Vingtor

12.9K posts

Vingtor

Vingtor

@vingthor84

Bay Area Safehouse Katılım Eylül 2019
610 Takip Edilen92 Takipçiler
Vingtor
Vingtor@vingthor84·
@TheLincoln I went to a top uni. Litterally everyone but me had a laptop, I didn't cause fuckin poor & didn't think I needed it. Took notes. Did assignments, most midterms & finals in person no notes. Passed with good grades, never owned a laptop. This isnt long ago or hard, its just this
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Lincoln Michel
Lincoln Michel@TheLincoln·
There only seem to be 3 real paths. 1) Extreme surveillance tech to monitor students non-stop 2) Limit tech access in class and return to oral exams, maybe blue books, etc. 3) Give up and collect as much tuition $ as you can while the ship sinks.
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Lincoln Michel
Lincoln Michel@TheLincoln·
I'm glad the media is finally waking up a bit to this. People keep pretending LLMs are just a threat to college essays, when they actual enable students (and faculty even) to skip all work in all classes and quite literally learn nothing.
Marc Porter Magee 🎓@marcportermagee

What’s it like in college right now when you actually want to learn while everyone—students, tutors and professors—is cutting corners with AI. “That was basically the end of our session,” Lahr said. “I had a crashout about that afterwards because I was like, Why am I even here?”

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Vingtor
Vingtor@vingthor84·
@KT_GenXer1969 @GaryMarcus @ESYudkowsky Regulation use to mean more like well functioning, well maintained. Thats why its a "well regulated millita" They didn't want it to be constrained, they wanted to be functional. Think of regulator or "being regular" The connotation of "regulation" has shifted greatly.
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Vingtor
Vingtor@vingthor84·
@CryptoCyberia It can't be trusted and whatever skills you offload you lose. If its a glorfied excel macro that changes the names of files to be uploaded ok sure, but if its for critcal thinking or even summarization, you're just rotting your own brain.
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Lain on the Blockchain
Lain on the Blockchain@CryptoCyberia·
Very famously, all tools that allow people to complete their work tasks much more easily and more quickly fail to become adopted, unless companies force it to be used.
Pubity@pubity

It's been found that roughly 80% of white-collar workers are refusing to adopt AI, finding workarounds to do their work manually instead. Despite big companies spending tens of millions of dollars to deploy AI tech, people are going out of their way not to use it.

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Kineteq.ai
Kineteq.ai@ScienceOrMyth·
@GaryMarcus regulations are what competitors do when they corner the market.
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Gary Marcus
Gary Marcus@GaryMarcus·
Candles are more regulated than AI. And candle manufacturers aren’t AFAIK lobbying for absolute freedom from liability if they fuck up. OpenAI is truly appalling.
Vingtor@vingthor84

@GaryMarcus @ESYudkowsky Seriously fuck these people. Here is a quick summary on the regulations on something that when invented was just taking twine and dipping it into fat. compliancegate.com/candle-regulat… The arrogance and sociopathy to act like they have no responsibilities or duties to greater society.

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Vingtor
Vingtor@vingthor84·
@HedgieMarkets It’s one thing for an exec to summarize an email that has data that had many people touch it to get in a final state. Checking rechecking. It’s another to actually do the work of collecting, correcting, asking more questions, going more in depth, collecting etc then presenting.
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Hedgie
Hedgie@HedgieMarkets·
🦔A global survey of 3,750 executives and employees found that 54% of workers bypassed their company's AI tools in the past 30 days and completed work manually, while another 33% haven't used AI at all. Combined, eight in ten enterprise workers are avoiding or rejecting technology their employers spent an average of $54 million deploying this year. Only 9% of workers trust AI for complex business-critical decisions compared to 61% of executives. Workers lose the equivalent of 51 working days per year to technology friction, up 42% from last year, almost exactly equal to the 40-60 minutes per day Goldman Sachs says AI saves workers who use it correctly. My Take I covered the cognitive surrender research last week showing workers under time pressure accept faulty AI outputs 73% of the time. This is the other half of that story. Workers avoiding AI entirely have figured out the tool doesn't work well enough for their tasks, or haven't been given the training or incentive to make it work. Neither group is irrational. One is surrendering judgment under pressure, the other is declining to engage, and both are responses to the same problem: companies deployed the technology before figuring out what they wanted employees to do with it. The trust split between executives and workers on AI for business-critical decisions, 9% versus 61%, explains why these rollouts keep failing. Executives are buying the pitch. Workers are living with the product. Companies spending $54 million on deployments that eight in ten employees aren't using have a measurement problem as much as an adoption problem. Hedgie🤗
Hedgie tweet media
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Vingtor
Vingtor@vingthor84·
@EmperorBag @CryptoCyberia Cool, lock him up up forever. And every judge that released him. Make sure they go to rape you in the ass prison with people they sent there, preferably same cell.
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Lain on the Blockchain
Lain on the Blockchain@CryptoCyberia·
>DeCarlos Brown Jr. has been found “incapable to proceed” on the state murder charge brought against him in the killing of Ukrainian refugee Iryna Zarutska My god, my state is so cringe. Hopefully this means that the result is institutionalization for life.
Lain on the Blockchain tweet media
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Vingtor
Vingtor@vingthor84·
@Dr_Gingerballs Steal your DNA, seqeunce a virus with your stolen tax $$$, release it, "now pay us monthly to solve this problem we robbed you for & created." Seriously fuck these assholes, the fact they have the audacity to act so morally upright while doing the most heinous shit to everyone.
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Rep. María Elvira Salazar
Rep. María Elvira Salazar@RepMariaSalazar·
READ. THE. BILL. BEFORE. YOU. OPEN. YOUR. MOUTH. Calling the DIGNITY Act “amnesty” isn’t just wrong. It’s a deliberate distortion and it exposes just how little you know about the bill. This is enforcement first: zero tolerance for criminals, permanent border security, and hard, earned requirements to step forward and face the law, so American workers are protected, not undercut. Amnesty is the chaos you’ve defended, millions in the shadows, no control, no accountability, and a system that stopped working a long time ago. No shortcuts. No giveaways. No blanket forgiveness. That’s law and order. That’s DIGNITY.
Congressman Brandon Gill@RepBrandonGill

The Dignity Act is mass amnesty and would constitute a terrible betrayal of our voters.

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Vingtor
Vingtor@vingthor84·
@HedgieMarkets VC hasn't had any great exits after 2018. ZIRP, Covid, rot & the low hanging fruit being done has locked em out. The over investment is likely the elite trying to make the public be the bagholder, by cycling to nvidia then IPO or bailout. Nealry a $1 Trillion val needs hype.
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Hedgie
Hedgie@HedgieMarkets·
🦔OpenAI CEO Sam Altman published a 13-page policy blueprint today proposing a new social contract for the AI era. The proposals include a public wealth fund giving every American a stake in AI-driven growth, taxes on automated labor, a four-day workweek pilot, and automatic safety net triggers that kick in when AI displacement hits preset thresholds. Altman told Axios superintelligence is close enough that capitalism as currently structured won't be adequate to handle what's coming. My Take I've spent months covering what this transition actually looks like for regular people. Oracle sending 30,000 termination emails at 6am. Microsoft freezing hiring in its core business. New graduates unable to find entry level jobs. Private credit cracking under software company debt. Companies using AI as cover to cut the people who built their products. Now the CEO of the company driving a lot of this is publishing a policy paper saying the disruption is so serious it needs a New Deal scale response. He is not wrong about the scale. But OpenAI closed a $122 billion funding round just last week at an $852 billion valuation while losing billions annually. He is racing to build the thing, raising record amounts to do it faster, and asking government to protect the people his technology is displacing. The proposals themselves deserve serious debate because the alternative is nobody in power discussing this at all. But the people writing the blueprint are not the people losing the jobs, and that distance is important when you're deciding how much weight to give the solutions being proposed. Hedgie🤗
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Vingtor
Vingtor@vingthor84·
@GaryMarcus Software is generally 5 9s. If it’s mission critical, even higher. Every 9 is harder than the previous. At best they are struggling with 1.5, at best. It’s just so depressing we’re at trillions of $$$ spent and counting for this.
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Vingtor
Vingtor@vingthor84·
@Dr_Gingerballs @mattyglesias @KelseyTuoc The only way you get trillions of investment in a year, amid rising interest rates and possible wars breaking out is by promissing something bigger than electricity and the FOMO that creates.
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Vingtor
Vingtor@vingthor84·
@sidprabhu There are easy solutions, but take time. Anti trust, do not allow them to accumulate the wealth in the first place, once they do they will entrench. Also decomodify housing, make it so corporations can’t buy any and there is progressive property tax.
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Sid Prabhu
Sid Prabhu@sidprabhu·
Taxing the rich doesn’t really reduce inflation, especially if it’s redistributed. It can bring down risk premia in the bond market and yields by affecting supply/demand in the bond market but if you want lower inflation you need to tax people with a high propensity to consume or increase the supply side of the economy or lower demand with higher rates or lower fiscal spending. There’s no easy solution
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias

Progressive austerity, you heard it here first. Tax the rich (and don't blow billions on bombing Iran) to make your mortgage cheaper. slowboring.com/p/the-case-for…

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Merryn Somerset Webb
What if the whole LLM thing is a false start? If the flaws are inherent systemic problems - if the compounding of hallucinations/errors can't be sorted out? If the capex build out is one of the biggest misallocations of capital ever? Then what? bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
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Gary Marcus
Gary Marcus@GaryMarcus·
When Citadel CEO Ken Griffin sounds almost exactly like @garymarcus, Silicon Valley has a serious problem. That moment has come.
Big Brain AI@realBigBrainAI

Citadel CEO Ken Griffin on why the AI boom might be the most overhyped tech cycle we have ever seen: This year alone, data center spending in the United States is projected to exceed $500 billion. And Griffin wants to know what all of that money is actually buying. "You're not going to generate this kind of spend unless you're going to make a promise. You're going to profoundly change the world." In his view, the scale of the capital commitment demands the scale of the promise. And when the promise has to be that big, hype becomes inevitable. "Is it hype? Of course." Griffin isn't arguing that AI is worthless. He sees real impact in certain areas like call centers and software engineering. But for the broader white collar workforce, he's far less convinced. He points to a recent Harvard paper that coined the term "AI work slop." It looks impressive on the surface, but falls apart the moment you look closer. He saw it firsthand inside Citadel. A colleague running their commodities business handed him a report generated by an AI engine. "The first few sentences like, 'Wow, that's really insightful.' And then you go down below that and it's all garbage." For Griffin, this is the defining tension of the current AI cycle. The industry needs to promise transformation to justify the investment. But the actual productivity gains, for most jobs, haven't shown up yet. We have seen this pattern before. Transformative technology attracting massive capital well ahead of proven results. When the hype finally settles, will AI have actually changed anything at all?

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Vingtor
Vingtor@vingthor84·
@GaryMarcus Didn't she say the government should "backstop" AI companies? Also sign off on OpenAI losing hundreds of billions of $$(can't believe I wrote that) to "magically" somehow turn a huge profit in 2030?(also can't believe I wrote that) Is she personlly liable or something? Da faq?
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Vingtor
Vingtor@vingthor84·
@Abbamurtala15 @Arrogance_0024 The joke is that Marines eat crayons, the Navy are all gay & the Air Force can't fight. Except the guys the Air Force sends in to resuce downed pilots, the PJs. Everyone agrees those dude are badass. Their motto is "That Others May Live" They sign up for this. Oh and 0 died.
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Abba📈📉
Abba📈📉@Abbamurtala15·
@Arrogance_0024 Definitely the worst victory for US only God knows how many soldiers have been killed to rescue just a single pilot
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Vingtor
Vingtor@vingthor84·
@edzitron Umm did I just read what I thought I read? Thats shady af for a company with a $10m market cap.
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Vingtor
Vingtor@vingthor84·
@CryptoCyberia I don’t think this is a draft situation.. The main headaches are how to stop water based or drones being yeeted over the mountains to stationary targets. It’s easier to fix those problems than trying to clear the houses of 90m people.
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Lain on the Blockchain
Lain on the Blockchain@CryptoCyberia·
@vingthor84 I would much rather go to jail than Iran. I think so many people think that that a draft is not tenable.
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Lain on the Blockchain
Lain on the Blockchain@CryptoCyberia·
Real talk, if you're being sent to Iran and you tell your commanding officer "I hate Jews," is that good enough to not have to go? I am not being funny and I do not know the answer. LLM responses seem mixed KEK
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