Dr vjp reef lover
1.3K posts

Dr vjp reef lover
@vineethjohn74
Medical doctor with a great love twrds crypro currency especially astar






Daily reminder :

























Why BJP is poised for a phenomenal performance in Kerala?? 1. Keep in mind that Kerala will be a triangular contest which means that seats can and will be won on 35-40% vote share. 2. While state and centre elections are different but where all the players are national parties, whether state or national, elections must also be viewed as a continuum. 3. In 2021 Kerala assembly elections, BJP had over 20% vote share in 27 seats. 4. In 2024 elections, BJP had over 20% vote share in 50 assembly seats including 22 seats where the vote share was over 30%! 5. Election after election, BJP has been showing a continuous increase in vote share, touching almost 20% overall in 2024. 6. BJP’s vote share is not spread out and is relatively concentrated in a few districts, which gives it a much higher probability of securing large number of seats in those districts. 7. A deeper analysis shows that BJP vote gains are mostly from the left (exact same as West Bengal). Since LDF is in govt, BJP is set to gain from anti incumbency! 8. Hence in 2026, BJP in Kerala has the ground laid out beautifully (critical mass of 20/30% plus vote share) as well as the momentum, the leadership, the campaign, central party support and above all excellent candidates! With the above points in view, I will be sharing my seat projections for Kerala NDA/BJP tomorrow as I am in the final stages of analysing data… So kindly keep watching this space 😊🙏







