Tom Bennett retweetledi
Tom Bennett
92 posts
Tom Bennett
@tombenn
Founder & CEO @futuur, Cofounder @pond5
NYC & Rio de Janeiro Katılım Mayıs 2007
5.1K Takip Edilen398 Takipçiler
Tom Bennett retweetledi
My interview with the brilliant Robin Hanson!
Ep. 3: Robin Hanson on Decision-Prediction Markets in Firms, The Long Road to Innovation and the Future of Governance w/ Tom Bennett rss.com/podcasts/stran…
@robinhanson @tombenn @futuurHQ
Key insights below 👇
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@futuurHQ don’t do this. And don’t make your agency do it either. 🤡
Robert Scammell@RobertScammell
I have been sent a pitch about a platform that lets people bet on Russia's invasion of Ukraine using cryptocurrency. 'Markets' include "will Russia take Kyiv by force by the end of 2022". The depravity of crypto bros truly knows no bounds.
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Tom Bennett@tombenn
@ByGeoffW @futuurHQ Hi Geoff, our goal at Futuur is to help improve decision making about important issues (like war) by generating better forecasts, and one of the most effective ways to do this is with Prediction Markets, using a wagering mechanic (we have play-money markets as well)
QME
I have been sent a pitch about a platform that lets people bet on Russia's invasion of Ukraine using cryptocurrency.
'Markets' include "will Russia take Kyiv by force by the end of 2022".
The depravity of crypto bros truly knows no bounds.
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@FarleyWrites @swearimnotpaul @futuurHQ We're not making a profit at all right now, and if we do manage to reach profitability, don't plan to make a profit on sensitive markets at all. It is much, much easier to make a money on sports, etc.
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Why yes, I’d love to gamble cryptocurrency on predicting a war.
How about, piss off @futuurHQ ?
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props to @metaculus, their forecasters have done a great job predicting events in Ukraine
Antoine Dusséaux 柳华 Антон Дюссо انتون@ADssx
@jon_stokes @metaculus Wow seeing this comment now, prediction markets can save lives...
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@swearimnotpaul @futuurHQ I understand the sensitivity, this is a difficult time, and the world is getting more volatile. But I think that’s all the more reason to make these forecasts available.
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@swearimnotpaul @futuurHQ Prediction markets aggregate information and generate high quality forecasts in realtime, and I think having them available on key issues will help us to make better decisions.
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Is there any prediction market where we can bet on the 2020 American election NOT taking place?
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@TetraspaceAdmn We are doing this to some extent at @futuurHQ (a prediction market), and are looking to add more conditional markets. If you have suggestions for markets, conditional or otherwise, we’d love to hear them! futuur.com
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@panekkkk Futuur has a vaccine timing market and a number of related markets here: futuur.com/q/category/218….
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“These data make me feel even more confident that we will be able to deliver a few hundred million doses of vaccine by the end of 2020.”
Is there a prediction market for this?
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@mgogel Try Futuur.com - we have questions on many of the topics you list and are happy to add suggestions.
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Looking for a prediction market to trade on:
- Unemployment numbers
- Covid death numbers
- Expected second wave dates
- Hurricanes and force majeur events
- North Korea missiles tests
- Prospect dates for escalation to war
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