangerous ideas.” My guest, Han van der Maas (a renowned IQ researcher at the University of Amsterdam), explained that individual IQ differences are highly heritable, but that he does not believe in differences between racial groups. His statistical and methodological arguments (e.g. Simpson paradox) convinced me at the time. Still, he hedged his bets: it remains possible that future evidence might show racial differences. And researchers should be free to investigate that hypothesis. Forty-five colleagues from my former philosophy department apparently think otherwise. They are urging the rector to fire @nathancofnas because he claims that the IQ gap between racial groups (such as whites and blacks in the US — differences that are themselves not disputed) may have partly genetic causes, rather than purely social ones like marginalization or discrimination. They label this “pseudoscience and racism.” I understand why many people are shocked by Cofnas’s claims. But this clearly falls within the scope of academic freedom. For years, the psychoanalysis of Jacques Lacan was taught and researched at my department — a complete pseudoscience. Dozens of theses and PhDs were written about it, all scientifically worthless. No one batted an eye. Unlike my colleagues, I published several papers explaining why (Lacanian) psychoanalysis is pseudoscientific (drive.google.com/file/d/0B_K-qt…). Yet I never demanded that my colleagues be fired. None of the signatories have any peer-reviewed publications on IQ or genetics. I have a letter recommending Cofnas' work on IQ from the editor-in-chief of the prestigious journal Intelligence. Even if the hypothesis of racial IQ differences could be shown to belong to the realm of pseudoscience, that still would not justify dismissal. If @UGent caves in to this demand, it will be another blow to academic freedom at my alma mater — following the new rector’s illiberal statements suggesting that researchers questioning the safety of vaccines or the Gaza “genocide” are “crossing a line that must not be crossed.” Such calls for dismissal from people without any expertise are also strategically unwise, as they only fuel “red-pilling.” When academics appear determined to suppress a dangerous idea at all costs, people understandably get suspicious: "What are they trying to hide?" And so trust in academia erodes further. youtube.com/watch?v=YHhbWm…

English
5
23
352
14.4K
Timothy Bates retweetledi
vittorio
vittorio@IterIntellectus·
this is actually insane > be tech guy in australia > adopt cancer riddled rescue dog, months to live > not_going_to_give_you_up.mp4 > pay $3,000 to sequence her tumor DNA > feed it to ChatGPT and AlphaFold > zero background in biology > identify mutated proteins, match them to drug targets > design a custom mRNA cancer vaccine from scratch > genomics professor is “gobsmacked” that some puppy lover did this on his own > need ethics approval to administer it > red tape takes longer than designing the vaccine > 3 months, finally approved > drive 10 hours to get rosie her first injection > tumor halves > coat gets glossy again > dog is alive and happy > professor: “if we can do this for a dog, why aren’t we rolling this out to humans?” one man with a chatbot, and $3,000 just outperformed the entire pharmaceutical discovery pipeline. we are going to cure so many diseases. I dont think people realize how good things are going to get
vittorio tweet mediavittorio tweet mediavittorio tweet mediavittorio tweet media
Séb Krier@sebkrier

This is wild. theaustralian.com.au/business/techn…

English
2.5K
19.9K
117.9K
17.3M