Tynan Kelly

@MkTeritoryPD @MarcoFoster_ @merissahansen17 Musk is on autism spectrum. Guileless

@MarcoFoster_ @merissahansen17 Elon would risk his wealth and freedom on election rigging and then tell Ashley St. Clair about it? Suuuuuuure.

Ashley St. Clair implies Elon Musk interfered in the 2024 election: “In October, Elon tells me he is ready to release his ‘anomaly in the matrix.’ He says he has 10K lasers in space, referring to his satellites. He says this is not a piece they’ll see on the chess board. Shortly after that, he’s sending me internal data from America PAC, real-time delta vote metrics. On election night, Elon left Mar-a-Lago early and he told me yeah I knew hours ago that Trump won, my team has the best real time data. How do you have real time data?”

@Chandler_Rome Quit griping people. Major league pitching is hard to hit if he gets sent down to Sugarland to learn OK if they keep them here to learn OK

Victor Rodriguez on Cam Smith: "In there, I can put the machine at 110 (mph), and he’s like whack, whack. What he does there in that cage is completely different than what he does here. What doesn’t allow him to take what he does there to here is mental.” -nytimes.com/athletic/72868…

@RedNinetyFour Not a rough game at all. To handle the ball and watch the other guys score.

Can’t believe James Harden is going to have a real shot at going to the Finals at age 36. So happy for him right now. Rough game for him tonight, but the Cavs aren’t even here without his Game 3 and Game 5 heroics. Also, so funny that this Cavs team has a starting lineup 3/5 comprised of guys Rafael Stone said “no thanks” to during this rebuild. 1. Victor Oladipo over Jarrett Allen in the Harden trade when Allen was considered Brooklyn’s best young asset. Stone was killed for this at the time by the national media but the leaked rationale was that having Allen would make it hard to tank + not wanting his extension on the books. I never thought having Allen alone would lead to wins and I also wouldn’t mind having him right now at what is a pretty reasonable salary for his production. 2. Reaching on Jalen Green over Evan Mobley, when Mobley was the consensus second best prospect in the draft. This has been relitigated to death but the angle I still can’t believe there hasn’t been any reporting done upon are the rumblings that Mobley’s family didn’t want him here because of the presence of Kevin Porter Jr. If that was really the case and it impacted Stone’s decision on how to use the most important lottery pick of the rebuild. . . huge yikes. 3. Fred VanVleet over Harden, twice. Enough said there.

I am the Director of Summit Outcomes for the Presidential Advance Team. My job is to land in a foreign capital and leave with a word the President can say on the tarmac. We landed in Beijing 6 days after rolling back the tariffs we spent 4 years imposing. 145% to 30%. The average rate before the trade war was approximately 3%. In Geneva, we called this "creating the conditions for productive dialogue." The conditions were that we had already conceded. I want to be clear: Beijing was a success. We went in with 7 objectives. We left with 3 photo categories, a tentative agreement China has not confirmed, and a bag of burner phones we threw off Air Force One on the tarmac. Diplomacy. My team prepared the deliverables matrix in March. 241 line items organized by urgency, feasibility, and what we call "headline potential." The President reviewed it for 4 minutes. He circled "big deal" and "historic" and wrote "MORE" next to the Boeing section. That became the strategy. Boeing was the centerpiece. 500 aircraft was the White House number we briefed to reporters before departure. 300 was the floor. The Chinese offered 200. Their commerce ministry released the number before we could brief the press. Boeing stock dropped 4.73% that afternoon. Boeing referred questions about the order to the White House. The company receiving the aircraft could not confirm it was receiving aircraft. We called it "fantastic." In Washington, "fantastic" means the other side named the number and the market already priced in your failure. I should note: in 2017, the President announced $250 billion in deals during his first China trip. 300 aircraft. An $84 billion shale gas investment in West Virginia from China Energy Investment Corporation. I can tell you the exact amount of that investment that materialized. Zero. The shale facility was never built. The 2017 Boeing order was renegotiated twice and partially canceled during the trade war the President started 8 months later. There is a binder in my office labeled "2017 OUTCOMES: DO NOT REFERENCE." It is 3 inches thick. It has not been opened in 4 years. We do not reference it because the outcomes are the reference. The agricultural package was what we call a "scaffolding commitment." Billions in purchases over 3 years, structured so the announcement is front-loaded and the verification is someone else's administration. U.S. Trade Representative Greer said "double-digit billions." Beijing's Commerce Ministry issued a statement about "deepening cooperation in agricultural trade." Those are not the same sentence. By design. My deputy maintains a glossary of every term we have invented for agreements that are not agreements. It is 41 pages. He updates it after each summit. Last quarter he added "scaffolding commitment," "streamlined licensing framework," and "mutual recognition of shared concerns." He is in line for a promotion. NVIDIA was the quiet win. H200 chips approved for approximately 10 Chinese companies. We don't say "approved." We say "under a streamlined licensing framework." The chips ship. The export controls remain "in effect." The framework is the loophole wearing a lanyard. The controls exist because these chips in Chinese hands threaten American national security. The chips are shipping to Chinese hands. The controls remain in effect. Both of these are true. Fentanyl was discussed for 9 minutes. Both sides agreed it was a problem. Both sides agreed to continue discussing it. We added it to the deliverables matrix under "ongoing mutual engagement." The previous version of the matrix also listed it under "ongoing mutual engagement." That was in 2023. I copied the line item from the 2023 matrix into the 2026 version. Changed the date. The language was identical. But Taiwan. Taiwan was the deliverable we didn't put on the matrix. I watched the Taiwan exchange from the overflow room on a 12-second delay. I had the contingency statement drafted in 3 versions: "productive exchange," "frank discussion," and "both sides reaffirmed their respective positions." I used none of them. There was no contingency for silence. Chairman Xi released his remarks before the meeting was over. While the President was still seated across the table, Chinese state media published the transcript. "Clashes and even conflicts." His bluntest language on Taiwan in the history of the relationship, released to 1.4 billion people while we were still pouring tea. We called this "sequencing." The President was asked whether he would defend Taiwan if China attacked. He chose not to answer. We wrote that down as "a strong listen." The $14 billion arms sale. Already approved by Congress. The largest in the history of the Taiwan Relations Act. Taiwan's parliament spent months appropriating the $25 billion to proceed with this package and the $11 billion tranche approved last year. They finally secured the funding this month. The President told Fox News it was "a very good negotiating chip." He used the word "chip." Referring to the defense of 24 million people. Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense sent our office a letter requesting clarity on the delivery timeline. 3 pages. It referenced specific weapons systems by name: F-16V Block 70 fighters, HIMARS launchers, Harpoon coastal defense missiles. The letter was addressed to me. I filed it under "pending." On Air Force One, a reporter asked about the 1982 Six Assurances, the framework in which the United States committed not to consult with Beijing before selling arms to Taiwan. The President said: "What am I going to do, say I don't want to talk to you about it because I have an agreement wrote in 1982? No, we discussed arms sales." 44 years of bipartisan Taiwan policy, dismissed in 2 sentences at 38,000 feet. We are calling this "a modernized approach to alliance management." Our readout mentioned trade, agriculture, energy, and regional stability. It did not mention Taiwan. I wrote it. Their readout opened with Taiwan. I have staffed 7 summits across 2 administrations. This is the first where I could not draft a single deliverable as a success without a qualifier. In my office there is a laminated card that lists every synonym for "undecided" that polls above 40% approval. "Active review" is 3rd. "Determination" is 7th. Both tested well with independents in the Midwest. He also said: "Taiwan would be very smart to cool it a little bit. China would be very smart to cool it a little bit." He was eating a cheeseburger. He said this while eating a cheeseburger. Secretary Rubio told NBC that Taiwan arms sales "did not feature prominently." This is accurate in the same way that the iceberg did not feature prominently in the Titanic's itinerary. Representative McCaul, Republican of Texas, former chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, said the United States must "arm Taiwan so they can defend themselves." He said Xi was "very aggressive" regarding Taiwan during the summit and that "most of what Xi talked about was Taiwan." Representative Meeks, Democrat of New York, ranking member of the same committee, said Xi has "leverage over the president" but not "over the United States Congress and the American people." He noted that Congress already approved the package. "The president is the one that's holding it up." Representative Fitzpatrick, Republican of Pennsylvania, compared Taiwan to Ukraine. He called both "fortresses of democracy on the front lines." Speaker Johnson said Taiwan needs to "stay independent and secure." The bipartisan consensus was that something had gone wrong. The bipartisan action was press quotes. No vote. No resolution. No hearing scheduled. 4 members of Congress from both parties said the right words to reporters and then went to lunch. That's how the system processes alarm. I monitor 14 accounts we classify as "aligned messaging amplifiers." Within 4 hours of the Taiwan exchange, 9 went silent. 2 pivoted to fentanyl. 1 posted 3 words: "Not like this." It received 280,000 impressions in 90 minutes. He deleted it and posted about the border instead. The President patted Chairman Xi on the back 7 times during the Zhongnanhai garden walk. We counted. He called him "my friend" in 4 languages, 2 of which he does not speak. He asked if other world leaders had been invited to the compound. They had. Putin was there last year. The President asked if his tour was longer. 15 CEOs flew with us to Beijing. Their combined net worth approaches $1 trillion. Cook. Musk. Jensen Huang. Larry Fink from BlackRock. Jane Fraser from Citigroup. David Solomon from Goldman Sachs. Stephen Schwarzman from Blackstone. Kelly Ortberg from Boeing. The CEO of Visa. The CEO of Mastercard. The CEO of Qualcomm. Illumina. Micron. Cargill. GE Aerospace. Musk and Huang rode on Air Force One. The others flew commercial. Tesla's Shanghai factory produces approximately half of the company's vehicles worldwide. Musk's presence on Air Force One was noted by my counterintelligence liaison. No further action was taken. We organized the state banquet seating chart by net worth. I am told this was the President's suggestion. They came for market access. Xi told them China would "open further to American business." That was the deliverable. Those 5 words. No specifics. No timeline. No sectors named. 15 chief executives flew to Beijing and received a sentence. Chairman Xi has delivered this sentence at every summit I have staffed. It has not once been followed by a named sector, a timeline, or a specific commitment. It is received as news each time. 43 lobby badges in a Ziploc bag. That's what my team collected from the CEOs after the garden tour. Standard protocol. The badges were embossed with the Great Hall of the People seal. Several executives asked if they could keep them. We said no. One asked twice. 15 executives with combined access to American financial, defense, and technology infrastructure had spent 3 hours inside the Great Hall of the People. We secured the lobby badges. The S&P 500 futures dropped 1% on the morning after the summit. The KOSPI fell 6.12%. China's CSI 300 fell 1.12%. UBS told clients that "much increasingly scarce jet fuel has been burned to produce nothing of real substance." Fortune's headline was "Wall Street sees nothing of real substance." The markets liked the anticipation. The markets did not like the deliverables matrix. Iran was the item we listed as "mutual recognition of shared concerns." The President told reporters they "feel very similar." Xi sat in silence. China's Foreign Ministry did not comment on any commitment regarding the Strait of Hormuz. The President then told reporters the United States "doesn't need the Strait of Hormuz open at all." Oil hit $109 per barrel. Deutsche Bank flagged it as a market-killing statement within the hour. The President described Iran as "a little bit crazy." This was during a toast. Over Peking duck. Rare earths. I prepared a 40-page brief on critical mineral dependency. Supply chain maps for 14 minerals. $1.2 trillion in dependent U.S. industries. Roughly 4% of GDP. The President circled the GDP figure and wrote "big." In the meeting, he asked Chairman Xi if rare earths were "the things in magnets." They are. They are also in every F-35, every Patriot missile battery, and every MRI machine in the country. The discussion lasted 11 minutes. 3 of them were about magnets. No agreement on export licenses. China exposed our dependency last year and has not let us forget it. The Supreme Court struck down our tariffs separately, which was helpful context for the discussions. Fentanyl received 9 minutes. Magnets received 3. We are calling the rare earth outcome "a foundation for continued engagement." There is a poster in the Advance Team office that says "A foundation is not a building." It has been there since my first summit. No one has removed it. On the flight home, my team collected every item the Chinese government had distributed. The credentials. The pins. The keepsakes. The rose seeds Chairman Xi offered for the White House Rose Garden. Standard counterintelligence protocol. All of it went into a bag and off the plane before wheels-up. We threw away the roses. We kept the talking points. The Boeing order grew on the flight home. 500 before departure. 200 in Beijing. 750 somewhere over the Pacific. Boeing had not confirmed 200. The President told reporters on Air Force One it was "a pretty historic couple days." I wrote the line that preceded it: "Tonal reset with significant forward momentum." He used "fantastic" instead. In previous administrations, a tonal reset preceded the deliverables. In this administration, the tonal reset is the deliverable. He has used "fantastic" for every summit since 2017. I have not checked whether the word still polls well. I am told it does. Beijing has not confirmed any of the agreements announced by U.S. officials. This is consistent with the 2017 visit, where $250 billion in deals were announced and an estimated $10 billion materialized. It is consistent with the October summit, where pledges were also made and also not fulfilled. We have a term for this in the Advance Team. We call it "precedent." I have already labeled the binder for 2026. We go back in September. Same matrix. New line items. The verification will be someone else's administration. The President has already asked for the word "monumental." I am told it polls well.

@laurakrome @davidaxelrod @POTUS Who the F are you? A Putin bot?

@davidaxelrod @POTUS Russian aggression? Ukraine winning the war? Take a look at the corrruption in Ukraine and then at the history of our interventions. What the hell haa happened to you? This is going nowhere good for anyone

This is a huge development--a chance to firmly punish Russia for its savage aggression and help add to Ukraine's growing momentum. Perhaps a chance to finally end this war. UNLESS the @POTUS stands w/Putin, and Republicans in Congress are too cowed to oppose him.

@FoxNews There's always a place in the Republican Party for a black man who wants to/the saving safety net and reduce services for the poor while lighting the pockets of the wealthy. Good work, Wesley.

“Slavery is over. Jim Crow is dead.” Rep. Wesley Hunt pushes back on what he calls “reinvigorated talk” of Jim Crow, while defending the idea that America is a Christian nation: "As someone who is a direct descendant of a slave, as someone whose great-great-grandfather was born on a plantation, I can assure you, slavery is over. Jim Crow is dead." "I am a Black man representing a White-majority district in Texas, the great-great-grandson of a man born on a plantation stands before you today as a proud, conservative Republican from Texas. As a believer and follower in Christ."

@JackieFrancesca @StepJones8 @FoxNews @Emma_99maga Thank you

@StepJones8 @FoxNews @Emma_99maga

@StepJones8 @FoxNews @Emma_99maga Our constitution and revolution were the products of the enlightenment, which is a period of political and scientific liberalism. Our founding fathers were not religious.

@FoxNews @Emma_99maga America is a Christian nation. Founded by Protestant Christians. The fact. The invisible hand of God sent Protestants to America to create a Christian nation. When America turns to idols instead of Christ, what do you expect? Idol worship will destroy America. Read the Bible.

@bennyjohnson The only ass I see at the moment is you. The Chinese know how to manipulate Trump by flattery. Why not when Trump severely weakens the USA by destroying our alliances, wrecking the world economy via his boneheaded Iran War, but yeah, red carpets.

When Obama visited China, he was forced to exit off the “ass” of Air Force One because they didn’t even get stairs for him. Trump just got a red carpet hero’s welcome with 300 students waving flags and chanting. It feels good to be respected on the world stage again 🇺🇸

@BenOndaTop He deserves a few more starts to see if he can adjust, but it does disturb me if it's a Crane signing. Crane is a bad combination of overconfident and cheap.

Did Dana Brown know that Tatsuya Imai was strictly a two pitch pitcher when he signed him to a starter’s contract? If I’m Imai, I’m seeing this whole contract through. He hit the mega millions jackpot.

@MJTruthUltra How many people were there, how much food was ordered. Just because a tab comes from the lobby bar doesn't mean that it's all drinks.

@JStyers89753 @LeftyTravis @astros Well said.

@LeftyTravis @astros He can start by taking his head out of his ass and stop liking the smell of his own farts. Then hire a competent GM that is analytics driven with the understanding he won’t micromanage everything . So basically go back to how things were in 22 before Crane fucked everything up.

So. If you're Jim Crane, what do you do to right the ship? Start firing? Ride out this season and retool for next season? Fire sale and look to compete years down the road? Let me hear how you're proceeding. 🎤

@LeftyTravis @astros Fire himself? He left Luhnow & Hinch alone early then decided to be his own GM. Dan Bronbis just a scout & a front man. Also he is cheap & wiped out the analytics department.

@RisaEKaplan @michaelschwab13 Former coach pitching coach, Bret Strom was big on analytics combined with careful attention to each pitcher's most natural throwing motion i personally heard Crane speak dismissively of analytics & suspect that covers training too. He is cheap and overconfident.

@michaelschwab13 I also heard a conversation on the MLB radio station about the Dodgers spending tons of $$ on using trainers and equipment every day working with pitchers. It is an obsession.

Honestly y’all, I have no idea how to fix this team. Is Dana Brown going to tell Astros fans to stay patient? LOL Can you imagine if this team was in an actually good division? They are playing like trash.

@JStyers89753 @michaelschwab13 You are right this is the most important problem n

@michaelschwab13 Can’t fix the team when the owner is the main problem. He got rid of everyone who was competent in the front office because he thought he could run things better. #firecrane

@skidrivebike @Ike_Saul @neontaster 🤣🤣🤣 when do you get to ride in it Mr America? We taxpayers modify for s billion of so then it goes to Trump's library? What a chump you are!

@Ike_Saul @neontaster Qatar did not offer Trump a plane. It was a gift to the USA.

We are in deep, deep trouble. A reader wrote in to me this week saying that they wouldn't read my Trump corruption story because ChatGPT "fact-checked the piece" and informed them most of it was false. Among other things, ChatGPT told them that there is no Iran war, Jared Kushner is not a negotiator in the war, Qatar never offered Trump a $400 million plane, George Santos wasn't pardoned, the NYTimes did not report on Syrian billionaires lobbying Trump for sanctions relief, Trump never launched a meme coin, and World Liberty Financial (the Trump family crypto firm) doesn't exist. Of course, all of these things ARE real, do exist, and are happening right now. Apparently, the reader copy and pasted the text of my story into ChatGPT, and without the links ChatGPT couldn't confirm any of it. Once the reader sent ChatGPT the link to the story, it ended up concluding all the facts were correct. How many people simply don't know how to use AI and are offloading all their thinking? It's a terrifying thought. And a totally new frontier of reality to navigate.

@AstrosFansUK Very true, but we love him anyway!

Altuve might be the worst base-runner I have ever seen. It is mind-boggling for a legendary, future 1st ballot HOF’er to be THAT bad on the bases. Will never understand it.

@MikeCowtown @OunkaOnX Human creep or bot creep? No argument on the issue, just name calling

Ignatius is SO full of shit. the democrats got the US into wars that lasted not weeks, months, years, but literally decades. Now he’s whining because the US is kicking Irans ass, has virtually wiped out its military while now mopping up the remaining resistance, all without the help of our NATO “friends”. Sheesh…..

David Ignatius: Presidents avoided war with Iran for 47 years. Iran is big, wily, smart. No easy exits. Trump blew through his briefings. Thought Iran would be like Venezuela - show up, capitulate, done. Now he's stuck. No one's rushing to help. And he's learning about unanticipated consequences the hard way The 'greatest negotiator' walked into a trap.

@lady_valor_07 Whay cheapskates you are! Not even 10%!

@CindyandtheSea @lady_valor_07 20% is $100. $120 is ok for exceptional service but not required ever

You tip at least 20% which would have been $120. I tend to tip 20-30% when I go out. Especially for a large dinner party. The fact you tipped only $40. Seems like this whole question you asked is made up. Everyone knows to tip 20%. Go back and collect the money from your friends and give it to the waitress.