John K
6.5K posts

John K
@unclejtk
Central Saskatchewan Canada. Grain and oilseed producer.












Remember when Bessent said “the curve is still well anchored”, implying the futures curve suggests lower oil prices soon? That’s wrong on both counts. He misreads backwardation, which is supposed to pull barrels out of storage fast, and ignores the curve move itself. For instance, Sep contract in Brent is up $30/bbl since 7 Jan 2026, over 50%. That is not an "anchored" curve.



🚨 BREAKING: Massive explosion at Valero’s Port Arthur refinery. One of the largest in the U.S. (335,000+ barrels/day). Black smoke. Active fire. Cause unknown. All happening as global oil supply is already under pressure from the Iran war — with major disruptions hitting energy flows and prices worldwide Coincidence?






It’s still unlikely that there is any meaningful deal to be had. For the moment, all news about indirect or direct diplomacy should instead be seen through the lens of attempts by both sides and 3rd parties to phase-in a potential ceasefire and what it could look like…


🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷President Trump told reporters that his envoys held talks on Sunday with a senior official in the Iranian leadership and claimed the parties are in agreement on many points. My story on @axios axios.com/2026/03/23/tru…




