Travis Boyce
345 posts



Good take My guess is - demand for intelligence is near infinite - but 80% of workloads will be running on 99% cheaper models within 12-18 months - 20% of workloads will still run on latest gen models where IQ maxing is important (scientific breakthroughs, higher level ochestrator agents?) - rough analogy might be what % of macbooks or gaming PCs sold have the maxed out specs for CPU/GPU, prices are falling much faster than Moore's law here though - this leads me to think the limiting factor will be energy and compute, not better models At Coinbase we're working hard on routing prompts to cheaper models where appropriate, and in some cases have been able to keep costs roughly flat, while token usage continues to grow exponentially.





I’m backed by Vinod. Every founder who raises from Vinod knows the deal. Could he try to fire you from your own company if he thinks that’s what the company needs? Yes. That’s not a secret. We even joke about it. But making this entire drama about “firing founders” misses the point. The point is that Vinod will always make the call he believes is right for the company, no matter how uncomfortable it is. And there are 2 sides to that coin. If he thinks you’re in the way, he’ll move you. If he believes the company should win and you’re the person to make it win, he’ll move mountains for it. He’ll pull strings, take the hard fights, and push harder than almost any investor would. The ruthlessness that makes him dangerous is the ruthlessness that makes him exceptional. That’s the deal with him. Vinod is not founder-first, he’s company-first. And if that makes your uncomfortable, you should probably pitch someone else.

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sports is the only prediction market category with: 1) frequent events 2) tons of viewers 3) scalability - ppl can hedge, use data, lines are efficient there needs to be another category for people to bet on every day politics too infrequent, all else not scalable today










