@davidchalmers42 It may not be "pseudoscience" because science is a process that even flawed theories participate in, but IIT *is* nonsense. All computationalism is nonsense. Consciousness is a real thing that exists in its own right. It's not on the number line; you can't count to consciousness.
IIT has many problems. but "pseudoscience" is like dropping a nuclear bomb over a regional dispute. it's disproportionate, unsupported by good reasoning, and does vast collateral damage to the field far beyond IIT. as in vietnam: "we had to destroy the field in order to save it."
I sometimes wish we could paywall part of 538 but the paywall was you had to demonstrate some knowledge of how probability works.
"4 in 5 doesn't mean 100%" is a *very* important point of emphasis for irregular readers that the regulars maybe don't need to hear as much.
@EricGrenierCBC I'd be interested in seeing an analysis of polling accuracy in North America over the last 10 years. It seems they are becoming less and less predictive.
Polls captured PQ/QS trends very well, so what was it about centrist/conservative francophones who might have wavered between the Liberals and the CAQ that was more difficult to gauge? Why did all pollsters miss this dynamic? I'm sure they are are looking into this right now.
Here's how the Quebec Poll Tracker did. Clearly, on the popular vote front it didn't do very well. But I don't second-guess the polls or try to project how they will miss, the Poll Tracker is meant to boil down what the polls are saying. newsinteractives.cbc.ca/qcvotes/poll-t…
If you are at the Vienna International Centre tomorrow morning, swing by our #IAEAGC side event on #fusion & have a donut in the shape of a #stellarator or a #tokamak.
Keynote speakers at the event will be @Iterorg DG, 🎬director @Milaaungthwin & #IPP scientific director.