Vadim Vinichenko

Does nuclear grow slower than wind and solar? Or do they grow just as fast under right conditions? And what realistic combinations of wind, solar and nuclear can reach climate targets? See our new paper w @v_vinichenko & @jessicadjewell bit.ly/3RCzbDm @IOPenvironment 🧵

🧵Outstanding new paper on coal phase out plans by @v_vinichenko @LolaNacke @MartaVetier @jessicadjewell @acherp Phasing out coal for 2 °C target requires worldwide replication of most ambitious national plans despite security and fairness concerns iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…

Is there a realistic chance to end coal power fast enough to save the climate? Trends in coal phase-out policies show that it may still be feasible to stay within 2-3°C warming. With @v_vinichenko @LolaNacke @MartaVetier @jessicadjewell 🧵 1/15 iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…

We need to dramatically reduce use of #fossils to reach 1.5°. Has something similar ever happened in the past? @v_vinichenko @acherp & I find surprising historical cases of fossil fuel decline in our new @OneEarth_CP paper bit.ly/3B7nLMb 1/12

Historical analysis finds no precedent for the rate of coal and gas power decline needed to meet the climate change limiting target of 1.5°C set by the Paris Climate Agreement. Learn more in @OneEarth_CP: cell.com/one-earth/full… @jessicadjewell @v_vinichenko @acherp

Can growth models based on historical data forecast the future of #renewables? Surprisingly, they can! Gompertz model extrapolation by @avijakhmola closely matches @IEA #WEO21 STEPS, APS scenarios and @BloombergNEF projections for #solarpower bit.ly/3B4vFpB 1/6

We just launched an interactive tool polet.network/resources for #solar & #wind growth from the amazing @v_vinichenko. The tool supports our @NatureEnergyJnl article rdcu.be/cptRl on #renewable growth

How fast do new technologies grow? This question seems simple but is not. Growth is not linear: it is initially irregular, then exponential, then stabilises before slowing down. In a new @NatureJnrl paper we develop new metrics to describe this path. 1/17 go.nature.com/2VFOjoT

Our new @NatureEnergyJnl paper estimates max growth rates of #windpower and #solar in 60 largest countries in comparison to the growth envisioned in #IPCC 1.5 and 2°C scenarios @v_vinichenko @jessicadjewell @jale_tosun @joelagordon1 @engage_climate go.nature.com/3wObDgL 1/12

How ambitious is the growth of onshore #windpower in the @IEA #NetZeroBy2050 #NetZero2050Roadmap scenario? Here is a summary of a recent analysis on POLET.network. polet.network/blog/netzero-w… 1/9

A recently launched website of our research group: polet.network

Our team recently started using @NotionHQ for academic collaboration. It replaces Slack, googledrive, Asana, Evernote, MicrosoftOneNote, and lots of emails. It has made us so much more efficient and I dare say creative! bit.ly/3sxbGfN

Coal-fired generation in 2016. China and India collectively account for 56% of the global total. Data source: @IEA